Basic Plan 3--b
i.e., Without PAs--Unified Budget Effects
With Ultimate Real Trust Fund Interest Rate of: 3.0
Year
Contributions
to PRA by
Federal
Government
Based on
Earnings
Specified
General Fund
Transfer to
OASDI
Trust Funds
(no effect on
Unified Budget)
Offset
to OASI
Benefit
from
PRA
Other
Changes
in OASDI
Cash Flow
Less General
Fund Transfers
Tax
Credit
for
Add On
Change in
Annual
Unified
Budget
Cash Flow
Change in
Debt Held
by Public
(End of Year)
Change in
Annual
Unified
Budget
Balance
(Billions of Constant 2001 Dollars)
2002
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2004
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2005
0.0
15.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2006
0.0
17.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2007
0.0
18.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2008
0.0
19.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2009
0.0
19.6
0.0
-3.5
0.0
-3.5
3.6
-3.6
2010
0.0
21.8
0.0
-2.7
0.0
-2.7
6.6
-3.0
2011
0.0
23.3
0.0
-1.6
0.0
-1.6
8.5
-2.1
2012
0.0
24.9
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
9.0
-0.8
2013
0.0
26.5
0.0
1.4
0.0
1.4
7.8
0.9
2014
0.0
28.1
0.0
3.5
0.0
3.5
4.4
3.2
2015
0.0
29.9
0.0
6.1
0.0
6.1
-1.7
6.0
2016
0.0
31.7
0.0
8.9
0.0
8.9
-11.0
9.3
2017
0.0
33.7
0.0
12.1
0.0
12.1
-23.8
13.2
2018
0.0
35.7
0.0
15.6
0.0
15.6
-40.6
17.5
2019
0.0
37.9
0.0
19.2
0.0
19.2
-61.6
22.3
2020
0.0
38.7
0.0
23.1
0.0
23.1
-87.2
27.6
2021
0.0
39.5
0.0
27.0
0.0
27.0
-117.8
33.3
2022
0.0
40.3
0.0
31.3
0.0
31.3
-153.5
39.5
2023
0.0
41.1
0.0
35.7
0.0
35.7
-194.9
46.3
2024
0.0
41.9
0.0
40.3
0.0
40.3
-242.4
53.7
2025
0.0
42.7
0.0
45.1
0.0
45.1
-296.2
61.6
2026
0.0
43.4
0.0
50.2
0.0
50.2
-356.9
70.2
2027
0.0
44.2
0.0
55.5
0.0
55.5
-424.9
79.4
2028
0.0
44.9
0.0
61.2
0.0
61.2
-500.8
89.4
2029
0.0
45.6
0.0
67.2
0.0
67.2
-585.1
100.4
2030
0.0
46.3
0.0
73.5
0.0
73.5
-678.6
112.1
2031
0.0
46.9
0.0
80.1
0.0
80.1
-781.5
124.6
2032
0.0
47.6
0.0
86.7
0.0
86.7
-894.3
137.8
2033
0.0
48.2
0.0
93.3
0.0
93.3
-1,017.4
151.7
2034
0.0
48.8
0.0
99.7
0.0
99.7
-1,150.8
165.9
2035
0.0
49.3
0.0
105.8
0.0
105.8
-1,294.5
180.4
2036
0.0
49.9
0.0
112.0
0.0
112.0
-1,448.8
195.7
2037
0.0
50.3
0.0
118.1
0.0
118.1
-1,614.1
211.6
2038
0.0
50.8
0.0
124.3
0.0
124.3
-1,790.7
228.2
2039
0.0
51.3
0.0
130.4
0.0
130.4
-1,978.9
245.4
2040
0.0
51.7
0.0
136.5
0.0
136.5
-2,179.1
263.4
2041
0.0
52.1
0.0
142.9
0.0
142.9
-2,391.8
282.4
2042
0.0
52.5
0.0
149.5
0.0
149.5
-2,617.8
302.4
2043
0.0
52.9
0.0
156.5
0.0
156.5
-2,857.8
323.5
2044
0.0
53.2
0.0
163.8
0.0
163.8
-3,112.4
346.0
2045
0.0
53.6
0.0
171.4
0.0
171.4
-3,382.6
369.6
2046
0.0
54.0
0.0
179.4
0.0
179.4
-3,669.1
394.5
2047
0.0
54.4
0.0
187.6
0.0
187.6
-3,972.7
420.8
2048
0.0
54.8
0.0
196.1
0.0
196.1
-4,294.2
448.4
2049
0.0
55.2
0.0
205.0
0.0
205.0
-4,634.5
477.5
2050
0.0
55.6
0.0
214.1
0.0
214.1
-4,994.4
507.9
2051
0.0
56.1
0.0
223.5
0.0
223.5
-5,374.8
539.9
2052
0.0
56.7
0.0
233.1
0.0
233.1
-5,776.5
573.4
2053
0.0
57.2
0.0
243.1
0.0
243.1
-6,200.5
608.5
2054
0.0
57.8
0.0
252.9
0.0
252.9
-6,647.4
645.0
2055
0.0
58.4
0.0
262.9
0.0
262.9
-7,118.0
683.0
2056
0.0
59.0
0.0
273.4
0.0
273.4
-7,613.5
722.9
2057
0.0
59.7
0.0
284.0
0.0
284.0
-8,134.9
764.6
2058
0.0
60.4
0.0
294.9
0.0
294.9
-8,683.1
808.1
2059
0.0
61.1
0.0
305.6
0.0
305.6
-9,258.9
853.1
2060
0.0
61.9
0.0
316.3
0.0
316.3
-9,862.9
899.8
2061
0.0
62.7
0.0
327.4
0.0
327.4
-10,496.5
948.7
2062
0.0
63.4
0.0
338.4
0.0
338.4
-11,160.5
999.3
2063
0.0
64.2
0.0
349.3
0.0
349.3
-11,855.6
1,051.6
2064
0.0
65.1
0.0
360.5
0.0
360.5
-12,583.2
1,106.3
2065
0.0
65.9
0.0
371.7
0.0
371.7
-13,344.2
1,162.9
2066
0.0
66.8
0.0
383.0
0.0
383.0
-14,139.5
1,221.6
2067
0.0
67.6
0.0
394.8
0.0
394.8
-14,970.9
1,283.1
2068
0.0
68.5
0.0
406.7
0.0
406.7
-15,839.6
1,346.9
2069
0.0
69.3
0.0
418.7
0.0
418.7
-16,746.7
1,413.1
2070
0.0
70.2
0.0
431.3
0.0
431.3
-17,693.9
1,482.3
2071
0.0
71.1
0.0
444.6
0.0
444.6
-18,683.3
1,554.6
2072
0.0
72.0
0.0
457.7
0.0
457.7
-19,716.0
1,629.5
2073
0.0
72.9
0.0
471.3
0.0
471.3
-20,793.6
1,707.5
2074
0.0
73.9
0.0
485.4
0.0
485.4
-21,918.1
1,788.8
2075
0.0
74.8
0.0
499.1
0.0
499.1
-23,090.4
1,872.5
2076
0.0
75.6
0.0
512.9
0.0
512.9
-24,312.2
1,959.4
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2001 Trustees Report.
Office of the Actuary
Social Security Administration
January 29, 2002

Return to List of Tables Return to memorandum List of memos