Table 4a -- DeMint Plan -- Sensitivity Individual Account (IA) Yields at Expected Treasury Bond Yield
NO Clawback
at Death <65
If No Survivor
Stock Yield = 6.5%
IA Contribution = 5.1%;
IA Assets Held in Stocks = 60%
With Ultimate Real Trust Fund Interest Rate of: 3.0
With Ultimate Real IA Net Yield Rate of: 2.9
With Offset Annuity Net Yield Rate of: 2.7
Real Interest Rate First 1.33 Year after earnings: 2.0
Year
Cost
Rate*
Income
Rate
Annual
Balance
Trust
Fund
Ratio**
1-1-Year
Percent of
Individual
Account
Assets
Held
in Social
Security
Transition
Bonds on
12/31
Effective
OASDI
Contri-
bution
Rate
Cash Flow
to the
General
Fund
(see
Table 1c--
Billions
of Current
Dollars)
Net
Purchase
of Social
Security
Transition
Bonds by
Individual
Accounts***
Changes in OASDI
Contribution Rate from--
Individual
Account
Contri-
bution
Transfer
from
General
Fund
2001
10.49
12.72
2.23
239
 
12.40
 
 
 
 
2002
10.42
12.72
2.30
264
 
12.40
 
 
 
 
2003
10.43
8.70
-1.74
289
40
8.37
-7
1.59
4.03
 
2004
10.48
8.39
-2.09
290
40
8.05
-18
1.71
4.35
 
2005
10.56
8.32
-2.24
288
40
7.97
-25
1.74
4.43
 
2006
10.64
8.25
-2.39
284
40
7.90
-33
1.77
4.50
 
2007
10.77
8.18
-2.59
278
40
7.82
-45
1.80
4.58
 
2008
10.93
8.15
-2.78
271
40
7.77
-57
1.81
4.63
 
2009
11.12
8.12
-3.00
261
40
7.73
-73
1.83
4.67
 
2010
11.30
8.09
-3.21
250
40
7.68
-90
1.83
4.72
 
2011
11.48
8.05
-3.43
236
40
7.63
-110
1.83
4.77
 
2012
11.70
8.01
-3.69
221
40
7.59
-134
1.82
4.81
 
2013
11.95
7.98
-3.97
204
40
7.54
-163
1.81
4.86
 
2014
12.22
7.95
-4.27
185
40
7.50
-195
1.81
4.90
 
2015
12.50
7.94
-4.56
164
40
7.47
-229
1.79
4.93
 
2016
12.78
7.94
-4.84
141
40
7.46
-267
1.76
4.94
 
2017
13.07
9.13
-3.94
117
40
8.64
-309
1.73
4.96
1.20
2018
13.36
11.73
-1.63
100
40
11.22
-354
1.70
4.98
3.80
2019
13.65
12.03
-1.62
100
40
11.50
-402
1.67
5.00
4.10
2020
13.92
12.22
-1.70
100
40
11.69
-453
1.64
5.01
4.30
2021
14.16
12.63
-1.54
100
40
12.07
-504
1.60
5.03
4.70
2022
14.39
12.84
-1.55
100
40
12.25
-556
1.56
5.05
4.90
2023
14.59
12.95
-1.64
100
40
12.34
-609
1.51
5.06
5.00
2024
14.77
13.16
-1.61
100
40
12.53
-664
1.46
5.07
5.20
2025
14.93
13.48
-1.45
100
40
12.82
-720
1.41
5.08
5.50
2026
15.06
13.59
-1.47
100
40
12.91
-776
1.36
5.09
5.60
2027
15.17
13.70
-1.47
100
40
13.00
-833
1.30
5.10
5.70
2028
15.25
13.72
-1.52
100
40
13.00
-889
1.24
5.10
5.70
2029
15.29
13.85
-1.44
100
40
13.10
-943
1.17
5.10
5.80
2030
15.30
13.97
-1.33
100
40
13.20
-996
1.10
5.10
5.90
2031
15.28
13.99
-1.30
100
40
13.20
-1,049
1.03
5.10
5.90
2032
15.25
14.01
-1.24
100
40
13.20
-1,101
0.96
5.10
5.90
2033
15.18
13.93
-1.25
100
40
13.10
-1,150
0.89
5.10
5.80
2034
15.07
13.85
-1.23
100
40
13.00
-1,193
0.82
5.10
5.70
2035
14.94
13.76
-1.17
100
40
12.90
-1,232
0.75
5.10
5.60
2036
14.78
13.68
-1.10
100
40
12.80
-1,267
0.68
5.10
5.50
2037
14.60
13.59
-1.01
100
40
12.70
-1,300
0.60
5.10
5.40
2038
14.40
13.41
-0.99
100
40
12.50
-1,329
0.53
5.10
5.20
2039
14.19
13.32
-0.87
100
40
12.40
-1,355
0.45
5.10
5.10
2040
13.97
13.13
-0.84
100
40
12.20
-1,379
0.37
5.10
4.90
2041
13.76
13.05
-0.71
100
40
12.10
-1,402
0.29
5.10
4.80
2042
13.54
12.86
-0.68
100
40
11.90
-1,425
0.21
5.10
4.60
2043
13.33
12.78
-0.55
100
40
11.80
-1,449
0.13
5.10
4.50
2044
13.13
12.69
-0.44
100
40
11.70
-1,475
0.05
5.10
4.40
2045
12.93
12.51
-0.42
100
40
11.50
-1,500
-0.04
5.10
4.20
2046
12.73
12.42
-0.31
100
40
11.40
-1,526
-0.12
5.10
4.10
2047
12.52
12.34
-0.18
100
40
11.30
-1,548
-0.21
5.10
4.00
2048
12.32
12.16
-0.16
100
40
11.10
-1,572
-0.31
5.10
3.80
2049
12.13
12.17
0.04
100
40
11.10
-1,599
-0.39
5.10
3.80
2050
11.96
12.09
0.13
100
40
11.00
-1,630
-0.48
5.10
3.70
2051
11.84
12.11
0.26
100
40
11.00
-1,678
-0.55
5.10
3.70
2052
11.75
12.02
0.28
100
40
10.90
-1,733
-0.61
5.10
3.60
2053
11.66
12.04
0.38
100
40
10.90
-1,793
-0.68
5.10
3.60
2054
11.58
12.05
0.47
100
40
10.90
-1,859
-0.74
5.10
3.60
2055
11.51
12.07
0.56
100
40.00
10.90
-1,930
-0.80
5.10
3.60
2056
11.45
12.08
0.63
100
40.00
10.90
-2,008
-0.85
5.10
3.60
2057
11.40
12.00
0.60
100
40.00
10.80
-2,091
-0.91
5.10
3.50
2058
11.35
12.11
0.76
100
40.00
10.90
-2,180
-0.96
5.10
3.60
2059
11.31
12.02
0.72
100
40.00
10.80
-2,274
-1.00
5.10
3.50
2060
11.27
12.14
0.86
100
40.00
10.90
-2,375
-1.05
5.10
3.60
2061
11.24
12.05
0.81
100
40.00
10.80
-2,482
-1.09
5.10
3.50
2062
11.22
12.16
0.95
100
40.00
10.90
-2,596
-1.13
5.10
3.60
2063
11.19
12.17
0.98
100
40.00
10.90
-2,703
-1.16
5.10
3.60
2064
11.17
12.09
0.91
100
40.00
10.80
-2,830
-1.19
5.10
3.50
2065
11.16
12.20
1.04
100
40.00
10.90
-2,964
-1.22
5.10
3.60
2066
11.15
12.21
1.06
100
40.00
10.90
-3,108
-1.25
5.10
3.60
2067
11.14
12.22
1.07
100
40.00
10.90
-3,260
-1.28
5.10
3.60
2068
11.14
12.23
1.08
100
40.00
10.90
-3,422
-1.31
5.10
3.60
2069
11.15
12.33
1.19
100
40.00
11.00
-3,595
-1.33
5.10
3.70
2070
11.16
12.34
1.19
100
40.00
11.00
-3,779
-1.35
5.10
3.70
2071
11.17
12.35
1.18
100
40.00
11.00
-3,975
-1.37
5.10
3.70
2072
11.19
12.36
1.17
100
40.00
11.00
-4,185
-1.39
5.10
3.70
2073
11.21
12.47
1.26
100
40.00
11.10
-4,408
-1.41
5.10
3.80
2074
11.24
12.47
1.24
100
40.00
11.10
-4,645
-1.43
5.10
3.80
2075
11.26
12.58
1.32
100
40.00
11.20
-4,898
-1.44
5.10
3.90
2076
11.30
12.59
1.29
100
40.00
11.20
-5,169
-1.45
5.10
3.90
 
Summarized
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cost
Rate
OASDI
Income
Rate
OASDI
Acturial
Balance
OASDI
Change in
Acturial
Balance
 
 
 
 
 
 
2001-
2075
12.70
11.99
-0.70
1.16
 
 
 
 
 
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2001 Trustees Report.
* Net of Benefit Offset.
** Including borrowing from Individual Accounts in Form of Social Security Transition Bonds.
*** Excluding reinvestment of interest in Social Security Transition Bonds.
Office of the Actuary
Social Security Administration
December 16, 2001

Previous Next Return to list of tables List of memos