Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
OASI Trust Fund |
DI Trust Fund |
Total |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.77 |
9.29 |
-0.51 |
1.16 |
1.36 |
-0.19 |
9.94 |
10.64 |
-0.71 |
|
8.80 |
9.41 |
-.61 |
1.16 |
1.44 |
-.28 |
9.97 |
10.85 |
-.89 |
|
8.80 |
9.44 |
-.64 |
1.17 |
1.50 |
-.33 |
9.96 |
10.94 |
-.97 |
|
8.59 |
9.25 |
-.66 |
1.57 |
1.45 |
.12 |
10.16 |
10.70 |
-.54 |
|
8.70 |
8.87 |
-.17 |
1.51 |
1.35 |
.16 |
10.21 |
10.22 |
-.02 |
|
9.07 |
9.33 |
-.26 |
1.13 |
1.38 |
-.25 |
10.21 |
10.71 |
-.50 |
|
9.44 |
9.96 |
-.52 |
1.31 |
1.39 |
-.08 |
10.76 |
11.35 |
-.59 |
|
9.19 |
10.59 |
-1.40 |
1.66 |
1.34 |
.32 |
10.85 |
11.93 |
-1.08 |
|
9.91 |
10.26 |
-.35 |
1.33 |
1.22 |
.11 |
11.24 |
11.48 |
-.24 |
|
10.58 |
10.06 |
.52 |
1.01 |
1.15 |
-.14 |
11.59 |
11.21 |
.38 |
|
10.71 |
9.92 |
.79 |
1.07 |
1.13 |
-.06 |
11.79 |
11.05 |
.73 |
|
10.59 |
9.81 |
.77 |
1.01 |
1.11 |
-.10 |
11.60 |
10.93 |
.67 |
|
10.57 |
9.60 |
.97 |
1.00 |
1.10 |
-.10 |
11.56 |
10.69 |
.87 |
|
11.22 |
9.57 |
1.65 |
1.06 |
1.08 |
-.01 |
12.28 |
10.65 |
1.64 |
|
11.17 |
9.51 |
1.66 |
1.06 |
1.06 |
12.23 |
10.57 |
1.66 |
||
11.32 |
9.66 |
1.66 |
1.17 |
1.09 |
.09 |
12.49 |
10.74 |
1.75 |
|
11.44 |
10.15 |
1.29 |
1.21 |
1.18 |
.03 |
12.65 |
11.33 |
1.32 |
|
11.43 |
10.27 |
1.16 |
1.21 |
1.27 |
-.06 |
12.64 |
11.54 |
1.10 |
|
11.40 |
10.37 |
1.03 |
1.21 |
1.35 |
-.14 |
12.61 |
11.73 |
.88 |
|
10.70 |
10.22 |
.48 |
1.89 |
1.40 |
.49 |
12.59 |
11.62 |
.97 |
|
10.70 |
10.22 |
.48 |
1.88 |
1.44 |
.44 |
12.59 |
11.67 |
.92 |
|
10.73 |
10.06 |
.68 |
1.89 |
1.48 |
.41 |
12.62 |
11.53 |
1.09 |
|
10.93 |
9.83 |
1.09 |
1.71 |
1.44 |
.28 |
12.64 |
11.27 |
1.37 |
|
10.96 |
9.49 |
1.47 |
1.72 |
1.43 |
.29 |
12.68 |
10.91 |
1.76 |
|
10.99 |
9.13 |
1.86 |
1.72 |
1.43 |
.29 |
12.71 |
10.56 |
2.15 |
|
10.89 |
9.04 |
1.86 |
1.80 |
1.43 |
.37 |
12.69 |
10.47 |
2.22 |
|
10.90 |
9.04 |
1.86 |
1.82 |
1.45 |
.37 |
12.72 |
10.50 |
2.22 |
|
10.90 |
8.94 |
1.96 |
1.82 |
1.48 |
.34 |
12.72 |
10.42 |
2.30 |
|
10.91 |
8.91 |
2.00 |
1.82 |
1.53 |
.29 |
12.73 |
10.44 |
2.29 |
|
10.92 |
8.91 |
2.01 |
1.82 |
1.58 |
.24 |
12.74 |
10.49 |
2.25 |
|
10.93 |
8.92 |
2.00 |
1.82 |
1.64 |
.18 |
12.75 |
10.56 |
2.19 |
|
10.93 |
8.95 |
1.98 |
1.82 |
1.70 |
.12 |
12.75 |
10.65 |
2.11 |
|
10.94 |
9.02 |
1.92 |
1.82 |
1.76 |
.06 |
12.76 |
10.78 |
1.99 |
|
10.95 |
9.11 |
1.84 |
1.82 |
1.82 |
12.78 |
10.93 |
1.84 |
||
10.96 |
9.25 |
1.71 |
1.83 |
1.87 |
-.05 |
12.79 |
11.13 |
1.66 |
|
10.98 |
9.42 |
1.56 |
1.83 |
1.92 |
-.10 |
12.81 |
11.34 |
1.46 |
1 Between -0.005 and 0.005 percent of taxable payroll. |
· Effective taxable payroll from econometric model in the Office of the Chief Actuary.
· Income rate computed as sum of (a) employee-employer payroll tax rate, and (b) income tax revenue plus payments from the general fund of the Treasury divided by effective taxable payroll.
· Cost rate computed as total disbursements divided by effective taxable payroll.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions. See tables V.A13 and V.B13 for low-cost and high-cost alternatives, respectively.
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December 26, 2001