Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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Calendar period |
|||
---|---|---|---|
62.5 |
92.3 |
66.3 |
|
54.5 |
70.9 |
56.7 |
|
47.0 |
48.1 |
47.1 |
|
39.1 |
26.0 |
37.3 |
|
29.5 |
29.8 |
29.6 |
|
22.9 |
35.5 |
24.5 |
|
18.0 |
20.6 |
18.3 |
|
15.1 |
16.9 |
15.3 |
|
14.4 |
14.8 |
14.5 |
|
19.9 |
35.1 |
21.4 |
|
24.0 |
27.2 |
24.3 |
|
28.0 |
37.8 |
29.0 |
|
29.8 |
43.8 |
31.2 |
|
41.0 |
38.1 |
40.7 |
|
59.0 |
38.0 |
56.9 |
|
78.5 |
40.4 |
74.6 |
|
87.2 |
38.8 |
82.2 |
|
103.1 |
40.3 |
96.2 |
|
116.9 |
34.6 |
107.4 |
|
130.0 |
23.1 |
117.1 |
|
138.9 |
54.5 |
128.4 |
|
148.8 |
82.8 |
140.3 |
|
159.6 |
112.5 |
153.6 |
|
177.3 |
133.0 |
171.5 |
|
200.6 |
152.4 |
194.1 |
|
222.9 |
171.4 |
215.9 |
|
246.2 |
195.0 |
239.1 |
|
250.1 |
199.4 |
243.0 |
|
263.0 |
211.0 |
255.7 |
|
264.2 |
212.0 |
256.9 |
|
271.9 |
217.4 |
264.1 |
|
275.6 |
220.3 |
267.7 |
|
289.2 |
231.3 |
280.9 |
|
289.9 |
230.6 |
281.3 |
|
298.0 |
235.2 |
288.9 |
|
301.6 |
236.6 |
292.0 |
|
315.3 |
246.3 |
305.1 |
|
315.6 |
244.1 |
304.9 |
|
324.1 |
248.0 |
312.6 |
|
326.7 |
247.6 |
314.7 |
|
340.6 |
256.1 |
327.7 |
|
340.3 |
252.8 |
326.8 |
|
349.4 |
256.1 |
334.9 |
|
351.5 |
254.6 |
336.3 |
|
365.9 |
262.3 |
349.6 |
|
365.6 |
258.3 |
348.6 |
|
374.3 |
260.4 |
356.1 |
|
376.0 |
258.1 |
357.1 |
|
390.4 |
264.7 |
370.1 |
|
389.1 |
259.7 |
368.0 |
|
397.8 |
261.0 |
375.4 |
|
398.8 |
257.9 |
375.7 |
|
413.1 |
263.8 |
388.5 |
|
410.9 |
258.1 |
385.6 |
|
419.4 |
258.8 |
392.6 |
|
419.3 |
255.1 |
391.8 |
|
433.0 |
260.2 |
404.0 |
|
429.5 |
254.1 |
400.0 |
|
437.5 |
254.7 |
406.7 |
|
436.1 |
250.6 |
404.8 |
|
449.3 |
255.1 |
416.5 |
|
445.0 |
248.5 |
411.7 |
|
453.2 |
248.8 |
418.5 |
|
450.7 |
244.0 |
415.6 |
|
463.7 |
248.0 |
427.0 |
|
458.9 |
241.4 |
421.8 |
1 Represents assets at beginning of period, plus January advance tax transfers (1984-90), as a percentage of disbursements during the following 12-month period. |
· Assets and disbursements shown earlier.
· Historical advance tax transfers were made from May 1983 through November 1990, and are based on administrative records from the Department of the Treasury. (Advance tax transfers no longer available.)
· Trust fund ratios computed by addition and division of corresponding figures.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions. See tables V.A12 and V.B12 for low-cost and high-cost alternatives, respectively.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001