Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Calendar period |
In force beginning of period |
Awards during period |
Terminations during period |
In force end of period |
Current-payment status end of period |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.0 |
59.3 |
$74.33 |
31.9 |
$82.39 |
26.7 |
1.0032 |
$80.54 |
64.5 |
$81.21 |
1.0004 |
$81.24 |
|
6.4 |
64.5 |
81.21 |
36.6 |
85.10 |
31.1 |
.9867 |
85.25 |
69.9 |
86.25 |
1.0012 |
86.35 |
|
5.9 |
69.9 |
86.25 |
36.9 |
92.69 |
32.0 |
1.0026 |
91.57 |
74.9 |
91.91 |
1.0011 |
92.01 |
|
6.5 |
74.9 |
91.91 |
35.3 |
101.29 |
33.3 |
1.0296 |
100.78 |
77.0 |
98.20 |
1.0039 |
98.58 |
|
9.9 |
77.0 |
98.20 |
32.7 |
114.39 |
33.8 |
1.0341 |
111.60 |
75.9 |
109.01 |
1.0020 |
109.23 |
|
14.3 |
75.9 |
109.01 |
32.6 |
131.23 |
32.5 |
1.0512 |
130.98 |
76.0 |
124.69 |
1.0018 |
124.92 |
|
11.2 |
76.0 |
124.69 |
30.4 |
141.84 |
31.2 |
1.0578 |
146.68 |
75.2 |
137.03 |
1.0030 |
137.44 |
|
7.4 |
75.2 |
137.03 |
31.5 |
153.31 |
31.7 |
1.0629 |
156.42 |
75.0 |
146.17 |
1.0023 |
146.51 |
|
3.5 |
75.0 |
146.17 |
33.1 |
160.03 |
32.2 |
1.0694 |
161.78 |
75.9 |
150.66 |
1.0084 |
151.92 |
|
3.5 |
75.9 |
150.66 |
31.9 |
165.03 |
31.8 |
1.0521 |
164.06 |
76.0 |
156.35 |
1.0095 |
157.83 |
|
3.1 |
76.0 |
156.35 |
32.4 |
169.83 |
32.6 |
1.0420 |
167.96 |
75.8 |
162.00 |
1.0114 |
163.84 |
|
1.3 |
75.8 |
162.00 |
32.1 |
171.39 |
32.2 |
1.0366 |
170.11 |
75.6 |
164.66 |
1.0111 |
166.48 |
|
4.2 |
75.6 |
164.66 |
30.5 |
181.09 |
31.3 |
1.0527 |
180.62 |
74.9 |
172.19 |
1.0117 |
174.21 |
|
4.0 |
74.9 |
172.19 |
28.3 |
189.53 |
30.5 |
1.0790 |
193.22 |
72.7 |
180.63 |
1.0127 |
182.92 |
|
4.7 |
72.7 |
180.63 |
26.3 |
200.01 |
29.9 |
1.0799 |
204.24 |
69.1 |
190.86 |
1.0122 |
193.19 |
|
5.4 |
69.1 |
190.86 |
25.2 |
211.02 |
28.6 |
1.1007 |
221.42 |
65.6 |
202.12 |
1.0129 |
204.73 |
|
3.7 |
65.6 |
202.12 |
24.4 |
222.04 |
27.1 |
1.1278 |
236.39 |
62.9 |
211.05 |
1.0136 |
213.91 |
|
3.0 |
62.9 |
211.05 |
25.4 |
227.22 |
26.7 |
1.1141 |
242.18 |
61.6 |
218.57 |
1.0141 |
221.65 |
|
2.6 |
61.6 |
218.57 |
25.5 |
232.12 |
26.9 |
1.0594 |
237.57 |
60.2 |
224.70 |
1.0150 |
228.08 |
|
2.8 |
60.2 |
224.70 |
24.2 |
247.57 |
25.9 |
1.0391 |
240.02 |
58.5 |
233.94 |
1.0141 |
237.25 |
|
2.6 |
58.5 |
233.94 |
22.8 |
259.16 |
25.3 |
1.0430 |
250.35 |
56.0 |
243.24 |
1.0148 |
246.84 |
|
2.9 |
56.0 |
243.24 |
21.7 |
264.35 |
23.8 |
1.0359 |
259.28 |
53.9 |
252.13 |
1.0150 |
255.91 |
|
2.1 |
53.9 |
252.13 |
23.3 |
257.11 |
23.9 |
1.0216 |
262.97 |
53.4 |
254.89 |
1.0141 |
258.48 |
|
1.3 |
53.4 |
254.89 |
22.7 |
260.46 |
23.1 |
1.0254 |
264.75 |
53.0 |
256.40 |
1.0140 |
259.99 |
|
1 2.5 |
53.0 |
256.40 |
22.5 |
268.59 |
23.2 |
1.0268 |
269.60 |
52.3 |
262.17 |
1.0123 |
265.40 |
|
3.5 |
52.3 |
262.17 |
22.3 |
276.61 |
23.4 |
1.0241 |
277.87 |
51.3 |
271.02 |
1.0122 |
274.32 |
|
... |
51.3 |
271.02 |
5.7 |
280.52 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
279.15 |
51.3 |
271.19 |
1.0127 |
274.63 |
|
... |
51.3 |
271.19 |
5.7 |
281.56 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
279.32 |
51.4 |
271.44 |
1.0127 |
274.89 |
|
... |
51.4 |
271.44 |
5.7 |
282.60 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
279.59 |
51.4 |
271.79 |
1.0127 |
275.24 |
|
2.8 |
51.4 |
271.79 |
5.4 |
291.58 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
287.80 |
51.1 |
279.76 |
1.0127 |
283.31 |
|
... |
51.1 |
279.76 |
5.9 |
293.00 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
288.15 |
51.3 |
280.35 |
1.0127 |
283.91 |
|
... |
51.3 |
280.35 |
5.9 |
294.42 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
288.76 |
51.5 |
281.03 |
1.0127 |
284.60 |
|
... |
51.5 |
281.03 |
5.9 |
295.84 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
289.46 |
51.7 |
281.78 |
1.0127 |
285.36 |
|
2.9 |
51.7 |
281.78 |
5.5 |
305.88 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
298.67 |
51.5 |
290.70 |
1.0127 |
294.39 |
|
... |
51.5 |
290.70 |
6.0 |
307.60 |
5.7 |
1.0300 |
299.43 |
51.8 |
291.70 |
1.0127 |
295.40 |
|
... |
51.8 |
291.70 |
6.0 |
309.32 |
5.8 |
1.0300 |
300.45 |
52.0 |
292.77 |
1.0127 |
296.48 |
|
... |
52.0 |
292.77 |
6.0 |
311.04 |
5.8 |
1.0300 |
301.55 |
52.2 |
293.89 |
1.0127 |
297.62 |
|
3.0 |
52.2 |
293.89 |
5.6 |
322.14 |
5.8 |
1.0300 |
311.81 |
52.1 |
303.82 |
1.0127 |
307.67 |
|
... |
52.1 |
303.82 |
6.2 |
323.94 |
5.8 |
1.0300 |
312.93 |
52.5 |
305.19 |
1.0127 |
309.06 |
|
... |
52.5 |
305.19 |
6.2 |
325.74 |
5.8 |
1.0300 |
314.34 |
52.9 |
306.59 |
1.0127 |
310.48 |
|
... |
52.9 |
306.59 |
6.2 |
327.53 |
5.9 |
1.0300 |
315.79 |
53.2 |
308.01 |
1.0127 |
311.92 |
|
3.1 |
53.2 |
308.01 |
5.8 |
339.54 |
5.9 |
1.0300 |
327.11 |
53.1 |
318.93 |
1.0127 |
322.97 |
|
... |
53.1 |
318.93 |
6.4 |
341.19 |
5.9 |
1.0300 |
328.49 |
53.6 |
320.53 |
1.0127 |
324.60 |
|
... |
53.6 |
320.53 |
6.4 |
342.84 |
6.0 |
1.0300 |
330.15 |
54.1 |
322.13 |
1.0127 |
326.21 |
|
... |
54.1 |
322.13 |
6.4 |
344.49 |
6.0 |
1.0300 |
331.79 |
54.5 |
323.70 |
1.0127 |
327.80 |
|
3.2 |
54.5 |
323.70 |
6.0 |
357.22 |
6.0 |
1.0300 |
344.10 |
54.5 |
335.52 |
1.0127 |
339.78 |
|
... |
54.5 |
335.52 |
6.6 |
358.53 |
6.1 |
1.0300 |
345.59 |
55.0 |
337.19 |
1.0127 |
341.47 |
|
... |
55.0 |
337.19 |
6.6 |
359.85 |
6.1 |
1.0300 |
347.30 |
55.5 |
338.77 |
1.0127 |
343.07 |
|
... |
55.5 |
338.77 |
6.6 |
361.17 |
6.2 |
1.0300 |
348.93 |
56.0 |
340.30 |
1.0127 |
344.62 |
|
3.3 |
56.0 |
340.30 |
6.2 |
374.45 |
6.2 |
1.0300 |
362.09 |
56.0 |
352.92 |
1.0127 |
357.40 |
|
... |
56.0 |
352.92 |
6.8 |
375.63 |
6.2 |
1.0300 |
363.51 |
56.6 |
354.50 |
1.0127 |
358.99 |
|
... |
56.6 |
354.50 |
6.8 |
376.81 |
6.3 |
1.0300 |
365.13 |
57.1 |
355.99 |
1.0127 |
360.51 |
|
... |
57.1 |
355.99 |
6.8 |
377.99 |
6.4 |
1.0300 |
366.67 |
57.6 |
357.42 |
1.0127 |
361.96 |
|
3.3 |
57.6 |
357.42 |
6.4 |
391.68 |
6.4 |
1.0300 |
380.31 |
57.6 |
370.50 |
1.0127 |
375.20 |
|
... |
57.6 |
370.50 |
7.0 |
392.86 |
6.4 |
1.0300 |
381.62 |
58.2 |
371.97 |
1.0127 |
376.69 |
|
... |
58.2 |
371.97 |
7.0 |
394.05 |
6.5 |
1.0300 |
383.13 |
58.7 |
373.38 |
1.0127 |
378.12 |
|
... |
58.7 |
373.38 |
7.0 |
395.23 |
6.5 |
1.0300 |
384.58 |
59.2 |
374.73 |
1.0127 |
379.49 |
|
3.3 |
59.2 |
374.73 |
6.6 |
409.50 |
6.6 |
1.0300 |
398.73 |
59.2 |
388.32 |
1.0127 |
393.25 |
|
... |
59.2 |
388.32 |
7.2 |
410.71 |
6.6 |
1.0300 |
399.97 |
59.8 |
389.74 |
1.0127 |
394.68 |
|
... |
59.8 |
389.74 |
7.2 |
411.93 |
6.7 |
1.0300 |
401.43 |
60.4 |
391.10 |
1.0127 |
396.07 |
|
... |
60.4 |
391.10 |
7.2 |
413.14 |
6.7 |
1.0300 |
402.84 |
60.9 |
392.42 |
1.0127 |
397.40 |
|
3.3 |
60.9 |
392.42 |
6.8 |
428.03 |
6.8 |
1.0300 |
417.55 |
60.9 |
406.55 |
1.0127 |
411.71 |
|
... |
60.9 |
406.55 |
7.5 |
429.38 |
6.8 |
1.0300 |
418.75 |
61.6 |
407.97 |
1.0127 |
413.15 |
|
... |
61.6 |
407.97 |
7.5 |
430.72 |
6.9 |
1.0300 |
420.21 |
62.2 |
409.35 |
1.0127 |
414.55 |
|
... |
62.2 |
409.35 |
7.5 |
432.07 |
6.9 |
1.0300 |
421.63 |
62.7 |
410.70 |
1.0127 |
415.91 |
|
3.3 |
62.7 |
410.70 |
7.0 |
447.72 |
7.0 |
1.0300 |
437.00 |
62.8 |
425.47 |
1.0127 |
430.87 |
1 Benefit increase for 1999 was originally determined as 2.4 percent, but pursuant to Public Law 106-554 is effectively now 2.5 percent. |
Sources: See sources at end of table III.D5.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001