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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.30 | 12.98 | -1.31 | 256 | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2020 | 14.41 | 12.99 | -1.42 | 240 | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2021 | 14.53 | 13.02 | -1.51 | 224 | 0.26 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
2022 | 14.74 | 13.05 | -1.69 | 207 | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2023 | 15.00 | 13.07 | -1.93 | 190 | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2024 | 15.26 | 13.11 | -2.15 | 172 | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
2025 | 15.51 | 13.12 | -2.39 | 154 | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2026 | 15.69 | 13.14 | -2.55 | 136 | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2027 | 15.85 | 13.15 | -2.70 | 119 | 0.20 | 0.01 | -0.19 | ||
2028 | 15.99 | 13.17 | -2.82 | 101 | 0.18 | 0.01 | -0.16 | ||
2029 | 16.12 | 13.18 | -2.94 | 84 | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.14 | ||
2030 | 16.23 | 13.19 | -3.04 | 66 | 0.13 | 0.01 | -0.12 | ||
2031 | 16.32 | 13.20 | -3.13 | 48 | 0.10 | 0.01 | -0.10 | ||
2032 | 16.41 | 13.21 | -3.21 | 30 | 0.08 | 0.01 | -0.08 | ||
2033 | 16.48 | 13.21 | -3.27 | 11 | 0.07 | 0.01 | -0.06 | ||
2034 | 16.52 | 13.22 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.05 | ||
2035 | 16.54 | 13.22 | -3.32 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.04 | ||
2036 | 16.58 | 13.22 | -3.35 | ---- | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | ||
2037 | 16.60 | 13.23 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2038 | 16.60 | 13.23 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2039 | 16.58 | 13.23 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2040 | 16.55 | 13.23 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2041 | 16.52 | 13.23 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2042 | 16.49 | 13.23 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2043 | 16.45 | 13.23 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2044 | 16.42 | 13.23 | -3.19 | ---- | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2045 | 16.40 | 13.23 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2046 | 16.37 | 13.23 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2047 | 16.34 | 13.23 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2048 | 16.32 | 13.23 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2049 | 16.30 | 13.23 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2050 | 16.29 | 13.23 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2051 | 16.29 | 13.23 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2052 | 16.30 | 13.23 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2053 | 16.32 | 13.23 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2054 | 16.35 | 13.24 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2055 | 16.39 | 13.24 | -3.15 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2056 | 16.43 | 13.24 | -3.19 | ---- | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2057 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2058 | 16.52 | 13.25 | -3.27 | ---- | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2059 | 16.57 | 13.25 | -3.31 | ---- | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2060 | 16.61 | 13.26 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2061 | 16.66 | 13.26 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2062 | 16.71 | 13.26 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2063 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2064 | 16.80 | 13.27 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2065 | 16.85 | 13.27 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2066 | 16.90 | 13.28 | -3.62 | ---- | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2067 | 16.95 | 13.28 | -3.67 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2068 | 17.00 | 13.29 | -3.72 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2069 | 17.06 | 13.29 | -3.77 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2070 | 17.11 | 13.29 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2071 | 17.16 | 13.30 | -3.86 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2072 | 17.19 | 13.30 | -3.89 | ---- | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2073 | 17.22 | 13.30 | -3.92 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2074 | 17.25 | 13.30 | -3.94 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2075 | 17.26 | 13.30 | -3.96 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2076 | 17.27 | 13.30 | -3.97 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2077 | 17.27 | 13.31 | -3.97 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2078 | 17.27 | 13.31 | -3.97 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2079 | 17.27 | 13.31 | -3.96 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2080 | 17.27 | 13.31 | -3.96 | ---- | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2081 | 17.27 | 13.31 | -3.96 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2082 | 17.28 | 13.31 | -3.97 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2083 | 17.29 | 13.31 | -3.99 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2084 | 17.32 | 13.31 | -4.01 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2085 | 17.35 | 13.31 | -4.04 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2086 | 17.38 | 13.31 | -4.07 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2087 | 17.42 | 13.31 | -4.11 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2088 | 17.46 | 13.32 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2089 | 17.51 | 13.32 | -4.19 | ---- | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2090 | 17.55 | 13.32 | -4.23 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2091 | 17.59 | 13.33 | -4.27 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.49% | 13.85% | -2.65% | 2033 | -0.01% | 0.00% | 0.01% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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