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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.81 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.87 | 12.96 | -0.91 | 277 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | ||
2019 | 14.01 | 12.97 | -1.04 | 261 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.02 | ||
2020 | 14.17 | 12.98 | -1.19 | 245 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.04 | ||
2021 | 14.32 | 13.00 | -1.31 | 230 | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.05 | ||
2022 | 14.55 | 13.04 | -1.52 | 214 | 0.06 | 0.00 | -0.06 | ||
2023 | 14.83 | 13.06 | -1.77 | 197 | 0.07 | 0.00 | -0.07 | ||
2024 | 15.11 | 13.10 | -2.01 | 180 | 0.09 | 0.00 | -0.08 | ||
2025 | 15.38 | 13.11 | -2.27 | 162 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -0.09 | ||
2026 | 15.58 | 13.13 | -2.45 | 145 | 0.11 | 0.01 | -0.11 | ||
2027 | 15.77 | 13.15 | -2.62 | 127 | 0.12 | 0.01 | -0.12 | ||
2028 | 15.95 | 13.16 | -2.78 | 110 | 0.13 | 0.01 | -0.13 | ||
2029 | 16.11 | 13.18 | -2.93 | 92 | 0.14 | 0.01 | -0.14 | ||
2030 | 16.25 | 13.19 | -3.07 | 75 | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.15 | ||
2031 | 16.38 | 13.20 | -3.19 | 56 | 0.16 | 0.01 | -0.15 | ||
2032 | 16.50 | 13.21 | -3.29 | 38 | 0.17 | 0.01 | -0.16 | ||
2033 | 16.59 | 13.22 | -3.37 | 18 | 0.18 | 0.01 | -0.17 | ||
2034 | 16.65 | 13.22 | -3.43 | ---- | 0.19 | 0.01 | -0.18 | ||
2035 | 16.69 | 13.23 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.19 | 0.01 | -0.18 | ||
2036 | 16.76 | 13.23 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.20 | 0.01 | -0.19 | ||
2037 | 16.81 | 13.24 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.21 | 0.01 | -0.20 | ||
2038 | 16.83 | 13.24 | -3.59 | ---- | 0.21 | 0.01 | -0.20 | ||
2039 | 16.83 | 13.24 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2040 | 16.81 | 13.24 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2041 | 16.79 | 13.24 | -3.54 | ---- | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
2042 | 16.76 | 13.24 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
2043 | 16.73 | 13.24 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.23 | 0.01 | -0.22 | ||
2044 | 16.71 | 13.24 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2045 | 16.69 | 13.24 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2046 | 16.67 | 13.24 | -3.43 | ---- | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
2047 | 16.65 | 13.24 | -3.41 | ---- | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
2048 | 16.64 | 13.24 | -3.40 | ---- | 0.26 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
2049 | 16.63 | 13.25 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.26 | 0.01 | -0.25 | ||
2050 | 16.62 | 13.25 | -3.38 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.25 | ||
2051 | 16.63 | 13.25 | -3.38 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2052 | 16.65 | 13.25 | -3.40 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2053 | 16.67 | 13.25 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
2054 | 16.71 | 13.25 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.27 | ||
2055 | 16.75 | 13.26 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.02 | -0.27 | ||
2056 | 16.80 | 13.26 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.02 | -0.27 | ||
2057 | 16.85 | 13.27 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
2058 | 16.90 | 13.27 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
2059 | 16.95 | 13.27 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
2060 | 17.01 | 13.28 | -3.73 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
2061 | 17.06 | 13.28 | -3.78 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.28 | ||
2062 | 17.11 | 13.29 | -3.82 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2063 | 17.16 | 13.29 | -3.87 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2064 | 17.21 | 13.29 | -3.92 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2065 | 17.26 | 13.30 | -3.97 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2066 | 17.32 | 13.30 | -4.02 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2067 | 17.37 | 13.30 | -4.07 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.29 | ||
2068 | 17.43 | 13.31 | -4.12 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2069 | 17.48 | 13.31 | -4.17 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2070 | 17.53 | 13.31 | -4.22 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2071 | 17.58 | 13.32 | -4.26 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2072 | 17.62 | 13.32 | -4.30 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2073 | 17.66 | 13.32 | -4.34 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2074 | 17.69 | 13.33 | -4.36 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2075 | 17.71 | 13.33 | -4.38 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2076 | 17.72 | 13.33 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2077 | 17.73 | 13.33 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2078 | 17.73 | 13.33 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2079 | 17.72 | 13.33 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2080 | 17.72 | 13.33 | -4.39 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2081 | 17.72 | 13.33 | -4.39 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2082 | 17.73 | 13.33 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2083 | 17.74 | 13.33 | -4.41 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2084 | 17.76 | 13.33 | -4.43 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2085 | 17.79 | 13.33 | -4.46 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2086 | 17.83 | 13.33 | -4.49 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2087 | 17.86 | 13.34 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
2088 | 17.91 | 13.34 | -4.57 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2089 | 17.95 | 13.34 | -4.61 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2090 | 18.00 | 13.35 | -4.65 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
2091 | 18.05 | 13.35 | -4.70 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.73% | 13.86% | -2.87% | 2033 | 0.23% | 0.01% | -0.22% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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