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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.27 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.03 | -1.46 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.06 | -1.70 | 200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 15.01 | 13.09 | -1.92 | 183 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2025 | 15.26 | 13.11 | -2.15 | 166 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2026 | 15.43 | 13.13 | -2.30 | 149 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2027 | 15.58 | 13.14 | -2.44 | 133 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2028 | 15.71 | 13.15 | -2.56 | 117 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2029 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.66 | 100 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2030 | 15.90 | 13.17 | -2.73 | 84 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2031 | 15.96 | 13.18 | -2.78 | 68 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2032 | 15.99 | 13.18 | -2.81 | 52 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2033 | 15.99 | 13.19 | -2.80 | 35 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2034 | 15.96 | 13.19 | -2.77 | 18 | -0.50 | -0.02 | 0.48 | ||
2035 | 15.90 | 13.19 | -2.71 | 1 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2036 | 15.86 | 13.19 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.03 | 0.66 | ||
2037 | 15.80 | 13.19 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2038 | 15.70 | 13.19 | -2.52 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.04 | 0.87 | ||
2039 | 15.59 | 13.18 | -2.40 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2040 | 15.45 | 13.18 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.09 | ||
2041 | 15.30 | 13.17 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.20 | ||
2042 | 15.14 | 13.16 | -1.98 | ---- | -1.39 | -0.07 | 1.32 | ||
2043 | 14.98 | 13.16 | -1.82 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2044 | 14.81 | 13.15 | -1.66 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.08 | 1.57 | ||
2045 | 14.65 | 13.14 | -1.51 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.09 | 1.71 | ||
2046 | 14.48 | 13.13 | -1.35 | ---- | -1.94 | -0.10 | 1.85 | ||
2047 | 14.31 | 13.13 | -1.19 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.11 | 1.98 | ||
2048 | 14.14 | 13.12 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.11 | 2.13 | ||
2049 | 13.98 | 13.11 | -0.87 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.12 | 2.27 | ||
2050 | 13.81 | 13.10 | -0.71 | ---- | -2.55 | -0.13 | 2.42 | ||
2051 | 13.65 | 13.09 | -0.56 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.14 | 2.57 | ||
2052 | 13.50 | 13.09 | -0.42 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.15 | 2.72 | ||
2053 | 13.36 | 13.08 | -0.28 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.16 | 2.87 | ||
2054 | 13.23 | 13.07 | -0.15 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.17 | 3.03 | ||
2055 | 13.10 | 13.07 | -0.03 | ---- | -3.36 | -0.17 | 3.19 | ||
2056 | 12.98 | 13.06 | 0.08 | ---- | -3.53 | -0.18 | 3.34 | ||
2057 | 12.86 | 13.06 | 0.20 | ---- | -3.69 | -0.19 | 3.50 | ||
2058 | 12.75 | 13.05 | 0.31 | ---- | -3.86 | -0.20 | 3.66 | ||
2059 | 12.63 | 13.05 | 0.41 | ---- | -4.02 | -0.21 | 3.81 | ||
2060 | 12.52 | 13.04 | 0.52 | ---- | -4.18 | -0.22 | 3.96 | ||
2061 | 12.41 | 13.04 | 0.62 | ---- | -4.34 | -0.23 | 4.12 | ||
2062 | 12.31 | 13.03 | 0.73 | ---- | -4.50 | -0.24 | 4.26 | ||
2063 | 12.20 | 13.03 | 0.83 | ---- | -4.66 | -0.25 | 4.41 | ||
2064 | 12.09 | 13.02 | 0.93 | ---- | -4.81 | -0.25 | 4.56 | ||
2065 | 11.99 | 13.02 | 1.03 | ---- | -4.96 | -0.26 | 4.70 | ||
2066 | 11.89 | 13.01 | 1.12 | ---- | -5.12 | -0.27 | 4.85 | ||
2067 | 11.79 | 13.01 | 1.21 | ---- | -5.27 | -0.28 | 4.99 | ||
2068 | 11.70 | 13.00 | 1.31 | ---- | -5.42 | -0.29 | 5.13 | ||
2069 | 11.60 | 13.00 | 1.40 | ---- | -5.57 | -0.30 | 5.27 | ||
2070 | 11.50 | 12.99 | 1.49 | ---- | -5.72 | -0.30 | 5.41 | ||
2071 | 11.40 | 12.99 | 1.58 | ---- | -5.86 | -0.31 | 5.55 | ||
2072 | 11.30 | 12.98 | 1.68 | ---- | -6.00 | -0.32 | 5.68 | ||
2073 | 11.20 | 12.98 | 1.78 | ---- | -6.14 | -0.33 | 5.81 | ||
2074 | 11.09 | 12.97 | 1.88 | ---- | -6.28 | -0.34 | 5.94 | ||
2075 | 10.99 | 12.97 | 1.98 | ---- | -6.41 | -0.34 | 6.06 | ||
2076 | 10.87 | 12.96 | 2.09 | ---- | -6.53 | -0.35 | 6.18 | ||
2077 | 10.76 | 12.96 | 2.20 | ---- | -6.65 | -0.36 | 6.30 | ||
2078 | 10.64 | 12.95 | 2.31 | ---- | -6.77 | -0.36 | 6.41 | ||
2079 | 10.52 | 12.94 | 2.42 | ---- | -6.88 | -0.37 | 6.51 | ||
2080 | 10.41 | 12.94 | 2.53 | ---- | -7.00 | -0.37 | 6.62 | ||
2081 | 10.29 | 12.93 | 2.64 | ---- | -7.11 | -0.38 | 6.73 | ||
2082 | 10.18 | 12.92 | 2.74 | ---- | -7.23 | -0.39 | 6.84 | ||
2083 | 10.07 | 12.92 | 2.84 | ---- | -7.34 | -0.39 | 6.95 | ||
2084 | 9.97 | 12.91 | 2.94 | ---- | -7.47 | -0.40 | 7.07 | ||
2085 | 9.88 | 12.91 | 3.03 | 20 | -7.59 | -0.41 | 7.18 | ||
2086 | 9.79 | 12.90 | 3.12 | 51 | -7.72 | -0.41 | 7.30 | ||
2087 | 9.70 | 12.90 | 3.20 | 84 | -7.84 | -0.42 | 7.42 | ||
2088 | 9.61 | 12.89 | 3.28 | 118 | -7.97 | -0.43 | 7.54 | ||
2089 | 9.53 | 12.89 | 3.36 | 155 | -8.10 | -0.44 | 7.67 | ||
2090 | 9.45 | 12.89 | 3.44 | 193 | -8.23 | -0.44 | 7.79 | ||
2091 | 9.37 | 12.88 | 3.51 | 233 | -8.36 | -0.45 | 7.91 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 13.58% | 13.69% | 0.11% | 2035 | -2.92% | -0.15% | 2.77% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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