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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.26 | 232 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2022 | 14.48 | 13.03 | -1.45 | 216 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2023 | 14.74 | 13.06 | -1.68 | 200 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2024 | 14.99 | 13.09 | -1.90 | 183 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2025 | 15.24 | 13.11 | -2.13 | 166 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2026 | 15.41 | 13.12 | -2.28 | 150 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.14 | -2.42 | 134 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2028 | 15.70 | 13.15 | -2.55 | 117 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2029 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.66 | 101 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2030 | 15.92 | 13.17 | -2.75 | 85 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2031 | 16.00 | 13.18 | -2.82 | 69 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2032 | 16.07 | 13.19 | -2.88 | 52 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2033 | 16.11 | 13.19 | -2.92 | 35 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2034 | 16.13 | 13.19 | -2.93 | 17 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2035 | 16.12 | 13.19 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2036 | 16.14 | 13.20 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2037 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2038 | 16.13 | 13.20 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2039 | 16.09 | 13.20 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2040 | 16.04 | 13.20 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2041 | 15.99 | 13.20 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2042 | 15.93 | 13.20 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2043 | 15.87 | 13.20 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2044 | 15.81 | 13.19 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2045 | 15.77 | 13.19 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2046 | 15.73 | 13.19 | -2.54 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2047 | 15.68 | 13.19 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2048 | 15.65 | 13.19 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2049 | 15.61 | 13.19 | -2.42 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2050 | 15.59 | 13.19 | -2.40 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2051 | 15.57 | 13.19 | -2.38 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2052 | 15.57 | 13.19 | -2.38 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.05 | 0.76 | ||
2053 | 15.58 | 13.19 | -2.39 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.05 | 0.77 | ||
2054 | 15.60 | 13.19 | -2.41 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2055 | 15.63 | 13.20 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2056 | 15.66 | 13.20 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2057 | 15.70 | 13.20 | -2.50 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2058 | 15.74 | 13.20 | -2.54 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2059 | 15.79 | 13.21 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2060 | 15.83 | 13.21 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2061 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2062 | 15.92 | 13.22 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2063 | 15.97 | 13.22 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2064 | 16.01 | 13.22 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2065 | 16.06 | 13.23 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2066 | 16.11 | 13.23 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2067 | 16.16 | 13.23 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2068 | 16.21 | 13.24 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2069 | 16.25 | 13.24 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2070 | 16.30 | 13.24 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2071 | 16.34 | 13.25 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2072 | 16.37 | 13.25 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2073 | 16.39 | 13.25 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2074 | 16.40 | 13.25 | -3.15 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.06 | 0.91 | ||
2075 | 16.40 | 13.25 | -3.15 | ---- | -0.99 | -0.06 | 0.93 | ||
2076 | 16.39 | 13.25 | -3.14 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.06 | 0.95 | ||
2077 | 16.37 | 13.25 | -3.12 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2078 | 16.34 | 13.25 | -3.09 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2079 | 16.31 | 13.25 | -3.06 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.03 | ||
2080 | 16.27 | 13.25 | -3.02 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.07 | 1.07 | ||
2081 | 16.23 | 13.24 | -2.99 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.07 | 1.10 | ||
2082 | 16.20 | 13.24 | -2.95 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2083 | 16.16 | 13.24 | -2.92 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.07 | 1.18 | ||
2084 | 16.13 | 13.24 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.31 | -0.08 | 1.23 | ||
2085 | 16.11 | 13.24 | -2.87 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.08 | 1.28 | ||
2086 | 16.09 | 13.24 | -2.85 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.08 | 1.34 | ||
2087 | 16.06 | 13.23 | -2.83 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.09 | 1.39 | ||
2088 | 16.04 | 13.23 | -2.81 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.09 | 1.45 | ||
2089 | 16.02 | 13.23 | -2.79 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.09 | 1.51 | ||
2090 | 16.00 | 13.23 | -2.77 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.10 | 1.58 | ||
2091 | 15.98 | 13.23 | -2.75 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.10 | 1.64 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.86% | 13.81% | -2.05% | 2034 | -0.65% | -0.04% | 0.61% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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