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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.82 | 12.95 | -0.86 | 278 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2019 | 13.91 | 12.96 | -0.94 | 263 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2020 | 14.01 | 12.97 | -1.04 | 249 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2021 | 14.11 | 13.00 | -1.12 | 236 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2022 | 14.30 | 13.03 | -1.27 | 221 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2023 | 14.52 | 13.05 | -1.48 | 206 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2024 | 14.75 | 13.08 | -1.67 | 191 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2025 | 14.98 | 13.10 | -1.88 | 175 | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2026 | 15.13 | 13.11 | -2.02 | 160 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2027 | 15.27 | 13.12 | -2.15 | 145 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2028 | 15.41 | 13.14 | -2.27 | 131 | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2029 | 15.53 | 13.15 | -2.38 | 116 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2030 | 15.64 | 13.16 | -2.48 | 101 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2031 | 15.73 | 13.17 | -2.57 | 86 | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2032 | 15.81 | 13.17 | -2.64 | 71 | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2033 | 15.87 | 13.18 | -2.69 | 55 | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2034 | 15.91 | 13.18 | -2.72 | 39 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2035 | 15.92 | 13.19 | -2.74 | 22 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2036 | 15.96 | 13.19 | -2.77 | 6 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2037 | 15.99 | 13.19 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2038 | 15.99 | 13.20 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2039 | 15.97 | 13.20 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2040 | 15.94 | 13.20 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.61 | ||
2041 | 15.90 | 13.20 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2042 | 15.87 | 13.20 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2043 | 15.83 | 13.19 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2044 | 15.79 | 13.19 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2045 | 15.77 | 13.19 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2046 | 15.74 | 13.19 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2047 | 15.72 | 13.19 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2048 | 15.70 | 13.19 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2049 | 15.68 | 13.19 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2050 | 15.67 | 13.19 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2051 | 15.67 | 13.20 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2052 | 15.69 | 13.20 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2053 | 15.71 | 13.20 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2054 | 15.74 | 13.20 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2055 | 15.77 | 13.21 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2056 | 15.82 | 13.21 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2057 | 15.86 | 13.21 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2058 | 15.91 | 13.22 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2059 | 15.96 | 13.22 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2060 | 16.01 | 13.22 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2061 | 16.05 | 13.23 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2062 | 16.10 | 13.23 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2063 | 16.15 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2064 | 16.19 | 13.24 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2065 | 16.24 | 13.24 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2066 | 16.29 | 13.24 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2067 | 16.33 | 13.25 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2068 | 16.38 | 13.25 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2069 | 16.43 | 13.25 | -3.18 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2070 | 16.48 | 13.26 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2071 | 16.52 | 13.26 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2072 | 16.56 | 13.26 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2073 | 16.59 | 13.26 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2074 | 16.62 | 13.27 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2075 | 16.63 | 13.27 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2076 | 16.64 | 13.27 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2077 | 16.65 | 13.27 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2078 | 16.64 | 13.27 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2079 | 16.64 | 13.27 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2080 | 16.63 | 13.27 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2081 | 16.63 | 13.27 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2082 | 16.63 | 13.27 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2083 | 16.64 | 13.27 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2084 | 16.66 | 13.27 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2085 | 16.69 | 13.27 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2086 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2087 | 16.76 | 13.28 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2088 | 16.80 | 13.28 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2089 | 16.85 | 13.28 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2090 | 16.89 | 13.28 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2091 | 16.93 | 13.29 | -3.65 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.75 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.92% | 13.81% | -2.10% | 2036 | -0.59% | -0.03% | 0.55% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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