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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 14.26 | 0.54 | 293 | 0.00 | 1.34 | 1.34 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 14.41 | 0.56 | 286 | 0.00 | 1.46 | 1.46 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 14.47 | 0.48 | 281 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 14.52 | 0.39 | 275 | 0.00 | 1.54 | 1.54 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 14.58 | 0.31 | 270 | 0.00 | 1.58 | 1.58 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 14.65 | 0.16 | 264 | 0.00 | 1.61 | 1.62 | ||
2023 | 14.75 | 14.70 | -0.05 | 257 | -0.01 | 1.64 | 1.65 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 14.77 | -0.25 | 249 | -0.01 | 1.68 | 1.68 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 14.82 | -0.46 | 241 | -0.01 | 1.71 | 1.72 | ||
2026 | 15.46 | 14.89 | -0.57 | 234 | -0.01 | 1.76 | 1.77 | ||
2027 | 15.64 | 14.96 | -0.68 | 227 | -0.01 | 1.82 | 1.83 | ||
2028 | 15.80 | 15.03 | -0.77 | 221 | -0.01 | 1.88 | 1.89 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 15.11 | -0.85 | 215 | -0.01 | 1.94 | 1.95 | ||
2030 | 16.09 | 15.18 | -0.91 | 209 | -0.01 | 2.00 | 2.01 | ||
2031 | 16.21 | 15.26 | -0.95 | 205 | -0.01 | 2.07 | 2.08 | ||
2032 | 16.31 | 15.34 | -0.97 | 200 | -0.01 | 2.14 | 2.15 | ||
2033 | 16.39 | 15.42 | -0.97 | 195 | -0.02 | 2.21 | 2.23 | ||
2034 | 16.45 | 15.50 | -0.94 | 191 | -0.02 | 2.29 | 2.31 | ||
2035 | 16.48 | 15.53 | -0.95 | 187 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
2036 | 16.54 | 15.54 | -1.00 | 183 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2037 | 16.58 | 15.54 | -1.03 | 179 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2038 | 16.59 | 15.55 | -1.04 | 174 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2039 | 16.58 | 15.55 | -1.03 | 170 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2040 | 16.56 | 15.55 | -1.01 | 166 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2041 | 16.53 | 15.55 | -0.98 | 162 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2042 | 16.50 | 15.55 | -0.95 | 158 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2043 | 16.47 | 15.55 | -0.92 | 154 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2044 | 16.43 | 15.55 | -0.88 | 150 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2045 | 16.41 | 15.55 | -0.86 | 147 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2046 | 16.39 | 15.55 | -0.83 | 143 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2047 | 16.36 | 15.55 | -0.81 | 140 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2048 | 16.34 | 15.55 | -0.79 | 137 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2049 | 16.32 | 15.55 | -0.77 | 133 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2050 | 16.31 | 15.56 | -0.76 | 130 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2051 | 16.31 | 15.56 | -0.75 | 127 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2052 | 16.32 | 15.56 | -0.76 | 124 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2053 | 16.34 | 15.56 | -0.78 | 121 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2054 | 16.37 | 15.56 | -0.80 | 117 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2055 | 16.41 | 15.57 | -0.84 | 113 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2056 | 16.45 | 15.57 | -0.87 | 109 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2057 | 16.49 | 15.58 | -0.92 | 105 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2058 | 16.54 | 15.58 | -0.96 | 101 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2059 | 16.59 | 15.59 | -1.00 | 96 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2060 | 16.64 | 15.59 | -1.05 | 91 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2061 | 16.69 | 15.59 | -1.09 | 85 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2062 | 16.73 | 15.60 | -1.13 | 80 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2063 | 16.78 | 15.60 | -1.18 | 74 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2064 | 16.83 | 15.61 | -1.22 | 68 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2065 | 16.88 | 15.61 | -1.26 | 61 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2066 | 16.93 | 15.62 | -1.31 | 54 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2067 | 16.98 | 15.62 | -1.36 | 47 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2068 | 17.03 | 15.62 | -1.40 | 40 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2069 | 17.08 | 15.63 | -1.45 | 32 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2070 | 17.13 | 15.63 | -1.50 | 24 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2071 | 17.18 | 15.64 | -1.54 | 16 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2072 | 17.22 | 15.64 | -1.57 | 7 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2073 | 17.25 | 15.65 | -1.61 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2074 | 17.28 | 15.65 | -1.63 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2075 | 17.30 | 15.65 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2076 | 17.31 | 15.65 | -1.66 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2077 | 17.32 | 15.66 | -1.66 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2078 | 17.32 | 15.66 | -1.66 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2079 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2080 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2081 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2082 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2083 | 17.33 | 15.66 | -1.66 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2084 | 17.35 | 15.67 | -1.68 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2085 | 17.37 | 15.67 | -1.71 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2086 | 17.41 | 15.67 | -1.74 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2087 | 17.45 | 15.68 | -1.77 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2088 | 17.49 | 15.68 | -1.81 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2089 | 17.54 | 15.68 | -1.85 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2090 | 17.58 | 15.69 | -1.89 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2091 | 17.63 | 15.69 | -1.94 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.46% | 15.99% | -0.47% | 2072 | -0.05% | 2.14% | 2.19% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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