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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 12.97 | -1.01 | 262 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.11 | 12.98 | -1.13 | 247 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2021 | 14.24 | 13.00 | -1.24 | 232 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2022 | 14.44 | 13.03 | -1.41 | 217 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2023 | 14.69 | 13.06 | -1.63 | 201 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2024 | 14.93 | 13.09 | -1.84 | 185 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2025 | 15.15 | 13.10 | -2.05 | 169 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2026 | 15.30 | 13.12 | -2.18 | 153 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2027 | 15.44 | 13.13 | -2.31 | 137 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2028 | 15.56 | 13.14 | -2.41 | 122 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2029 | 15.66 | 13.15 | -2.51 | 106 | -0.31 | -0.01 | 0.29 | ||
2030 | 15.74 | 13.16 | -2.58 | 91 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2031 | 15.81 | 13.17 | -2.64 | 75 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2032 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.67 | 60 | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.45 | ||
2033 | 15.87 | 13.18 | -2.69 | 44 | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2034 | 15.86 | 13.18 | -2.68 | 28 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2035 | 15.83 | 13.18 | -2.64 | 12 | -0.67 | -0.03 | 0.64 | ||
2036 | 15.82 | 13.18 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2037 | 15.79 | 13.19 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.77 | ||
2038 | 15.73 | 13.18 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.04 | 0.84 | ||
2039 | 15.66 | 13.18 | -2.47 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2040 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2041 | 15.46 | 13.18 | -2.29 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2042 | 15.36 | 13.17 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.06 | 1.12 | ||
2043 | 15.24 | 13.17 | -2.08 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.06 | 1.19 | ||
2044 | 15.13 | 13.16 | -1.97 | ---- | -1.34 | -0.07 | 1.27 | ||
2045 | 15.03 | 13.16 | -1.88 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.07 | 1.34 | ||
2046 | 14.93 | 13.15 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.50 | -0.08 | 1.42 | ||
2047 | 14.82 | 13.15 | -1.67 | ---- | -1.58 | -0.08 | 1.50 | ||
2048 | 14.72 | 13.14 | -1.58 | ---- | -1.67 | -0.09 | 1.58 | ||
2049 | 14.62 | 13.14 | -1.48 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.09 | 1.66 | ||
2050 | 14.53 | 13.14 | -1.39 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.10 | 1.73 | ||
2051 | 14.45 | 13.13 | -1.32 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.10 | 1.81 | ||
2052 | 14.38 | 13.13 | -1.25 | ---- | -1.99 | -0.11 | 1.89 | ||
2053 | 14.32 | 13.13 | -1.20 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.11 | 1.96 | ||
2054 | 14.28 | 13.13 | -1.15 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.11 | 2.03 | ||
2055 | 14.25 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2056 | 14.22 | 13.12 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.12 | 2.17 | ||
2057 | 14.20 | 13.12 | -1.08 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.23 | ||
2058 | 14.19 | 13.12 | -1.07 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.13 | 2.29 | ||
2059 | 14.18 | 13.12 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.13 | 2.34 | ||
2060 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.14 | 2.39 | ||
2061 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.14 | 2.44 | ||
2062 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.14 | 2.49 | ||
2063 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -2.67 | -0.14 | 2.53 | ||
2064 | 14.19 | 13.13 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.72 | -0.15 | 2.57 | ||
2065 | 14.20 | 13.13 | -1.07 | ---- | -2.75 | -0.15 | 2.60 | ||
2066 | 14.22 | 13.13 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.79 | -0.15 | 2.64 | ||
2067 | 14.24 | 13.13 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.82 | -0.15 | 2.67 | ||
2068 | 14.26 | 13.13 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.86 | -0.16 | 2.70 | ||
2069 | 14.28 | 13.14 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.16 | 2.73 | ||
2070 | 14.31 | 13.14 | -1.17 | ---- | -2.91 | -0.16 | 2.75 | ||
2071 | 14.33 | 13.14 | -1.19 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.16 | 2.77 | ||
2072 | 14.35 | 13.14 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.16 | 2.79 | ||
2073 | 14.37 | 13.14 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.97 | -0.16 | 2.81 | ||
2074 | 14.38 | 13.14 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.16 | 2.83 | ||
2075 | 14.39 | 13.15 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.16 | 2.84 | ||
2076 | 14.39 | 13.15 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.17 | 2.85 | ||
2077 | 14.39 | 13.15 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.85 | ||
2078 | 14.39 | 13.15 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.86 | ||
2079 | 14.38 | 13.15 | -1.23 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.17 | 2.86 | ||
2080 | 14.37 | 13.15 | -1.23 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.17 | 2.86 | ||
2081 | 14.37 | 13.15 | -1.22 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2082 | 14.37 | 13.15 | -1.23 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2083 | 14.38 | 13.15 | -1.23 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2084 | 14.39 | 13.15 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.17 | 2.88 | ||
2085 | 14.42 | 13.15 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.17 | 2.88 | ||
2086 | 14.44 | 13.15 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.17 | 2.89 | ||
2087 | 14.48 | 13.15 | -1.32 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.17 | 2.90 | ||
2088 | 14.51 | 13.15 | -1.36 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.17 | 2.91 | ||
2089 | 14.55 | 13.16 | -1.39 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.17 | 2.91 | ||
2090 | 14.58 | 13.16 | -1.42 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.17 | 2.92 | ||
2091 | 14.62 | 13.16 | -1.46 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.17 | 2.93 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 14.89% | 13.76% | -1.13% | 2035 | -1.61% | -0.09% | 1.53% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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