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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
E1.6: Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 12.6 percent in 2019, 12.9 percent in 2027, 13.3 in percent in 2037, 13.8 percent in 2047, 14.4 percent in 2067, and 14.5 percent in 2082 and later.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201614.0512.94-1.10
303
0.000.000.00
201713.7212.92-0.80
293
0.000.000.00
201813.8612.96-0.90
277
0.000.000.00
201913.9913.15-0.84
262
0.000.180.18
202014.1313.17-0.96
247
0.000.190.19
202114.2713.19-1.08
234
0.000.190.19
202214.4913.23-1.26
220
0.000.190.19
202314.7613.25-1.51
204
0.000.190.19
202415.0213.28-1.74
189
0.000.190.19
202515.2813.30-1.98
172
0.000.190.19
202615.4713.32-2.15
157
0.000.190.19
202715.6513.61-2.04
141
0.000.460.46
202815.8113.63-2.18
127
0.000.480.48
202915.9613.65-2.32
113
0.000.480.48
203016.1013.66-2.44
99
0.000.480.48
203116.2213.67-2.55
84
0.000.480.48
203216.3213.68-2.65
69
0.000.480.48
203316.4113.68-2.72
54
0.000.480.48
203416.4613.69-2.77
38
0.000.480.48
203516.4913.69-2.80
22
0.000.480.48
203616.5513.70-2.85
6
0.000.480.48
203716.6014.07-2.53
----
0.000.840.84
203816.6114.09-2.52
----
0.000.860.86
203916.6114.09-2.52
----
0.000.860.86
204016.5914.09-2.50
----
-0.010.860.86
204116.5614.09-2.47
----
-0.010.860.86
204216.5314.09-2.44
----
-0.010.860.86
204316.4914.09-2.40
----
-0.010.860.87
204416.4614.09-2.37
----
-0.010.860.87
204516.4414.09-2.35
----
-0.010.860.87
204616.4214.09-2.33
----
-0.010.860.87
204716.3914.54-1.85
----
-0.011.311.32
204816.3814.56-1.81
----
-0.011.331.34
204916.3614.56-1.79
----
-0.011.331.34
205016.3514.57-1.78
----
-0.011.331.35
205116.3514.57-1.78
----
-0.011.331.35
205216.3614.57-1.79
----
-0.011.331.35
205316.3814.57-1.81
----
-0.011.331.35
205416.4114.57-1.84
----
-0.021.331.35
205516.4514.58-1.87
----
-0.021.331.35
205616.4914.58-1.91
----
-0.021.331.35
205716.5414.59-1.95
----
-0.021.331.35
205816.5914.59-2.00
----
-0.021.341.35
205916.6414.59-2.04
----
-0.021.341.36
206016.6914.60-2.09
----
-0.021.341.36
206116.7314.60-2.13
----
-0.021.341.36
206216.7814.61-2.18
----
-0.021.341.36
206316.8314.61-2.22
----
-0.031.341.36
206416.8814.61-2.27
----
-0.031.341.36
206516.9314.62-2.31
----
-0.031.341.36
206616.9814.62-2.36
----
-0.031.341.37
206717.0315.16-1.87
----
-0.031.881.91
206817.0815.20-1.89
----
-0.031.911.94
206917.1315.20-1.93
----
-0.031.911.94
207017.1815.20-1.98
----
-0.031.911.94
207117.2315.21-2.02
----
-0.041.911.94
207217.2715.21-2.06
----
-0.041.911.94
207317.3015.21-2.09
----
-0.041.911.95
207417.3315.22-2.12
----
-0.041.911.95
207517.3515.22-2.13
----
-0.041.911.95
207617.3615.22-2.14
----
-0.041.911.95
207717.3715.22-2.15
----
-0.041.911.95
207817.3715.22-2.14
----
-0.041.911.95
207917.3615.22-2.14
----
-0.041.911.95
208017.3615.22-2.13
----
-0.051.911.96
208117.3515.22-2.13
----
-0.051.911.96
208217.3615.31-2.05
----
-0.052.002.05
208317.3715.32-2.05
----
-0.052.012.05
208417.3915.32-2.07
----
-0.052.012.06
208517.4215.32-2.10
----
-0.052.012.06
208617.4515.33-2.13
----
-0.052.012.06
208717.4915.33-2.16
----
-0.052.012.06
208817.5315.33-2.20
----
-0.052.012.06
208917.5815.34-2.24
----
-0.052.012.06
209017.6215.34-2.28
----
-0.062.012.07
209117.6715.34-2.32
----
-0.062.012.07



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report.
2016-2090 16.49% 14.91% -1.58%
2036
-0.02% 1.06% 1.08%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified August 30, 2016