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Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
A4: Starting December 2019, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. The new COLA will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to OASI benefits, except for those of formerly disabled-workers who converted to retired-worker status.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Present law
[percent of payroll]
Change from present law
[percent of payroll]
Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.66 -4.35 0.41 0.55 15% 13%


graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 present law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under present law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.
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Last reviewed or modified August 30, 2016