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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2014 | 13.95 | 12.67 | -1.29 | 320 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.92 | -1.05 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.84 | 12.89 | -0.96 | 295 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.12 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.90 | -0.83 | 283 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2018 | 13.65 | 12.92 | -0.74 | 272 | -0.36 | -0.01 | 0.35 | ||
2019 | 13.67 | 12.93 | -0.74 | 261 | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.46 | ||
2020 | 13.74 | 12.93 | -0.80 | 251 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2021 | 13.80 | 12.95 | -0.85 | 242 | -0.70 | -0.03 | 0.67 | ||
2022 | 13.93 | 12.97 | -0.96 | 232 | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.77 | ||
2023 | 14.09 | 12.99 | -1.10 | 221 | -0.91 | -0.04 | 0.87 | ||
2024 | 14.26 | 13.01 | -1.26 | 211 | -1.01 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2025 | 14.43 | 13.02 | -1.41 | 200 | -1.11 | -0.05 | 1.06 | ||
2026 | 14.58 | 13.03 | -1.55 | 189 | -1.21 | -0.06 | 1.15 | ||
2027 | 14.73 | 13.04 | -1.68 | 178 | -1.30 | -0.06 | 1.24 | ||
2028 | 14.86 | 13.05 | -1.80 | 167 | -1.39 | -0.07 | 1.32 | ||
2029 | 14.97 | 13.06 | -1.90 | 156 | -1.47 | -0.07 | 1.40 | ||
2030 | 15.06 | 13.07 | -1.98 | 145 | -1.55 | -0.07 | 1.47 | ||
2031 | 15.13 | 13.08 | -2.05 | 134 | -1.62 | -0.08 | 1.54 | ||
2032 | 15.18 | 13.09 | -2.09 | 122 | -1.69 | -0.08 | 1.60 | ||
2033 | 15.21 | 13.09 | -2.12 | 110 | -1.75 | -0.08 | 1.66 | ||
2034 | 15.23 | 13.09 | -2.14 | 97 | -1.80 | -0.09 | 1.71 | ||
2035 | 15.24 | 13.10 | -2.14 | 85 | -1.85 | -0.09 | 1.76 | ||
2036 | 15.23 | 13.10 | -2.13 | 72 | -1.90 | -0.09 | 1.80 | ||
2037 | 15.21 | 13.10 | -2.11 | 59 | -1.94 | -0.10 | 1.84 | ||
2038 | 15.17 | 13.10 | -2.07 | 47 | -1.97 | -0.10 | 1.87 | ||
2039 | 15.12 | 13.10 | -2.02 | 34 | -2.00 | -0.10 | 1.90 | ||
2040 | 15.06 | 13.10 | -1.96 | 21 | -2.03 | -0.10 | 1.93 | ||
2041 | 15.00 | 13.10 | -1.91 | 9 | -2.05 | -0.10 | 1.94 | ||
2042 | 14.95 | 13.09 | -1.86 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.10 | 1.96 | ||
2043 | 14.91 | 13.09 | -1.81 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.10 | 1.97 | ||
2044 | 14.87 | 13.09 | -1.78 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.10 | 1.98 | ||
2045 | 14.85 | 13.09 | -1.76 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.11 | 1.99 | ||
2046 | 14.83 | 13.09 | -1.74 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 1.99 | ||
2047 | 14.81 | 13.09 | -1.72 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2048 | 14.80 | 13.09 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2049 | 14.79 | 13.09 | -1.69 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2050 | 14.79 | 13.10 | -1.69 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2051 | 14.79 | 13.10 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2052 | 14.81 | 13.10 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2053 | 14.83 | 13.10 | -1.73 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2054 | 14.86 | 13.10 | -1.76 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2055 | 14.90 | 13.11 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2056 | 14.95 | 13.11 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.11 | 2.01 | ||
2057 | 14.99 | 13.11 | -1.88 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.11 | 2.01 | ||
2058 | 15.03 | 13.12 | -1.92 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.11 | 2.02 | ||
2059 | 15.08 | 13.12 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.11 | 2.02 | ||
2060 | 15.12 | 13.12 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.11 | 2.03 | ||
2061 | 15.16 | 13.12 | -2.03 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.11 | 2.04 | ||
2062 | 15.19 | 13.13 | -2.07 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.11 | 2.05 | ||
2063 | 15.23 | 13.13 | -2.10 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.11 | 2.06 | ||
2064 | 15.27 | 13.13 | -2.14 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.11 | 2.07 | ||
2065 | 15.31 | 13.13 | -2.17 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.11 | 2.08 | ||
2066 | 15.34 | 13.14 | -2.21 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.11 | 2.09 | ||
2067 | 15.38 | 13.14 | -2.24 | ---- | -2.21 | -0.11 | 2.10 | ||
2068 | 15.42 | 13.14 | -2.28 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.11 | 2.11 | ||
2069 | 15.46 | 13.14 | -2.31 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.12 | 2.12 | ||
2070 | 15.49 | 13.15 | -2.35 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.13 | ||
2071 | 15.52 | 13.15 | -2.38 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.12 | 2.14 | ||
2072 | 15.55 | 13.15 | -2.40 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.12 | 2.15 | ||
2073 | 15.57 | 13.15 | -2.41 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.12 | 2.16 | ||
2074 | 15.58 | 13.15 | -2.43 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.12 | 2.17 | ||
2075 | 15.58 | 13.15 | -2.43 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.12 | 2.18 | ||
2076 | 15.58 | 13.15 | -2.43 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.12 | 2.19 | ||
2077 | 15.58 | 13.15 | -2.43 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.12 | 2.19 | ||
2078 | 15.57 | 13.15 | -2.42 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.12 | 2.20 | ||
2079 | 15.57 | 13.15 | -2.42 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.12 | 2.20 | ||
2080 | 15.57 | 13.15 | -2.42 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.12 | 2.21 | ||
2081 | 15.58 | 13.15 | -2.43 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.12 | 2.21 | ||
2082 | 15.60 | 13.15 | -2.45 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.12 | 2.22 | ||
2083 | 15.62 | 13.16 | -2.47 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.12 | 2.22 | ||
2084 | 15.66 | 13.16 | -2.50 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.12 | 2.22 | ||
2085 | 15.69 | 13.16 | -2.53 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.12 | 2.23 | ||
2086 | 15.73 | 13.16 | -2.57 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.12 | 2.23 | ||
2087 | 15.78 | 13.16 | -2.61 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.12 | 2.24 | ||
2088 | 15.82 | 13.17 | -2.65 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.12 | 2.25 | ||
2089 | 15.87 | 13.17 | -2.70 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.12 | 2.25 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2014-2088 | 15.03% | 13.80% | -1.23% | 2041 | -1.74% | -0.09% | 1.65% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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