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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2014 | 13.95 | 12.67 | -1.29 | 320 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.92 | -1.05 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.97 | 12.89 | -1.08 | 292 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.97 | 12.91 | -1.06 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 14.02 | 12.93 | -1.08 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.14 | 12.94 | -1.20 | 248 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.31 | 12.96 | -1.36 | 233 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.47 | 12.98 | -1.50 | 219 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2022 | 14.69 | 13.01 | -1.68 | 204 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2023 | 14.93 | 13.03 | -1.91 | 189 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2024 | 15.18 | 13.05 | -2.13 | 173 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2025 | 15.40 | 13.06 | -2.34 | 157 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2026 | 15.61 | 13.08 | -2.53 | 141 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2027 | 15.80 | 13.09 | -2.71 | 125 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2028 | 15.97 | 13.11 | -2.86 | 108 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2029 | 16.11 | 13.12 | -2.99 | 91 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2030 | 16.22 | 13.13 | -3.09 | 73 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2031 | 16.30 | 13.13 | -3.17 | 55 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 13.14 | -3.22 | 37 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2033 | 16.39 | 13.15 | -3.24 | 18 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2034 | 16.41 | 13.15 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2035 | 16.40 | 13.15 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2036 | 16.37 | 13.15 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2037 | 16.32 | 13.15 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2038 | 16.25 | 13.15 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2039 | 16.16 | 13.15 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2040 | 16.07 | 13.15 | -2.92 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2041 | 15.96 | 13.14 | -2.82 | ---- | -1.09 | -0.06 | 1.03 | ||
2042 | 15.85 | 13.14 | -2.72 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2043 | 15.75 | 13.13 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.06 | 1.17 | ||
2044 | 15.65 | 13.13 | -2.52 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.07 | 1.24 | ||
2045 | 15.56 | 13.13 | -2.44 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.07 | 1.31 | ||
2046 | 15.47 | 13.12 | -2.35 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2047 | 15.39 | 13.12 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2048 | 15.30 | 13.12 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.08 | 1.52 | ||
2049 | 15.21 | 13.11 | -2.10 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.09 | 1.59 | ||
2050 | 15.13 | 13.11 | -2.02 | ---- | -1.76 | -0.09 | 1.66 | ||
2051 | 15.06 | 13.11 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.10 | 1.73 | ||
2052 | 15.00 | 13.10 | -1.90 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.10 | 1.81 | ||
2053 | 14.95 | 13.10 | -1.85 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.88 | ||
2054 | 14.91 | 13.10 | -1.81 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.11 | 1.95 | ||
2055 | 14.88 | 13.10 | -1.78 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.11 | 2.02 | ||
2056 | 14.85 | 13.10 | -1.75 | ---- | -2.21 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2057 | 14.82 | 13.10 | -1.72 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.12 | 2.17 | ||
2058 | 14.79 | 13.10 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.13 | 2.24 | ||
2059 | 14.77 | 13.10 | -1.67 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.13 | 2.31 | ||
2060 | 14.74 | 13.10 | -1.65 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.13 | 2.38 | ||
2061 | 14.72 | 13.10 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.59 | -0.14 | 2.45 | ||
2062 | 14.70 | 13.10 | -1.60 | ---- | -2.66 | -0.14 | 2.52 | ||
2063 | 14.67 | 13.09 | -1.58 | ---- | -2.73 | -0.15 | 2.58 | ||
2064 | 14.65 | 13.09 | -1.56 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.15 | 2.65 | ||
2065 | 14.63 | 13.09 | -1.54 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.15 | 2.71 | ||
2066 | 14.61 | 13.09 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.16 | 2.78 | ||
2067 | 14.59 | 13.09 | -1.50 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.16 | 2.84 | ||
2068 | 14.57 | 13.09 | -1.48 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.16 | 2.91 | ||
2069 | 14.55 | 13.09 | -1.46 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.17 | 2.97 | ||
2070 | 14.53 | 13.09 | -1.44 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.17 | 3.04 | ||
2071 | 14.51 | 13.09 | -1.42 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.18 | 3.10 | ||
2072 | 14.48 | 13.09 | -1.39 | ---- | -3.34 | -0.18 | 3.16 | ||
2073 | 14.44 | 13.09 | -1.36 | ---- | -3.40 | -0.18 | 3.22 | ||
2074 | 14.41 | 13.08 | -1.32 | ---- | -3.46 | -0.19 | 3.27 | ||
2075 | 14.36 | 13.08 | -1.28 | ---- | -3.52 | -0.19 | 3.33 | ||
2076 | 14.32 | 13.08 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.57 | -0.19 | 3.38 | ||
2077 | 14.27 | 13.08 | -1.19 | ---- | -3.63 | -0.19 | 3.43 | ||
2078 | 14.22 | 13.07 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.68 | -0.20 | 3.48 | ||
2079 | 14.17 | 13.07 | -1.10 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.20 | 3.53 | ||
2080 | 14.12 | 13.07 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.78 | -0.20 | 3.57 | ||
2081 | 14.08 | 13.07 | -1.02 | ---- | -3.83 | -0.21 | 3.62 | ||
2082 | 14.05 | 13.07 | -0.98 | ---- | -3.89 | -0.21 | 3.68 | ||
2083 | 14.02 | 13.06 | -0.96 | ---- | -3.94 | -0.21 | 3.73 | ||
2084 | 14.00 | 13.06 | -0.94 | ---- | -4.00 | -0.22 | 3.79 | ||
2085 | 13.98 | 13.06 | -0.92 | ---- | -4.06 | -0.22 | 3.84 | ||
2086 | 13.96 | 13.06 | -0.90 | ---- | -4.13 | -0.22 | 3.90 | ||
2087 | 13.95 | 13.06 | -0.89 | ---- | -4.19 | -0.23 | 3.96 | ||
2088 | 13.94 | 13.06 | -0.88 | ---- | -4.25 | -0.23 | 4.02 | ||
2089 | 13.93 | 13.06 | -0.87 | ---- | -4.32 | -0.23 | 4.08 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2014-2088 | 15.18% | 13.81% | -1.38% | 2033 | -1.59% | -0.08% | 1.51% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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