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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2017, continuing through 2054, and resuming in 2075: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.13 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0112.93-1.08
263
0.000.000.00
201914.1412.94-1.20
248
-0.010.000.01
202014.3212.96-1.36
233
-0.010.000.01
202114.4812.98-1.50
219
-0.020.000.02
202214.7013.01-1.69
204
-0.030.000.03
202314.9513.03-1.92
189
-0.050.000.05
202415.2013.05-2.15
173
-0.070.000.07
202515.4413.07-2.38
156
-0.100.000.09
202615.6613.08-2.58
140
-0.13-0.010.12
202715.8713.10-2.77
123
-0.16-0.010.15
202816.0513.11-2.94
106
-0.20-0.010.19
202916.2013.12-3.08
89
-0.24-0.010.22
203016.3313.13-3.19
71
-0.28-0.010.26
203116.4213.14-3.28
52
-0.32-0.020.31
203216.4913.15-3.35
33
-0.37-0.020.35
203316.5313.15-3.38
13
-0.42-0.020.40
203416.5613.16-3.41
----
-0.47-0.020.45
203516.5713.16-3.41
----
-0.52-0.030.50
203616.5513.16-3.39
----
-0.58-0.030.55
203716.5113.16-3.35
----
-0.64-0.030.60
203816.4513.16-3.28
----
-0.69-0.040.66
203916.3713.16-3.21
----
-0.75-0.040.71
204016.2813.16-3.12
----
-0.81-0.040.77
204116.1813.15-3.03
----
-0.87-0.050.82
204216.0813.15-2.93
----
-0.93-0.050.88
204315.9813.15-2.84
----
-1.00-0.050.94
204415.8913.14-2.75
----
-1.06-0.061.01
204515.8113.14-2.67
----
-1.13-0.061.07
204615.7313.14-2.59
----
-1.20-0.061.14
204715.6413.13-2.51
----
-1.27-0.071.21
204815.5613.13-2.43
----
-1.35-0.071.27
204915.4713.13-2.35
----
-1.42-0.071.34
205015.4013.12-2.28
----
-1.49-0.081.41
205115.3313.12-2.21
----
-1.56-0.081.48
205215.2713.12-2.16
----
-1.64-0.091.55
205315.2213.12-2.11
----
-1.71-0.091.62
205415.1813.11-2.07
----
-1.79-0.091.69
205515.1513.11-2.03
----
-1.87-0.101.77
205615.1213.11-2.00
----
-1.94-0.101.84
205715.0913.11-1.98
----
-2.02-0.111.91
205815.0713.11-1.95
----
-2.09-0.111.98
205915.0413.11-1.93
----
-2.17-0.122.05
206015.0213.11-1.91
----
-2.24-0.122.12
206115.0113.11-1.89
----
-2.30-0.122.18
206214.9913.11-1.88
----
-2.36-0.132.24
206314.9813.11-1.87
----
-2.42-0.132.29
206414.9713.11-1.86
----
-2.48-0.132.35
206514.9713.11-1.85
----
-2.53-0.142.40
206614.9713.11-1.85
----
-2.58-0.142.44
206714.9713.11-1.86
----
-2.63-0.142.49
206814.9713.11-1.86
----
-2.67-0.142.53
206914.9813.11-1.87
----
-2.71-0.152.57
207014.9913.11-1.87
----
-2.75-0.152.61
207114.9913.11-1.88
----
-2.79-0.152.64
207215.0013.12-1.88
----
-2.82-0.152.67
207314.9913.12-1.88
----
-2.85-0.152.70
207414.9913.12-1.87
----
-2.88-0.152.72
207514.9813.12-1.87
----
-2.90-0.162.74
207614.9713.12-1.86
----
-2.92-0.162.76
207714.9613.11-1.84
----
-2.93-0.162.78
207814.9513.11-1.83
----
-2.95-0.162.79
207914.9313.11-1.82
----
-2.96-0.162.80
208014.9213.11-1.81
----
-2.98-0.162.82
208114.9213.11-1.81
----
-3.00-0.162.83
208214.9213.11-1.81
----
-3.02-0.162.85
208314.9313.11-1.81
----
-3.04-0.162.88
208414.9313.11-1.82
----
-3.07-0.172.90
208514.9413.11-1.83
----
-3.10-0.172.93
208614.9613.11-1.84
----
-3.13-0.172.96
208714.9713.12-1.85
----
-3.17-0.173.00
208814.9813.12-1.87
----
-3.21-0.173.04
208914.9913.12-1.88
----
-3.25-0.183.07



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.46% 13.82% -1.64%
2033
-1.31% -0.07% 1.24%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014