Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (40th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2021: Create a new bend point at the 40th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 40th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 40th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index.

			Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2014	13.95	12.67	-1.29	320	0.00	0.00	0.00
2015	13.97	12.92	-1.05	306	0.00	0.00	0.00
2016	13.97	12.89	-1.08	292	0.00	0.00	0.00
2017	13.97	12.91	-1.06	277	0.00	0.00	0.00
2018	14.02	12.93	-1.08	262	0.00	0.00	0.00
2019	14.15	12.95	-1.20	248	0.00	0.00	0.00
2020	14.33	12.96	-1.37	233	0.00	0.00	0.00
2021	14.50	12.98	-1.52	219	0.00	0.00	0.00
2022	14.73	13.01	-1.72	203	0.00	0.00	0.00
2023	14.99	13.03	-1.96	188	-0.01	0.00	0.01
2024	15.26	13.05	-2.21	171	-0.02	0.00	0.02
2025	15.51	13.07	-2.44	155	-0.03	0.00	0.03
2026	15.74	13.09	-2.66	138	-0.05	0.00	0.04
2027	15.96	13.10	-2.86	121	-0.07	0.00	0.06
2028	16.15	13.12	-3.04	103	-0.09	0.00	0.09
2029	16.32	13.13	-3.19	85	-0.12	-0.01	0.11
2030	16.45	13.14	-3.32	66	-0.15	-0.01	0.14
2031	16.56	13.15	-3.41	47	-0.18	-0.01	0.18
2032	16.64	13.16	-3.48	27	-0.22	-0.01	0.21
2033	16.69	13.16	-3.53	7	-0.26	-0.01	0.25
2034	16.73	13.17	-3.56	----	-0.31	-0.01	0.29
2035	16.73	13.17	-3.56	----	-0.36	-0.02	0.34
2036	16.72	13.17	-3.55	----	-0.40	-0.02	0.39
2037	16.69	13.17	-3.52	----	-0.46	-0.02	0.43
2038	16.63	13.17	-3.46	----	-0.51	-0.02	0.48
2039	16.56	13.17	-3.39	----	-0.56	-0.03	0.53
2040	16.47	13.17	-3.30	----	-0.62	-0.03	0.59
2041	16.37	13.16	-3.21	----	-0.67	-0.03	0.64
2042	16.28	13.16	-3.12	----	-0.73	-0.04	0.70
2043	16.18	13.16	-3.03	----	-0.80	-0.04	0.76
2044	16.09	13.15	-2.94	----	-0.86	-0.04	0.82
2045	16.01	13.15	-2.86	----	-0.93	-0.05	0.88
2046	15.93	13.15	-2.78	----	-1.00	-0.05	0.95
2047	15.85	13.15	-2.70	----	-1.07	-0.05	1.01
2048	15.77	13.14	-2.62	----	-1.14	-0.06	1.08
2049	15.68	13.14	-2.54	----	-1.21	-0.06	1.15
2050	15.61	13.14	-2.47	----	-1.28	-0.06	1.22
2051	15.54	13.13	-2.41	----	-1.36	-0.07	1.29
2052	15.48	13.13	-2.35	----	-1.43	-0.07	1.36
2053	15.43	13.13	-2.30	----	-1.50	-0.08	1.43
2054	15.39	13.13	-2.26	----	-1.58	-0.08	1.50
2055	15.36	13.13	-2.23	----	-1.65	-0.08	1.57
2056	15.33	13.13	-2.20	----	-1.73	-0.09	1.64
2057	15.31	13.13	-2.18	----	-1.81	-0.09	1.71
2058	15.28	13.13	-2.15	----	-1.88	-0.10	1.78
2059	15.26	13.13	-2.13	----	-1.95	-0.10	1.85
2060	15.23	13.13	-2.11	----	-2.02	-0.10	1.92
2061	15.21	13.13	-2.08	----	-2.10	-0.11	1.99
2062	15.19	13.13	-2.06	----	-2.17	-0.11	2.05
2063	15.17	13.13	-2.04	----	-2.23	-0.11	2.12
2064	15.14	13.12	-2.02	----	-2.30	-0.12	2.19
2065	15.12	13.12	-2.00	----	-2.37	-0.12	2.25
2066	15.11	13.12	-1.98	----	-2.44	-0.13	2.31
2067	15.09	13.12	-1.97	----	-2.51	-0.13	2.38
2068	15.07	13.12	-1.95	----	-2.57	-0.13	2.44
2069	15.05	13.12	-1.93	----	-2.64	-0.14	2.50
2070	15.03	13.12	-1.91	----	-2.71	-0.14	2.57
2071	15.01	13.12	-1.89	----	-2.77	-0.14	2.63
2072	14.98	13.12	-1.86	----	-2.83	-0.15	2.69
2073	14.95	13.12	-1.83	----	-2.89	-0.15	2.74
2074	14.91	13.12	-1.80	----	-2.95	-0.15	2.80
2075	14.87	13.12	-1.76	----	-3.01	-0.16	2.85
2076	14.82	13.11	-1.71	----	-3.07	-0.16	2.91
2077	14.77	13.11	-1.66	----	-3.12	-0.16	2.96
2078	14.72	13.11	-1.61	----	-3.17	-0.16	3.01
2079	14.67	13.11	-1.56	----	-3.23	-0.17	3.06
2080	14.62	13.10	-1.52	----	-3.28	-0.17	3.11
2081	14.58	13.10	-1.48	----	-3.33	-0.17	3.16
2082	14.54	13.10	-1.45	----	-3.39	-0.18	3.22
2083	14.52	13.10	-1.42	----	-3.45	-0.18	3.27
2084	14.49	13.10	-1.40	----	-3.51	-0.18	3.33
2085	14.47	13.10	-1.38	----	-3.57	-0.18	3.38
2086	14.46	13.10	-1.36	----	-3.63	-0.19	3.44
2087	14.45	13.09	-1.35	----	-3.69	-0.19	3.50
2088	14.44	13.09	-1.35	----	-3.75	-0.19	3.55
2089	14.44	13.09	-1.34	----	-3.81	-0.20	3.61

				Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of reserve depletion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088	15.52%	13.83%	-1.70%	2033	-1.25%	-0.06%	1.18%

¹ Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.


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Detailed Single Year Tables

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates