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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2014 | 13.95 | 12.67 | -1.29 | 320 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.92 | -1.05 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.97 | 12.89 | -1.08 | 292 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.97 | 12.91 | -1.06 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 14.02 | 12.93 | -1.08 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.15 | 12.95 | -1.20 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.33 | 12.96 | -1.37 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.50 | 12.98 | -1.52 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.73 | 13.01 | -1.72 | 204 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2023 | 14.98 | 13.03 | -1.95 | 188 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2024 | 15.23 | 13.05 | -2.18 | 172 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2025 | 15.47 | 13.07 | -2.40 | 155 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2026 | 15.68 | 13.08 | -2.60 | 139 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2027 | 15.87 | 13.10 | -2.77 | 122 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2028 | 16.03 | 13.11 | -2.92 | 105 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2029 | 16.16 | 13.12 | -3.04 | 88 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2030 | 16.26 | 13.13 | -3.13 | 70 | -0.35 | -0.01 | 0.33 | ||
2031 | 16.32 | 13.14 | -3.18 | 52 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 13.14 | -3.21 | 34 | -0.51 | -0.02 | 0.49 | ||
2033 | 16.35 | 13.15 | -3.21 | 15 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2034 | 16.34 | 13.15 | -3.19 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.03 | 0.67 | ||
2035 | 16.29 | 13.15 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2036 | 16.22 | 13.15 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.04 | 0.86 | ||
2037 | 16.13 | 13.15 | -2.98 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2038 | 16.01 | 13.15 | -2.86 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.05 | 1.08 | ||
2039 | 15.87 | 13.14 | -2.73 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.06 | 1.19 | ||
2040 | 15.72 | 13.13 | -2.58 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.06 | 1.30 | ||
2041 | 15.56 | 13.13 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.49 | -0.07 | 1.42 | ||
2042 | 15.39 | 13.12 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.08 | 1.55 | ||
2043 | 15.22 | 13.12 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.76 | -0.08 | 1.67 | ||
2044 | 15.06 | 13.11 | -1.95 | ---- | -1.89 | -0.09 | 1.81 | ||
2045 | 14.90 | 13.10 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.10 | 1.94 | ||
2046 | 14.75 | 13.10 | -1.65 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.10 | 2.08 | ||
2047 | 14.58 | 13.09 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.11 | 2.22 | ||
2048 | 14.42 | 13.08 | -1.34 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.12 | 2.36 | ||
2049 | 14.26 | 13.07 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.13 | 2.51 | ||
2050 | 14.10 | 13.07 | -1.04 | ---- | -2.79 | -0.13 | 2.65 | ||
2051 | 13.95 | 13.06 | -0.89 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.14 | 2.80 | ||
2052 | 13.81 | 13.06 | -0.76 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.15 | 2.95 | ||
2053 | 13.68 | 13.05 | -0.63 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.16 | 3.10 | ||
2054 | 13.55 | 13.04 | -0.51 | ---- | -3.42 | -0.17 | 3.25 | ||
2055 | 13.44 | 13.04 | -0.40 | ---- | -3.58 | -0.17 | 3.40 | ||
2056 | 13.32 | 13.03 | -0.29 | ---- | -3.74 | -0.18 | 3.56 | ||
2057 | 13.21 | 13.03 | -0.18 | ---- | -3.90 | -0.19 | 3.71 | ||
2058 | 13.11 | 13.03 | -0.08 | ---- | -4.06 | -0.20 | 3.86 | ||
2059 | 13.00 | 13.02 | 0.02 | ---- | -4.21 | -0.21 | 4.00 | ||
2060 | 12.90 | 13.02 | 0.12 | ---- | -4.36 | -0.21 | 4.15 | ||
2061 | 12.79 | 13.01 | 0.22 | ---- | -4.51 | -0.22 | 4.29 | ||
2062 | 12.69 | 13.01 | 0.32 | ---- | -4.66 | -0.23 | 4.43 | ||
2063 | 12.59 | 13.00 | 0.41 | ---- | -4.81 | -0.24 | 4.57 | ||
2064 | 12.49 | 13.00 | 0.51 | ---- | -4.96 | -0.24 | 4.71 | ||
2065 | 12.40 | 12.99 | 0.60 | ---- | -5.10 | -0.25 | 4.85 | ||
2066 | 12.30 | 12.99 | 0.69 | ---- | -5.24 | -0.26 | 4.98 | ||
2067 | 12.21 | 12.99 | 0.78 | ---- | -5.39 | -0.27 | 5.12 | ||
2068 | 12.12 | 12.98 | 0.86 | ---- | -5.53 | -0.27 | 5.25 | ||
2069 | 12.02 | 12.98 | 0.95 | ---- | -5.67 | -0.28 | 5.39 | ||
2070 | 11.93 | 12.97 | 1.04 | ---- | -5.81 | -0.29 | 5.52 | ||
2071 | 11.84 | 12.97 | 1.13 | ---- | -5.94 | -0.30 | 5.65 | ||
2072 | 11.74 | 12.96 | 1.22 | ---- | -6.08 | -0.30 | 5.77 | ||
2073 | 11.64 | 12.96 | 1.32 | ---- | -6.21 | -0.31 | 5.90 | ||
2074 | 11.54 | 12.95 | 1.42 | ---- | -6.33 | -0.32 | 6.02 | ||
2075 | 11.43 | 12.95 | 1.52 | ---- | -6.45 | -0.32 | 6.13 | ||
2076 | 11.32 | 12.94 | 1.63 | ---- | -6.57 | -0.33 | 6.24 | ||
2077 | 11.21 | 12.94 | 1.73 | ---- | -6.69 | -0.33 | 6.35 | ||
2078 | 11.09 | 12.93 | 1.84 | ---- | -6.80 | -0.34 | 6.46 | ||
2079 | 10.98 | 12.93 | 1.95 | ---- | -6.91 | -0.35 | 6.57 | ||
2080 | 10.87 | 12.92 | 2.05 | ---- | -7.03 | -0.35 | 6.68 | ||
2081 | 10.77 | 12.92 | 2.15 | ---- | -7.15 | -0.36 | 6.79 | ||
2082 | 10.67 | 12.91 | 2.24 | ---- | -7.27 | -0.36 | 6.90 | ||
2083 | 10.57 | 12.91 | 2.33 | ---- | -7.39 | -0.37 | 7.02 | ||
2084 | 10.48 | 12.90 | 2.42 | ---- | -7.52 | -0.38 | 7.14 | ||
2085 | 10.39 | 12.90 | 2.50 | ---- | -7.65 | -0.38 | 7.27 | ||
2086 | 10.31 | 12.89 | 2.58 | ---- | -7.78 | -0.39 | 7.39 | ||
2087 | 10.23 | 12.89 | 2.66 | ---- | -7.91 | -0.40 | 7.51 | ||
2088 | 10.15 | 12.89 | 2.74 | ---- | -8.04 | -0.40 | 7.64 | ||
2089 | 10.07 | 12.88 | 2.81 | ---- | -8.17 | -0.41 | 7.76 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2014-2088 | 14.08% | 13.76% | -0.32% | 2033 | -2.69% | -0.13% | 2.56% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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