Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

V. ESTIMATES BASED ON ALTERNATIVE ASSUMPTIONS

B. HIGH-COST ASSUMPTIONS

Table V.B8—Summary of OASDI Benefit Payments
(High-cost alternative, calendar quarters 2001-10)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Lump-
sum
pay-
ments
Total
Retired
workers
Depend-
ents
Total
Chil-
dren
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and
aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Depend-
ents
2001-I
$107,076.7
$72,105.8
$66,631.3
$5,474.5
$20,201.2
$3,254.8
$363.1
$16,238.6
$344.8
$14,710.0
$13,350.8
$1,359.2
$0.1
$59.6
2001-II
107,884.4
72,485.2
66,996.1
5,489.1
20,356.0
3,296.7
356.0
16,351.3
352.1
14,987.2
13,591.5
1,395.7
(1)
56.0
2001-III
108,289.1
72,649.9
67,154.4
5,495.4
20,366.6
3,222.8
360.5
16,429.4
353.8
15,219.9
13,837.3
1,382.5
(1)
52.8
2001-IV
109,120.7
73,170.6
67,650.6
5,520.0
20,435.8
3,241.3
365.6
16,477.7
351.3
15,465.7
14,064.8
1,400.9
(1)
48.5

2002-I
113,108.8
75,650.7
69,979.3
5,671.5
21,138.7
3,397.4
368.8
17,003.8
368.7
16,259.8
14,779.5
1,480.3
(1)
59.5
2002-II
114,020.6
76,130.8
70,438.3
5,692.5
21,312.2
3,441.0
362.1
17,132.8
376.4
16,521.6
15,009.1
1,512.5
(1)
56.0
2002-III
114,465.1
76,335.9
70,631.4
5,704.6
21,331.1
3,362.3
366.9
17,223.9
378.0
16,745.4
15,254.6
1,490.8
(1)
52.7
2002-IV
115,362.4
76,889.2
71,153.4
5,735.8
21,413.8
3,381.0
372.0
17,285.8
375.0
17,011.0
15,501.6
1,509.3
(1)
48.5

2003-I
120,142.6
79,819.6
73,900.1
5,919.5
22,237.2
3,553.4
376.7
17,913.1
394.0
18,026.2
16,414.7
1,611.5
(1)
59.5
2003-II
121,155.7
80,341.3
74,396.3
5,945.0
22,418.7
3,597.4
370.2
18,048.8
402.2
18,339.8
16,692.1
1,647.6
(1)
56.0
2003-III
121,651.5
80,553.0
74,592.4
5,960.7
22,436.5
3,512.2
375.5
18,144.9
403.9
18,609.2
16,985.7
1,623.5
(1)
52.7
2003-IV
122,617.0
81,121.4
75,124.5
5,996.8
22,523.1
3,529.9
380.8
18,211.7
400.8
18,924.0
17,279.7
1,644.3
(1)
48.5

2004-I
129,817.3
85,644.2
79,351.3
6,292.9
23,780.3
3,771.7
392.3
19,187.7
428.5
20,333.2
18,556.3
1,776.9
(1)
59.6
2004-II
130,968.1
86,260.0
79,942.6
6,317.3
23,981.6
3,816.7
385.8
19,341.4
437.7
20,670.5
18,853.9
1,816.6
(1)
56.0
2004-III
131,518.1
86,501.9
80,171.4
6,330.4
24,006.8
3,723.5
391.2
19,452.1
439.9
20,956.7
19,167.5
1,789.1
(1)
52.8
2004-IV
132,548.6
87,101.7
80,736.1
6,365.6
24,106.9
3,740.2
396.6
19,533.2
436.9
21,291.4
19,480.0
1,811.4
(1)
48.5

2005-I
141,670.3
92,856.4
86,117.0
6,739.4
25,687.5
4,027.6
411.9
20,777.4
470.5
23,066.7
21,092.1
1,974.6
(1)
59.7
2005-II
142,958.1
93,578.3
86,814.3
6,764.0
25,894.7
4,074.3
405.2
20,935.1
480.1
23,428.9
21,410.6
2,018.4
(1)
56.1
2005-III
143,582.3
93,880.7
87,104.5
6,776.1
25,914.8
3,972.9
411.0
21,048.6
482.4
23,734.0
21,746.4
1,987.6
(1)
52.9
2005-IV
144,702.4
94,545.6
87,733.7
6,811.9
26,016.0
3,988.8
416.6
21,131.5
479.1
24,092.1
22,080.5
2,011.7
(1)
48.6

2006-I
151,456.8
98,722.2
91,660.4
7,061.7
27,151.3
4,209.3
424.1
22,012.1
505.8
25,523.4
23,378.5
2,144.9
(1)
59.9
2006-II
152,794.8
99,473.8
92,384.2
7,089.6
27,372.9
4,256.4
417.4
22,183.4
515.8
25,891.8
23,701.1
2,190.7
(1)
56.3
2006-III
153,449.5
99,800.1
92,696.2
7,103.9
27,394.9
4,146.1
423.4
22,307.6
517.9
26,201.4
24,044.8
2,156.6
(1)
53.0
2006-IV
154,663.9
100,540.9
93,397.9
7,143.1
27,503.4
4,160.3
428.9
22,400.0
514.2
26,570.9
24,389.0
2,181.9
(1)
48.7

2007-I
161,747.2
104,924.4
97,523.4
7,401.1
28,688.9
4,387.7
436.5
23,322.4
542.3
28,073.8
25,753.6
2,320.2
(1)
60.1
2007-II
163,154.8
105,711.0
98,277.1
7,433.9
28,941.4
4,435.1
429.9
23,524.7
551.7
28,446.0
26,078.0
2,368.1
(1)
56.5
2007-III
163,858.3
106,070.6
98,619.2
7,451.4
28,977.8
4,313.3
436.1
23,675.7
552.7
28,756.7
26,426.2
2,330.4
(1)
53.2
2007-IV
165,225.0
106,936.0
99,440.5
7,495.5
29,107.6
4,325.0
441.5
23,793.9
547.3
29,132.6
26,775.9
2,356.7
(1)
48.9

2008-I
173,288.2
111,984.2
104,198.5
7,785.8
30,435.0
4,567.7
450.0
24,840.6
576.7
30,808.6
28,298.8
2,509.9
(1)
60.3
2008-II
174,901.7
112,944.5
105,125.0
7,819.5
30,720.0
4,616.1
443.5
25,073.7
586.6
31,180.5
28,620.1
2,560.3
(1)
56.7
2008-III
175,734.6
113,418.7
105,583.3
7,835.4
30,773.3
4,481.9
450.0
25,253.9
587.5
31,489.2
28,969.7
2,519.4
(1)
53.4
2008-IV
177,327.2
114,476.5
106,596.0
7,880.5
30,931.2
4,491.4
455.5
25,402.8
581.6
31,870.4
29,323.1
2,547.3
(1)
49.1

2009-I
186,589.9
120,366.0
112,163.6
8,202.5
32,421.5
4,750.8
465.0
26,592.4
613.4
33,741.8
31,021.1
2,720.7
(1)
60.6
2009-II
188,454.5
121,584.7
113,346.3
8,238.4
32,742.3
4,801.2
458.3
26,859.6
623.2
34,070.5
31,295.2
2,775.3
(1)
57.0
2009-III
189,441.6
122,234.5
113,981.3
8,253.2
32,819.2
4,656.6
464.9
27,074.2
623.5
34,334.3
31,603.1
2,731.1
(1)
53.7
2009-IV
191,317.6
123,576.5
115,275.9
8,300.5
33,013.0
4,665.5
470.2
27,260.7
616.6
34,678.9
31,917.7
2,761.2
(1)
49.3

2010-I
201,311.0
129,971.8
121,339.4
8,632.3
34,610.8
4,930.6
479.5
28,552.0
648.7
36,667.5
33,719.3
2,948.2
(1)
60.9
2010-II
203,120.2
131,081.6
122,415.0
8,666.6
34,946.6
4,983.0
472.7
28,832.2
658.7
37,034.7
34,027.8
3,007.0
(1)
57.3
2010-III
204,124.8
131,710.3
123,031.7
8,678.6
35,030.6
4,831.5
479.6
29,060.8
658.7
37,329.9
34,371.0
2,958.9
(1)
54.0
2010-IV
206,296.8
133,298.4
124,573.5
8,725.0
35,237.8
4,840.7
485.1
29,260.8
651.2
37,711.0
34,720.0
2,991.0
(1)
49.6

1 Less than $50,000.

Sources:

· All detail columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.

· Totals and subtotals computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report high-cost set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001