Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Calendar period |
FICA |
SECA |
State deposits |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Credit 1
|
|||||||||
$47,434.0 |
... |
$2,522.0 |
... |
$6,319.0 |
... |
$810.0 |
-$269.7 |
$56,815.3 |
|
53,916.0 |
... |
2,670.0 |
... |
7,052.0 |
... |
28.1 |
-304.8 |
63,361.3 |
|
59,254.0 |
... |
3,054.0 |
... |
7,462.0 |
... |
99.9 |
-298.9 |
69,571.0 |
|
64,946.0 |
... |
3,293.0 |
... |
8,055.0 |
... |
-436.3 |
-387.2 |
75,470.5 |
|
75,611.0 |
... |
3,744.0 |
... |
9,125.0 |
... |
-111.3 |
-449.0 |
87,919.7 |
|
87,031.0 |
... |
4,400.0 |
... |
11,810.0 |
... |
571.6 |
-357.5 |
103,455.1 |
|
103,990.0 |
... |
5,146.0 |
... |
12,295.0 |
... |
1,576.1 |
-380.0 |
122,627.1 |
|
106,617.0 |
... |
6,043.0 |
... |
12,264.0 |
... |
-1,014.3 |
-236.6 |
123,673.1 |
|
115,988.0 |
... |
5,363.0 |
... |
13,803.0 |
... |
-2,145.5 |
-292.8 |
132,715.7 |
|
136,604.0 |
$3,594.0 |
6,636.0 |
$627.0 |
16,445.0 |
$385.9 |
-654.7 |
-296.0 |
163,341.2 |
|
149,559.0 |
49.4 |
7,877.0 |
1,767.0 |
17,201.0 |
12.9 |
615.7 |
-450.2 |
176,631.8 |
|
160,596.0 |
65.3 |
8,657.0 |
1,541.1 |
18,866.0 |
-1.6 |
1,230.3 |
-537.4 |
190,416.7 |
|
190,466.0 |
5.0 |
9,798.0 |
1,638.9 |
423.4 |
-1.2 |
429.2 |
-373.2 |
202,386.1 |
|
216,018.0 |
2.4 |
12,391.0 |
2,089.2 |
-8.1 |
... |
-489.7 |
-511.9 |
229,490.9 |
|
235,577.0 |
.6 |
13,668.0 |
2,065.2 |
-35.1 |
1.6 |
-594.6 |
-792.3 |
249,890.4 |
|
254,271.0 |
.6 |
15,924.0 |
1,419.9 |
12.8 |
-.1 |
-3,758.2 |
-790.8 |
267,079.2 |
|
257,794.0 |
.3 |
17,792.0 |
96.2 |
16.2 |
... |
-2,877.3 |
-603.8 |
272,217.6 |
|
267,062.0 |
... |
18,022.0 |
-138.8 |
-8.0 |
-1.7 |
-3,593.4 |
-677.6 |
280,664.5 |
|
279,226.0 |
.1 |
17,045.0 |
39.9 |
-43.3 |
... |
-5,203.0 |
-466.3 |
290,598.4 |
|
291,505.0 |
... |
18,502.0 |
6.1 |
2.0 |
... |
-16,234.4 |
-744.9 |
293,035.8 |
|
289,003.0 |
... |
18,306.0 |
-38.9 |
-1.6 |
... |
-2,247.2 |
-643.2 |
304,378.1 |
|
303,776.0 |
... |
18,608.0 |
1.3 |
-7.0 |
... |
-324.9 |
-759.6 |
321,293.8 |
|
331,246.0 |
... |
19,480.0 |
1.2 |
9.0 |
... |
-161.9 |
-895.3 |
349,679.0 |
|
352,868.0 |
... |
20,489.0 |
1.2 |
-9.5 |
... |
-606.3 |
-1,778.0 |
370,964.4 |
|
374,767.0 |
... |
21,310.0 |
.4 |
2.0 |
... |
1,346.3 |
-1,301.0 |
396,124.7 |
|
398,297.0 |
... |
22,627.0 |
.6 |
3.1 |
... |
2,150.7 |
-1,695.0 |
421,383.4 |
|
109,842.0 |
... |
4,713.0 |
... |
... |
... |
278.6 |
... |
114,833.6 |
|
110,097.0 |
... |
13,236.0 |
... |
... |
... |
168.8 |
... |
123,501.8 |
|
102,345.0 |
... |
4,256.0 |
... |
... |
... |
222.2 |
-2,049.0 |
104,774.2 |
|
99,677.0 |
... |
509.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-757.1 |
... |
99,428.9 |
|
115,650.0 |
... |
4,823.0 |
... |
... |
... |
293.9 |
... |
120,766.9 |
|
116,514.0 |
... |
13,682.0 |
... |
... |
... |
177.8 |
... |
130,373.8 |
|
107,841.0 |
... |
4,446.0 |
... |
... |
... |
234.1 |
-2,144.0 |
110,377.1 |
|
105,341.0 |
... |
534.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-793.5 |
... |
105,081.5 |
|
121,829.0 |
... |
5,062.0 |
... |
... |
... |
309.3 |
... |
127,200.3 |
|
121,672.0 |
... |
14,378.0 |
... |
... |
... |
187.0 |
... |
136,237.0 |
|
112,831.0 |
... |
4,679.0 |
... |
... |
... |
246.6 |
-2,234.0 |
115,522.6 |
|
111,124.0 |
... |
562.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-807.9 |
... |
110,878.1 |
|
126,212.0 |
... |
5,330.0 |
... |
... |
... |
320.3 |
... |
131,862.3 |
|
127,280.0 |
... |
15,156.0 |
... |
... |
... |
194.4 |
... |
142,630.4 |
|
118,096.0 |
... |
4,938.0 |
... |
... |
... |
256.8 |
-2,313.0 |
120,977.8 |
|
118,653.0 |
... |
594.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-850.6 |
... |
118,396.4 |
|
132,721.0 |
... |
5,628.0 |
... |
... |
... |
333.9 |
... |
138,682.9 |
|
134,506.0 |
... |
16,006.0 |
... |
... |
... |
202.8 |
... |
150,714.8 |
|
126,249.0 |
... |
5,216.0 |
... |
... |
... |
267.5 |
-2,409.0 |
129,323.5 |
|
121,792.0 |
... |
627.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-896.6 |
... |
121,522.4 |
|
140,550.0 |
... |
5,945.0 |
... |
... |
... |
350.2 |
... |
146,845.2 |
|
141,188.0 |
... |
16,916.0 |
... |
... |
... |
212.3 |
... |
158,316.3 |
|
130,987.0 |
... |
5,516.0 |
... |
... |
... |
279.9 |
-2,533.0 |
134,249.9 |
|
127,642.0 |
... |
664.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-947.4 |
... |
127,358.6 |
|
147,924.0 |
... |
6,288.0 |
... |
... |
... |
368.4 |
... |
154,580.4 |
|
148,060.0 |
... |
17,888.0 |
... |
... |
... |
223.1 |
... |
166,171.1 |
|
137,578.0 |
... |
5,831.0 |
... |
... |
... |
293.9 |
-2,659.0 |
141,043.9 |
|
133,987.0 |
... |
701.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-1,001.0 |
... |
133,687.0 |
|
154,773.0 |
... |
6,646.0 |
... |
... |
... |
388.7 |
... |
161,807.7 |
|
154,863.0 |
... |
18,895.0 |
... |
... |
... |
235.1 |
... |
173,993.1 |
|
143,618.0 |
... |
6,155.0 |
... |
... |
... |
309.7 |
-2,771.0 |
147,311.7 |
|
141,442.0 |
... |
740.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-1,059.1 |
... |
141,122.9 |
|
161,810.0 |
... |
7,013.0 |
... |
... |
... |
410.7 |
... |
169,233.7 |
|
161,738.0 |
... |
19,918.0 |
... |
... |
... |
248.1 |
... |
181,904.1 |
|
149,858.0 |
... |
6,482.0 |
... |
... |
... |
327.0 |
-2,896.0 |
153,771.0 |
|
150,631.0 |
... |
779.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-1,119.5 |
... |
150,290.5 |
|
167,383.0 |
... |
7,383.0 |
... |
... |
... |
434.1 |
... |
175,200.1 |
|
170,571.0 |
... |
20,962.0 |
... |
... |
... |
262.1 |
... |
191,795.1 |
|
159,457.0 |
... |
6,820.0 |
... |
... |
... |
345.5 |
-3,038.0 |
163,584.5 |
|
157,018.0 |
... |
820.0 |
... |
... |
... |
-1,181.0 |
... |
156,657.0 |
1 Credit against FICA and SECA tax liability not applicable until 1984. |
· Historical amounts based on Department of the Treasury administrative records.
· Future amounts from econometric model in the Office of the Chief Actuary.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001