Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

E. OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE BENEFIT PAYMENTS

Table III.E34—Summary of OASDI Non-Current-Payment Benefits
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
  Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Lump-
sum
death
payments
  Total
  Retired
workers
  Depend-
ents
  Total
  Children
  Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
  Aged
widows
and
widowers
and aged
parents
  Disabled
widows
and
widowers
  Total
  Disabled
workers
  Depend-
ents
1975
$2,903.4
$1,010.0
$854.7
$155.3
$507.6
$307.1
$46.5
$129.3
$24.7
$1,049.7
$817.6
$232.2
-$1.0
$337.0
1976
3,159.3
1,132.4
958.8
173.6
548.0
316.2
53.2
161.1
17.5
1,147.1
892.8
254.3
-.7
332.5
1977
3,552.7
1,273.9
1,020.0
253.9
646.0
293.6
44.3
289.0
19.1
1,321.1
1,039.5
281.6
-.3
312.0
1978
2,759.8
814.8
609.8
205.0
490.6
262.4
37.2
172.4
18.6
1,109.5
831.8
277.7
.5
344.5
1979
2,611.5
763.5
554.6
208.9
440.8
254.6
33.9
135.3
17.1
1,067.8
791.3
276.5
-.2
339.6
1980
2,507.9
562.9
389.8
173.1
329.5
265.7
29.2
17.9
16.7
1,221.7
914.0
307.7
-.7
394.4
1981
3,520.0
1,330.6
1,068.6
262.0
486.0
314.4
36.5
117.6
17.6
1,372.2
1,054.5
317.7
-1.2
332.5
1982
3,339.0
1,487.5
1,250.7
236.8
420.5
282.4
26.7
95.9
15.5
1,228.8
978.8
250.0
-.9
203.3
1983
5,189.5
2,489.2
2,154.1
335.0
629.8
295.4
38.2
274.6
21.6
1,865.5
1,545.2
320.3
-.4
205.4
1984
4,060.8
1,516.4
1,303.9
212.5
472.5
257.3
29.8
156.9
28.5
1,861.0
1,552.1
309.0
-.6
211.5
1985
3,712.9
1,001.2
776.7
224.5
497.5
243.5
28.6
196.7
28.7
2,007.6
1,678.9
328.7
-.9
207.5
1986
3,539.8
747.7
549.0
198.7
419.0
234.2
25.5
127.0
32.4
2,170.0
1,833.0
336.9
.2
202.9
1987
3,431.7
542.0
364.4
177.6
397.4
233.1
24.2
111.6
28.4
2,290.1
1,944.0
346.1
-.8
203.1
1988
3,663.8
571.6
415.2
156.4
475.2
315.3
33.8
97.7
28.4
2,409.0
2,045.4
363.6
-.2
208.1
1989
4,194.1
1,004.5
812.7
191.7
470.1
293.6
30.7
115.0
30.7
2,513.8
2,151.2
362.6
-.7
206.5
1990
4,599.4
1,009.5
816.5
193.1
515.5
302.2
30.9
148.7
33.7
2,869.4
2,470.4
399.1
-.6
205.6
1991
5,139.5
936.0
747.4
188.6
558.1
310.6
32.4
142.4
72.7
3,443.9
2,982.9
461.0
-.5
202.0
1992
5,914.9
963.8
767.6
196.2
576.1
317.2
31.5
142.7
84.6
4,170.1
3,623.4
546.7
-.6
205.5
1993
6,385.7
707.6
655.1
52.5
716.7
396.1
44.5
159.2
117.0
4,747.4
4,012.4
735.0
-.5
214.5
1994
6,521.3
608.1
566.1
42.0
712.4
390.8
48.2
159.2
114.3
4,981.3
4,185.0
796.3
-.6
220.0
1995
7,002.3
801.5
766.4
35.1
847.4
390.2
45.1
297.6
114.5
5,135.4
4,318.2
817.3
-.4
218.5
1996
7,268.2
834.1
797.1
37.0
777.4
397.4
39.2
232.1
108.8
5,439.7
4,590.0
849.7
-.5
217.5
1997
7,330.3
1,685.8
1,592.5
93.3
1,014.8
472.4
49.3
379.0
114.2
4,414.5
3,672.5
742.0
-.7
215.8
1998
7,668.8
1,925.0
1,802.5
122.5
1,088.3
494.8
45.7
427.3
120.5
4,438.3
3,678.6
759.7
-.5
217.7
1999
8,037.4
1,619.9
1,515.4
104.5
1,030.8
503.5
51.2
357.4
118.7
5,171.5
4,366.0
805.5
-.7
215.9
2000
10,665.5
3,553.9
3,351.2
202.7
1,110.5
546.2
55.0
393.0
116.3
5,787.8
4,923.5
864.3
-.8
214.1
2001-I
2,296.7
488.1
464.7
23.3
249.5
133.6
10.9
75.7
29.4
1,499.1
1,274.1
225.0
60.0
2001-II
2,439.0
578.8
548.2
30.6
304.8
135.2
14.6
121.3
33.7
1,499.0
1,273.6
225.5
56.4
2001-III
2,121.6
302.3
276.8
25.4
262.3
119.8
15.0
95.6
31.9
1,503.8
1,277.4
226.4
53.1
2001-IV
2,259.4
460.3
422.5
37.8
237.6
125.7
12.1
73.3
26.5
1,512.6
1,285.0
227.6
48.8
2002-I
2,435.5
534.1
508.6
25.5
264.0
141.3
11.5
80.1
31.1
1,577.1
1,340.0
237.2
60.3
2002-II
2,588.1
631.9
598.5
33.4
322.4
143.0
15.4
128.3
35.7
1,577.1
1,340.0
237.2
56.7
2002-III
2,238.9
330.8
302.9
27.9
277.5
126.7
15.9
101.1
33.8
1,577.1
1,340.0
237.2
53.4
2002-IV
2,367.9
490.5
449.8
40.7
251.1
132.8
12.8
77.5
28.0
1,577.1
1,340.0
237.2
49.1
2003-I
2,608.5
560.4
533.6
26.8
272.8
146.0
11.9
82.7
32.1
1,714.7
1,456.8
257.9
60.7
2003-II
2,767.6
662.7
627.8
35.0
333.1
147.8
15.9
132.5
36.9
1,714.7
1,456.8
257.9
57.1
2003-III
2,402.1
347.0
317.8
29.2
286.7
130.9
16.4
104.5
34.9
1,714.7
1,456.8
257.9
53.8
2003-IV
2,536.5
512.8
470.2
42.6
259.6
137.3
13.2
80.1
28.9
1,714.7
1,456.8
257.9
49.4
2004-I
2,820.2
611.2
582.1
29.2
286.4
153.3
12.5
86.9
33.7
1,861.4
1,581.5
279.9
61.1
2004-II
2,990.0
721.4
683.3
38.1
349.8
155.2
16.7
139.2
38.7
1,861.4
1,581.5
279.9
57.4
2004-III
2,595.0
378.3
346.4
31.9
301.1
137.5
17.2
109.7
36.7
1,861.4
1,581.5
279.9
54.1
2004-IV
2,729.7
546.0
500.2
45.8
272.5
144.1
13.9
84.1
30.4
1,861.4
1,581.5
279.9
49.7
2005-I
3,045.0
660.9
629.4
31.6
297.6
159.3
13.0
90.3
35.0
2,024.9
1,720.4
304.5
61.5
2005-II
3,225.0
778.7
737.6
41.1
363.5
161.3
17.4
144.6
40.2
2,024.9
1,720.4
304.5
57.8
2005-III
2,801.2
408.9
374.5
34.5
312.9
142.9
17.9
114.0
38.1
2,024.9
1,720.4
304.5
54.5
2005-IV
2,937.4
579.2
530.3
48.9
283.3
149.8
14.4
87.4
31.6
2,024.9
1,720.4
304.5
50.0
2006-I
3,273.0
701.5
668.0
33.5
315.8
169.1
13.8
95.8
37.2
2,193.7
1,863.8
329.9
61.9
2006-II
3,463.5
825.9
782.3
43.6
385.7
171.1
18.4
153.5
42.7
2,193.7
1,863.8
329.9
58.2
2006-III
3,014.6
433.9
397.4
36.6
332.0
151.6
19.0
121.0
40.4
2,193.7
1,863.8
329.9
54.8
2006-IV
3,153.4
609.0
557.4
51.6
300.3
158.8
15.3
92.7
33.5
2,193.7
1,863.8
329.9
50.4
2007-I
3,522.7
758.1
721.9
36.2
339.6
181.8
14.8
103.0
40.0
2,362.6
2,007.3
355.3
62.4
2007-II
3,727.1
891.2
844.2
47.0
414.6
183.9
19.8
165.0
45.9
2,362.6
2,007.3
355.3
58.6
2007-III
3,243.7
468.8
429.3
39.5
357.0
163.0
20.4
130.1
43.5
2,362.6
2,007.3
355.3
55.2
2007-IV
3,381.8
646.2
591.1
55.1
322.2
170.3
16.4
99.6
36.0
2,362.6
2,007.3
355.3
50.8
2008-I
3,834.3
866.1
824.8
41.3
360.5
192.9
15.7
109.3
42.4
2,544.9
2,162.2
382.7
62.8
2008-II
4,058.5
1,014.5
961.0
53.5
440.1
195.2
21.0
175.2
48.7
2,544.9
2,162.2
382.7
59.1
2008-III
3,514.9
535.4
490.3
45.2
378.9
173.0
21.7
138.1
46.1
2,544.9
2,162.2
382.7
55.6
2008-IV
3,643.5
705.7
644.5
61.2
341.7
180.5
17.4
105.6
38.2
2,544.9
2,162.2
382.7
51.1
2009-I
4,192.1
1,011.4
963.1
48.3
380.0
203.4
16.6
115.3
44.7
2,737.4
2,325.7
411.7
63.3
2009-II
4,440.7
1,179.8
1,117.6
62.2
463.9
205.8
22.2
184.7
51.4
2,737.4
2,325.7
411.7
59.5
2009-III
3,818.0
625.0
572.2
52.8
399.5
182.4
22.8
145.6
48.6
2,737.4
2,325.7
411.7
56.1
2009-IV
3,930.6
781.7
712.5
69.2
360.0
190.1
18.3
111.3
40.3
2,737.4
2,325.7
411.7
51.5
2010-I
4,474.5
1,067.5
1,016.6
50.9
393.3
210.5
17.2
119.3
46.3
2,949.9
2,506.3
443.6
63.9
2010-II
4,734.8
1,244.8
1,179.1
65.6
480.1
212.9
22.9
191.1
53.1
2,949.9
2,506.3
443.6
60.0
2010-III
4,079.4
659.6
603.9
55.7
413.4
188.8
23.6
150.7
50.3
2,949.9
2,506.3
443.6
56.6
2010-IV
4,194.9
820.4
747.6
72.8
372.7
196.8
18.9
115.2
41.7
2,949.9
2,506.3
443.6
52.0

1 Between -$50,000 and $50,000.

Sources:

· All detail columns shown earlier.

· Total amounts computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001