Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
E. OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE BENEFIT PAYMENTS
Table III.E29—Number of OASI Beneficiaries Receiving Both a Retired-Worker and
Secondary Benefit, by Type of Secondary Benefit
(By gender, end of calendar years 1975-2010)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year |
|
Total dual entitlements |
Dual entitlement by type |
Spouses of retired workers |
Widow(er)s of deceased workers |
Parents of deceased workers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
|
9,164.6 |
17.9 |
0.0020 |
9.0 |
0.5045 |
8.2 |
0.4577 |
0.7 |
0.0377 |
|
10,462.8 |
63.3 |
.0060 |
21.0 |
.3322 |
41.9 |
.6618 |
.4 |
.0060 |
|
11,819.9 |
89.0 |
.0075 |
25.1 |
.2820 |
63.7 |
.7157 |
.2 |
.0024 |
|
12,083.7 |
95.4 |
.0079 |
26.0 |
.2725 |
69.2 |
.7256 |
.2 |
.0020 |
|
12,298.5 |
95.6 |
.0078 |
25.6 |
.2680 |
69.8 |
.7303 |
.2 |
.0017 |
|
12,490.5 |
98.3 |
.0079 |
25.8 |
.2627 |
72.3 |
.7359 |
.1 |
.0015 |
|
12,722.2 |
101.3 |
.0080 |
26.2 |
.2583 |
75.0 |
.7404 |
.1 |
.0013 |
|
12,986.8 |
103.7 |
.0080 |
26.2 |
.2532 |
77.3 |
.7457 |
.1 |
.0011 |
|
13,226.4 |
105.3 |
.0080 |
26.2 |
.2484 |
79.0 |
.7506 |
.1 |
.0010 |
|
13,473.9 |
106.9 |
.0079 |
25.9 |
.2422 |
80.9 |
.7570 |
.1 |
.0009 |
|
13,649.4 |
107.7 |
.0079 |
25.1 |
.2327 |
82.6 |
.7665 |
.1 |
.0008 |
|
13,794.9 |
110.1 |
.0080 |
25.6 |
.2330 |
84.3 |
.7663 |
.1 |
.0007 |
|
13,918.4 |
111.5 |
.0080 |
25.6 |
.2299 |
85.8 |
.7695 |
.1 |
.0006 |
|
14,016.6 |
111.1 |
.0079 |
24.8 |
.2231 |
86.3 |
.7763 |
.1 |
.0006 |
|
14,122.7 |
111.1 |
.0079 |
23.6 |
.2124 |
87.5 |
.7871 |
.1 |
.0005 |
|
14,206.6 |
110.3 |
.0078 |
22.8 |
.2067 |
87.5 |
.7928 |
.1 |
.0005 |
|
14,328.2 |
110.2 |
.0077 |
22.2 |
.2012 |
87.9 |
.7984 |
|
.0004 |
|
14,771.4 |
113.0 |
.0076 |
23.3 |
.2058 |
89.7 |
.7938 |
|
.0004 |
|
14,886.1 |
113.9 |
.0076 |
23.4 |
.2058 |
90.4 |
.7939 |
|
.0003 |
|
15,031.6 |
115.0 |
.0076 |
23.7 |
.2058 |
91.3 |
.7939 |
|
.0003 |
|
15,183.4 |
116.1 |
.0076 |
23.9 |
.2058 |
92.2 |
.7939 |
|
.0003 |
|
15,387.2 |
117.7 |
.0076 |
24.2 |
.2058 |
93.5 |
.7940 |
|
.0003 |
|
15,628.1 |
119.5 |
.0076 |
24.6 |
.2058 |
94.9 |
.7940 |
|
.0002 |
|
15,877.5 |
121.5 |
.0076 |
25.0 |
.2058 |
96.4 |
.7940 |
|
.0002 |
|
16,148.2 |
123.5 |
.0076 |
25.4 |
.2058 |
98.1 |
.7940 |
|
.0002 |
|
16,514.8 |
126.3 |
.0076 |
26.0 |
.2058 |
100.3 |
.7940 |
|
.0002 |
|
17,017.8 |
130.2 |
.0076 |
26.8 |
.2058 |
103.4 |
.7940 |
|
.0002 |
|
17,518.8 |
134.0 |
.0076 |
27.6 |
.2058 |
106.4 |
.7941 |
|
.0001 |
Female |
|
7,424.5 |
1,552.8 |
.2091 |
569.7 |
.3669 |
978.8 |
.6303 |
4.2 |
.0027 |
|
9,101.6 |
2,506.4 |
.2754 |
952.1 |
.3799 |
1,550.6 |
.6187 |
3.6 |
.0014 |
|
10,615.4 |
3,573.8 |
.3367 |
1,505.1 |
.4211 |
2,066.3 |
.5782 |
2.4 |
.0007 |
|
10,901.1 |
3,818.0 |
.3502 |
1,630.0 |
.4269 |
2,185.9 |
.5725 |
2.1 |
.0006 |
|
11,145.3 |
4,018.2 |
.3605 |
1,728.3 |
.4301 |
2,288.0 |
.5694 |
1.9 |
.0005 |
|
11,372.0 |
4,208.0 |
.3700 |
1,818.4 |
.4321 |
2,387.8 |
.5675 |
1.7 |
.0004 |
|
11,609.1 |
4,396.4 |
.3787 |
1,911.0 |
.4347 |
2,484.0 |
.5650 |
1.5 |
.0003 |
|
11,854.3 |
4,588.9 |
.3871 |
2,008.3 |
.4376 |
2,579.3 |
.5621 |
1.4 |
.0003 |
|
12,066.6 |
4,775.1 |
.3957 |
2,099.9 |
.4398 |
2,673.9 |
.5600 |
1.2 |
.0003 |
|
12,287.8 |
4,955.5 |
.4033 |
2,186.4 |
.4412 |
2,768.0 |
.5586 |
1.1 |
.0002 |
|
12,459.7 |
5,110.5 |
.4102 |
2,253.5 |
.4410 |
2,856.0 |
.5588 |
1.0 |
.0002 |
|
12,617.4 |
5,245.6 |
.4157 |
2,306.0 |
.4396 |
2,938.8 |
.5602 |
.9 |
.0002 |
|
12,760.1 |
5,358.1 |
.4199 |
2,346.5 |
.4379 |
3,010.7 |
.5619 |
.8 |
.0002 |
|
12,888.5 |
5,468.2 |
.4243 |
2,382.5 |
.4357 |
3,085.0 |
.5642 |
.7 |
.0001 |
|
13,158.9 |
5,562.4 |
.4227 |
2,409.8 |
.4332 |
3,151.9 |
.5667 |
.7 |
.0001 |
|
13,310.9 |
5,642.7 |
.4239 |
2,429.1 |
.4305 |
3,213.0 |
.5694 |
.6 |
.0001 |
|
13,455.3 |
5,709.3 |
.4243 |
2,439.8 |
.4273 |
3,268.9 |
.5726 |
.6 |
.0001 |
|
13,733.8 |
5,825.7 |
.4242 |
2,504.3 |
.4299 |
3,320.9 |
.5700 |
.5 |
.0001 |
|
13,895.3 |
5,894.1 |
.4242 |
2,522.4 |
.4280 |
3,371.2 |
.5720 |
.5 |
.0001 |
|
14,064.6 |
5,965.9 |
.4242 |
2,539.2 |
.4256 |
3,426.3 |
.5743 |
.4 |
.0001 |
|
14,241.9 |
6,041.2 |
.4242 |
2,554.3 |
.4228 |
3,486.4 |
.5771 |
.4 |
.0001 |
|
14,460.4 |
6,133.8 |
.4242 |
2,573.6 |
.4196 |
3,559.8 |
.5804 |
.4 |
.0001 |
|
14,716.5 |
6,242.5 |
.4242 |
2,596.0 |
.4159 |
3,646.2 |
.5841 |
.4 |
.0001 |
|
14,982.0 |
6,355.1 |
.4242 |
2,616.0 |
.4116 |
3,738.7 |
.5883 |
.3 |
.0001 |
|
15,270.0 |
6,477.3 |
.4242 |
2,635.7 |
.4069 |
3,841.3 |
.5930 |
.3 |
.0000 |
|
15,651.3 |
6,639.0 |
.4242 |
2,666.6 |
.4017 |
3,972.1 |
.5983 |
.3 |
.0000 |
|
16,148.3 |
6,849.8 |
.4242 |
2,711.5 |
.3958 |
4,138.0 |
.6041 |
.3 |
.0000 |
|
16,656.8 |
7,065.5 |
.4242 |
2,751.8 |
.3895 |
4,313.4 |
.6105 |
.3 |
.0000 |
Sources:
· Number of retired workers shown earlier.
· Historical number of dual entitlements for spouses, widow(er)s and parents from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement. Historical dual entitlements by type are split by sex by applying ratios computed from data in the Annual Statistical Supplement to the Social Security Bulletin. Total dual entitlements is the sum of spouse, widow(er), and parent dual entitlements. Future figures for total dual entitlements computed by applying the corresponding ratio to the number of retired workers.
· Historical ratios of number of dual entitlements to number of retired workers are computed by dividing number of dual entitlements by the number of retired workers. Future ratios projected by regression.
· Historical ratios of number of dual entitlements by type to total dual entitlements are computed. Future ratios projected for spouses and parents by regression. Future ratios for widow(er)s are computed as 100 percent minus the sum of the ratios for spouses and parents.
· Future figures for number of dual entitlements by type are computed by applying the corresponding ratios to the total number of dual entitlements.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001