Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Calendar period |
Mother beneficiaries |
Father beneficiaries1 |
Total mother and father beneficiaries |
|||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
|||||||
568.4 |
$140.14 |
12.075 |
$961.9 |
$47.78 |
$0.8 |
568.4 |
$140.14 |
12.085 |
$962.7 |
|||
570.2 |
153.26 |
12.062 |
1,054.1 |
5.9 |
90.76 |
11.447 |
6.1 |
576.1 |
152.62 |
12.058 |
1,060.2 |
|
564.2 |
166.61 |
12.088 |
1,136.2 |
8.6 |
97.67 |
12.009 |
10.1 |
572.8 |
165.57 |
12.087 |
1,146.3 |
|
557.6 |
182.23 |
12.127 |
1,232.3 |
11.6 |
105.98 |
11.910 |
14.6 |
569.2 |
180.68 |
12.125 |
1,246.9 |
|
553.1 |
202.63 |
12.103 |
1,356.3 |
13.4 |
117.13 |
11.941 |
18.8 |
566.5 |
200.60 |
12.101 |
1,375.1 |
|
544.8 |
230.41 |
12.099 |
1,518.6 |
15.5 |
132.07 |
11.865 |
24.4 |
560.3 |
227.68 |
12.095 |
1,543.0 |
|
532.0 |
263.45 |
12.084 |
1,693.6 |
16.7 |
150.43 |
11.945 |
30.0 |
548.7 |
260.01 |
12.081 |
1,723.7 |
|
503.1 |
294.36 |
12.147 |
1,798.9 |
17.3 |
166.56 |
12.207 |
35.2 |
520.4 |
290.10 |
12.149 |
1,834.1 |
|
475.6 |
306.77 |
11.618 |
1,695.0 |
18.6 |
172.28 |
11.828 |
37.9 |
494.2 |
301.71 |
11.623 |
1,732.9 |
|
369.8 |
313.76 |
12.125 |
1,406.8 |
17.5 |
178.54 |
11.982 |
37.4 |
387.3 |
307.65 |
12.121 |
1,444.2 |
|
354.1 |
326.95 |
12.144 |
1,406.0 |
17.2 |
187.09 |
12.083 |
38.9 |
371.3 |
320.47 |
12.142 |
1,445.0 |
|
339.5 |
337.72 |
12.138 |
1,391.7 |
17.3 |
196.31 |
11.810 |
40.0 |
356.8 |
330.88 |
12.129 |
1,431.7 |
|
317.1 |
342.58 |
12.208 |
1,326.2 |
14.9 |
204.53 |
12.239 |
37.4 |
332.1 |
336.37 |
12.208 |
1,363.7 |
|
306.8 |
357.11 |
12.039 |
1,319.1 |
15.2 |
216.95 |
11.915 |
39.4 |
322.1 |
350.48 |
12.035 |
1,358.5 |
|
296.8 |
372.32 |
12.017 |
1,328.0 |
15.3 |
230.50 |
11.944 |
42.0 |
312.1 |
365.38 |
12.015 |
1,370.0 |
|
289.1 |
390.96 |
12.037 |
1,360.6 |
15.6 |
246.06 |
11.950 |
45.8 |
304.7 |
383.55 |
12.034 |
1,406.4 |
|
283.7 |
412.53 |
12.020 |
1,407.0 |
16.0 |
264.09 |
11.935 |
50.3 |
299.7 |
404.63 |
12.017 |
1,457.2 |
|
279.8 |
427.60 |
11.991 |
1,434.4 |
16.7 |
281.08 |
11.651 |
54.8 |
296.5 |
419.33 |
11.978 |
1,489.2 |
|
272.6 |
439.91 |
12.051 |
1,445.1 |
15.7 |
300.36 |
12.078 |
57.0 |
288.3 |
432.31 |
12.052 |
1,502.1 |
|
266.2 |
452.90 |
11.983 |
1,444.6 |
15.3 |
317.13 |
11.998 |
58.2 |
281.5 |
445.53 |
11.983 |
1,502.8 |
|
261.0 |
467.12 |
12.034 |
1,466.9 |
15.2 |
334.61 |
12.044 |
61.4 |
276.2 |
459.81 |
12.034 |
1,528.4 |
|
229.6 |
497.95 |
12.191 |
1,393.9 |
10.9 |
391.18 |
12.414 |
53.0 |
240.5 |
493.10 |
12.199 |
1,447.0 |
|
220.2 |
518.05 |
11.968 |
1,365.0 |
10.3 |
417.09 |
11.952 |
51.4 |
230.5 |
513.53 |
11.967 |
1,416.4 |
|
209.0 |
534.64 |
11.973 |
1,338.1 |
9.9 |
436.02 |
11.944 |
51.3 |
218.9 |
530.20 |
11.972 |
1,389.4 |
|
200.1 |
548.10 |
11.963 |
1,312.1 |
9.5 |
451.78 |
11.953 |
51.4 |
209.6 |
543.73 |
11.963 |
1,363.5 |
|
190.6 |
569.90 |
11.958 |
1,298.6 |
9.3 |
473.17 |
11.945 |
52.6 |
199.9 |
565.40 |
11.957 |
1,351.1 |
|
189.4 |
593.69 |
3.000 |
337.4 |
9.7 |
499.12 |
3.000 |
14.5 |
199.1 |
589.10 |
3.000 |
351.9 |
|
184.7 |
590.34 |
3.000 |
327.0 |
9.4 |
496.89 |
3.000 |
14.0 |
194.1 |
585.81 |
3.000 |
341.0 |
|
184.4 |
598.44 |
3.000 |
331.0 |
9.3 |
504.79 |
3.000 |
14.1 |
193.7 |
593.92 |
3.000 |
345.2 |
|
186.6 |
604.75 |
3.000 |
338.5 |
9.6 |
511.21 |
3.000 |
14.7 |
196.2 |
600.18 |
3.000 |
353.2 |
|
183.5 |
618.87 |
3.000 |
340.7 |
9.5 |
524.73 |
3.000 |
15.0 |
193.1 |
614.22 |
3.000 |
355.7 |
|
179.0 |
615.49 |
3.000 |
330.5 |
9.3 |
522.24 |
3.000 |
14.5 |
188.2 |
610.90 |
3.000 |
345.0 |
|
178.8 |
624.05 |
3.000 |
334.7 |
9.2 |
530.40 |
3.000 |
14.6 |
188.0 |
619.46 |
3.000 |
349.4 |
|
181.0 |
630.75 |
3.000 |
342.5 |
9.5 |
537.00 |
3.000 |
15.2 |
190.5 |
626.10 |
3.000 |
357.8 |
|
178.2 |
646.23 |
3.000 |
345.4 |
9.4 |
551.60 |
3.000 |
15.6 |
187.6 |
641.49 |
3.000 |
361.0 |
|
173.9 |
642.85 |
3.000 |
335.4 |
9.1 |
548.89 |
3.000 |
15.1 |
183.1 |
638.16 |
3.000 |
350.5 |
|
173.9 |
651.93 |
3.000 |
340.2 |
9.1 |
557.37 |
3.000 |
15.2 |
183.0 |
647.24 |
3.000 |
355.4 |
|
176.3 |
659.08 |
3.000 |
348.5 |
9.3 |
564.22 |
3.000 |
15.8 |
185.6 |
654.32 |
3.000 |
364.3 |
|
173.6 |
676.06 |
3.000 |
352.2 |
9.3 |
580.05 |
3.000 |
16.1 |
182.9 |
671.19 |
3.000 |
368.3 |
|
169.6 |
672.64 |
3.000 |
342.2 |
9.0 |
577.16 |
3.000 |
15.6 |
178.6 |
667.82 |
3.000 |
357.8 |
|
169.7 |
682.27 |
3.000 |
347.3 |
9.0 |
586.04 |
3.000 |
15.7 |
178.6 |
677.45 |
3.000 |
363.1 |
|
172.1 |
689.88 |
3.000 |
356.1 |
9.2 |
593.19 |
3.000 |
16.4 |
181.3 |
684.97 |
3.000 |
372.5 |
|
169.6 |
708.45 |
3.000 |
360.4 |
9.1 |
610.38 |
3.000 |
16.7 |
178.7 |
703.43 |
3.000 |
377.2 |
|
165.7 |
704.98 |
3.000 |
350.4 |
8.9 |
607.30 |
3.000 |
16.2 |
174.6 |
700.00 |
3.000 |
366.6 |
|
165.9 |
715.18 |
3.000 |
355.8 |
8.8 |
616.60 |
3.000 |
16.3 |
174.7 |
710.20 |
3.000 |
372.2 |
|
168.2 |
723.26 |
3.000 |
365.0 |
9.1 |
624.09 |
3.000 |
17.0 |
177.3 |
718.19 |
3.000 |
382.0 |
|
165.9 |
743.53 |
3.000 |
370.0 |
9.0 |
642.72 |
3.000 |
17.4 |
174.9 |
738.34 |
3.000 |
387.3 |
|
162.1 |
739.88 |
3.000 |
359.8 |
8.8 |
639.30 |
3.000 |
16.8 |
170.9 |
734.72 |
3.000 |
376.6 |
|
162.3 |
750.58 |
3.000 |
365.5 |
8.7 |
648.93 |
3.000 |
16.9 |
171.0 |
745.41 |
3.000 |
382.4 |
|
164.7 |
759.05 |
3.000 |
375.0 |
8.9 |
656.63 |
3.000 |
17.6 |
173.6 |
753.78 |
3.000 |
392.6 |
|
162.4 |
781.06 |
3.000 |
380.5 |
8.9 |
676.71 |
3.000 |
18.0 |
171.3 |
775.65 |
3.000 |
398.6 |
|
158.8 |
777.16 |
3.000 |
370.2 |
8.6 |
672.94 |
3.000 |
17.4 |
167.4 |
771.78 |
3.000 |
387.6 |
|
159.0 |
788.34 |
3.000 |
376.1 |
8.6 |
682.88 |
3.000 |
17.5 |
167.6 |
782.94 |
3.000 |
393.6 |
|
161.4 |
797.18 |
3.000 |
386.0 |
8.8 |
690.81 |
3.000 |
18.2 |
170.2 |
791.68 |
3.000 |
404.2 |
|
159.2 |
820.22 |
3.000 |
391.8 |
8.7 |
711.76 |
3.000 |
18.7 |
168.0 |
814.57 |
3.000 |
410.5 |
|
155.7 |
816.05 |
3.000 |
381.1 |
8.5 |
707.63 |
3.000 |
18.1 |
164.2 |
810.43 |
3.000 |
399.2 |
|
156.0 |
827.70 |
3.000 |
387.3 |
8.4 |
717.93 |
3.000 |
18.2 |
164.4 |
822.07 |
3.000 |
405.5 |
|
158.3 |
836.91 |
3.000 |
397.6 |
8.7 |
726.12 |
3.000 |
18.9 |
167.0 |
831.16 |
3.000 |
416.4 |
|
156.2 |
861.01 |
3.000 |
403.5 |
8.6 |
747.98 |
3.000 |
19.3 |
164.8 |
855.11 |
3.000 |
422.9 |
|
152.7 |
856.54 |
3.000 |
392.5 |
8.4 |
743.50 |
3.000 |
18.7 |
161.1 |
850.67 |
3.000 |
411.2 |
|
153.0 |
868.68 |
3.000 |
398.7 |
8.3 |
754.19 |
3.000 |
18.8 |
161.3 |
862.79 |
3.000 |
417.5 |
|
155.3 |
878.25 |
3.000 |
409.2 |
8.5 |
762.64 |
3.000 |
19.5 |
163.8 |
872.23 |
3.000 |
428.7 |
|
153.2 |
903.46 |
3.000 |
415.3 |
8.5 |
785.46 |
3.000 |
20.0 |
161.7 |
897.27 |
3.000 |
435.3 |
|
149.9 |
898.69 |
3.000 |
404.0 |
8.2 |
780.64 |
3.000 |
19.3 |
158.1 |
892.53 |
3.000 |
423.3 |
|
150.2 |
911.35 |
3.000 |
410.5 |
8.2 |
791.74 |
3.000 |
19.4 |
158.3 |
905.17 |
3.000 |
430.0 |
|
152.5 |
921.31 |
3.000 |
421.4 |
8.4 |
800.50 |
3.000 |
20.2 |
160.9 |
915.00 |
3.000 |
441.6 |
1 This benefit was not payable until March 19, 1975. 2 Fewer than 50. 3 This rate is not meaningful for this year because the number in current-payment status at midpoint of the year is not representative of the number in current-payment status during the year. |
· Number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period computed from corresponding figures shown earlier for number and average benefit in current-payment status at end of period.
· Historical rate computed by dividing amount during period by product of number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period. Future rates projected based on historical trend.
· Historical amount from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future amounts computed by applying rate to number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period.
· Total amount computed by addition of male and female amounts.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001