Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
|
|
|
III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
E. OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE BENEFIT PAYMENTS
Table III.E18—Current-Payment Benefits to OASI Children
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands, amounts in millions]
Calendar period |
Total children of retired workers |
Total children of deceased workers |
Total OASI children |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
608.8 |
$74.52 |
12.834 |
$582.3 |
2,929.4 |
$132.96 |
11.761 |
$4,580.7 |
3,538.2 |
$122.91 |
11.873 |
$5,163.0 |
|
652.2 |
83.22 |
12.367 |
671.2 |
2,897.2 |
145.16 |
11.936 |
5,020.1 |
3,549.4 |
133.78 |
11.986 |
5,691.3 |
|
669.4 |
88.82 |
11.886 |
706.7 |
2,845.7 |
158.62 |
12.108 |
5,465.3 |
3,515.1 |
145.33 |
12.082 |
6,172.0 |
|
657.3 |
100.36 |
12.215 |
805.7 |
2,805.6 |
173.23 |
11.997 |
5,830.9 |
3,462.9 |
159.40 |
12.023 |
6,636.5 |
|
647.1 |
111.99 |
12.214 |
885.2 |
2,742.4 |
193.43 |
11.976 |
6,353.0 |
3,389.6 |
177.88 |
12.005 |
7,238.2 |
|
634.6 |
129.13 |
12.286 |
1,006.8 |
2,665.1 |
222.02 |
12.039 |
7,123.8 |
3,299.7 |
204.15 |
12.069 |
8,130.6 |
|
637.6 |
150.74 |
12.100 |
1,162.9 |
2,625.2 |
255.16 |
11.932 |
7,992.8 |
3,262.7 |
234.76 |
11.953 |
9,155.7 |
|
521.0 |
158.83 |
13.570 |
1,122.8 |
2,201.6 |
278.17 |
12.935 |
7,921.5 |
2,722.6 |
255.34 |
13.010 |
9,044.4 |
|
489.8 |
167.17 |
12.897 |
1,056.1 |
2,094.7 |
290.12 |
12.532 |
7,615.8 |
2,584.5 |
266.81 |
12.576 |
8,671.9 |
|
477.4 |
179.52 |
12.347 |
1,058.2 |
2,031.6 |
303.62 |
12.188 |
7,517.8 |
2,509.0 |
280.00 |
12.207 |
8,576.0 |
|
465.9 |
189.82 |
12.051 |
1,065.7 |
1,970.3 |
318.45 |
11.983 |
7,518.3 |
2,436.2 |
293.85 |
11.991 |
8,584.0 |
|
460.0 |
200.15 |
11.910 |
1,096.6 |
1,935.5 |
331.93 |
11.843 |
7,608.7 |
2,395.6 |
306.62 |
11.851 |
8,705.3 |
|
454.9 |
206.48 |
11.883 |
1,116.1 |
1,899.3 |
338.17 |
11.853 |
7,613.0 |
2,354.2 |
312.72 |
11.857 |
8,729.1 |
|
444.8 |
218.25 |
11.857 |
1,151.0 |
1,861.6 |
354.04 |
11.842 |
7,804.8 |
2,306.4 |
327.85 |
11.844 |
8,955.9 |
|
432.7 |
230.25 |
11.858 |
1,181.6 |
1,825.7 |
368.63 |
11.827 |
7,960.3 |
2,258.5 |
342.12 |
11.831 |
9,141.8 |
|
428.6 |
244.43 |
11.873 |
1,243.9 |
1,810.0 |
385.57 |
11.838 |
8,261.8 |
2,238.7 |
358.54 |
11.843 |
9,505.7 |
|
428.3 |
261.16 |
11.899 |
1,331.0 |
1,808.0 |
405.97 |
11.868 |
8,711.1 |
2,236.3 |
378.24 |
11.872 |
10,042.1 |
|
433.6 |
274.60 |
11.893 |
1,416.1 |
1,825.1 |
420.38 |
11.880 |
9,114.2 |
2,258.7 |
392.39 |
11.881 |
10,530.3 |
|
438.9 |
287.26 |
11.900 |
1,500.2 |
1,849.8 |
432.83 |
11.866 |
9,500.7 |
2,288.7 |
404.92 |
11.871 |
11,000.9 |
|
443.9 |
298.63 |
11.881 |
1,574.9 |
1,877.3 |
444.15 |
11.876 |
9,902.4 |
2,321.2 |
416.32 |
11.877 |
11,477.3 |
|
446.1 |
311.34 |
11.896 |
1,652.3 |
1,901.6 |
457.13 |
11.879 |
10,326.5 |
2,347.7 |
429.43 |
11.882 |
11,978.8 |
|
446.8 |
325.16 |
11.942 |
1,735.0 |
1,919.1 |
473.08 |
11.918 |
10,819.8 |
2,365.9 |
445.15 |
11.921 |
12,554.8 |
|
446.7 |
339.39 |
11.909 |
1,805.3 |
1,920.9 |
489.26 |
11.904 |
11,187.5 |
2,367.6 |
460.99 |
11.904 |
12,992.8 |
|
444.2 |
351.45 |
11.914 |
1,859.9 |
1,911.7 |
502.35 |
11.914 |
11,441.1 |
2,355.9 |
473.90 |
11.914 |
13,301.1 |
|
443.9 |
361.20 |
11.908 |
1,909.2 |
1,904.9 |
512.53 |
11.904 |
11,622.0 |
2,348.7 |
483.93 |
11.905 |
13,531.1 |
|
457.5 |
376.84 |
11.834 |
2,040.1 |
1,897.1 |
529.49 |
11.932 |
11,985.5 |
2,354.6 |
499.84 |
11.917 |
14,025.6 |
|
460.2 |
395.18 |
3.000 |
545.6 |
1,886.7 |
550.83 |
3.000 |
3,117.8 |
2,346.9 |
520.31 |
3.000 |
3,663.4 |
|
468.7 |
396.28 |
3.000 |
557.2 |
1,906.3 |
552.21 |
3.000 |
3,158.1 |
2,375.0 |
521.44 |
3.000 |
3,715.3 |
|
464.0 |
397.30 |
3.000 |
553.1 |
1,870.9 |
552.37 |
3.000 |
3,100.3 |
2,334.9 |
521.55 |
3.000 |
3,653.3 |
|
464.2 |
398.85 |
3.000 |
555.5 |
1,873.9 |
553.66 |
3.000 |
3,112.5 |
2,338.2 |
522.92 |
3.000 |
3,668.0 |
|
466.1 |
411.71 |
3.000 |
575.7 |
1,889.4 |
571.60 |
3.000 |
3,239.9 |
2,355.5 |
539.96 |
3.000 |
3,815.6 |
|
474.4 |
412.96 |
3.000 |
587.7 |
1,908.6 |
573.17 |
3.000 |
3,281.9 |
2,383.0 |
541.28 |
3.000 |
3,869.6 |
|
469.7 |
414.43 |
3.000 |
584.0 |
1,872.4 |
573.38 |
3.000 |
3,220.7 |
2,342.1 |
541.50 |
3.000 |
3,804.7 |
|
469.7 |
416.25 |
3.000 |
586.5 |
1,875.0 |
574.82 |
3.000 |
3,233.3 |
2,344.6 |
543.05 |
3.000 |
3,819.8 |
|
471.3 |
430.17 |
3.000 |
608.2 |
1,889.9 |
594.18 |
3.000 |
3,368.7 |
2,361.2 |
561.44 |
3.000 |
3,977.0 |
|
479.5 |
431.48 |
3.000 |
620.7 |
1,908.2 |
596.01 |
3.000 |
3,412.0 |
2,387.7 |
562.97 |
3.000 |
4,032.7 |
|
474.6 |
433.12 |
3.000 |
616.6 |
1,870.6 |
596.27 |
3.000 |
3,346.1 |
2,345.1 |
563.25 |
3.000 |
3,962.7 |
|
474.3 |
435.04 |
3.000 |
619.0 |
1,872.1 |
597.92 |
3.000 |
3,358.1 |
2,346.4 |
564.99 |
3.000 |
3,977.2 |
|
475.7 |
450.01 |
3.000 |
642.3 |
1,886.5 |
618.84 |
3.000 |
3,502.3 |
2,362.2 |
584.84 |
3.000 |
4,144.6 |
|
483.7 |
451.35 |
3.000 |
655.0 |
1,904.6 |
620.90 |
3.000 |
3,547.8 |
2,388.4 |
586.56 |
3.000 |
4,202.8 |
|
478.4 |
453.11 |
3.000 |
650.4 |
1,866.2 |
621.17 |
3.000 |
3,477.6 |
2,344.6 |
586.87 |
3.000 |
4,128.0 |
|
477.9 |
455.11 |
3.000 |
652.5 |
1,867.4 |
622.99 |
3.000 |
3,490.2 |
2,345.3 |
588.78 |
3.000 |
4,142.6 |
|
479.1 |
471.20 |
3.000 |
677.2 |
1,881.4 |
645.57 |
3.000 |
3,643.7 |
2,360.5 |
610.18 |
3.000 |
4,320.9 |
|
487.0 |
472.61 |
3.000 |
690.4 |
1,899.0 |
647.88 |
3.000 |
3,691.0 |
2,386.0 |
612.11 |
3.000 |
4,381.4 |
|
481.5 |
474.56 |
3.000 |
685.5 |
1,859.6 |
648.17 |
3.000 |
3,616.0 |
2,341.1 |
612.46 |
3.000 |
4,301.5 |
|
480.8 |
476.68 |
3.000 |
687.5 |
1,860.2 |
650.18 |
3.000 |
3,628.4 |
2,341.0 |
614.55 |
3.000 |
4,316.0 |
|
481.7 |
493.92 |
3.000 |
713.8 |
1,873.6 |
674.54 |
3.000 |
3,791.6 |
2,355.4 |
637.60 |
3.000 |
4,505.4 |
|
489.4 |
495.11 |
3.000 |
726.9 |
1,890.6 |
677.06 |
3.000 |
3,840.1 |
2,380.0 |
639.64 |
3.000 |
4,567.0 |
|
483.5 |
496.90 |
3.000 |
720.7 |
1,849.8 |
677.29 |
3.000 |
3,758.6 |
2,333.3 |
639.91 |
3.000 |
4,479.4 |
|
482.4 |
498.84 |
3.000 |
721.9 |
1,849.6 |
679.45 |
3.000 |
3,770.1 |
2,332.0 |
642.09 |
3.000 |
4,492.0 |
|
483.1 |
517.17 |
3.000 |
749.5 |
1,862.4 |
705.68 |
3.000 |
3,942.8 |
2,345.5 |
666.85 |
3.000 |
4,692.3 |
|
490.5 |
518.38 |
3.000 |
762.7 |
1,878.5 |
708.40 |
3.000 |
3,992.2 |
2,369.0 |
669.06 |
3.000 |
4,754.9 |
|
484.0 |
520.23 |
3.000 |
755.4 |
1,835.5 |
708.54 |
3.000 |
3,901.7 |
2,319.5 |
669.25 |
3.000 |
4,657.0 |
|
482.5 |
522.22 |
3.000 |
756.0 |
1,834.1 |
710.82 |
3.000 |
3,911.1 |
2,316.6 |
671.54 |
3.000 |
4,667.1 |
|
483.0 |
541.44 |
3.000 |
784.5 |
1,846.2 |
738.36 |
3.000 |
4,089.5 |
2,329.2 |
697.53 |
3.000 |
4,874.0 |
|
490.0 |
542.79 |
3.000 |
798.0 |
1,861.6 |
741.28 |
3.000 |
4,139.9 |
2,351.6 |
699.91 |
3.000 |
4,937.8 |
|
482.9 |
544.83 |
3.000 |
789.3 |
1,816.5 |
741.26 |
3.000 |
4,039.4 |
2,299.4 |
700.01 |
3.000 |
4,828.7 |
|
481.0 |
547.02 |
3.000 |
789.4 |
1,814.0 |
743.64 |
3.000 |
4,046.8 |
2,295.0 |
702.43 |
3.000 |
4,836.3 |
|
481.2 |
567.26 |
3.000 |
818.9 |
1,825.7 |
772.49 |
3.000 |
4,231.0 |
2,306.9 |
729.68 |
3.000 |
5,050.0 |
|
488.3 |
568.78 |
3.000 |
833.1 |
1,841.1 |
775.55 |
3.000 |
4,283.5 |
2,329.3 |
732.21 |
3.000 |
5,116.6 |
|
480.9 |
571.06 |
3.000 |
823.8 |
1,795.2 |
775.37 |
3.000 |
4,175.9 |
2,276.1 |
732.20 |
3.000 |
4,999.7 |
|
478.9 |
573.48 |
3.000 |
824.0 |
1,792.7 |
777.82 |
3.000 |
4,183.1 |
2,271.6 |
734.74 |
3.000 |
5,007.1 |
|
479.1 |
594.63 |
3.000 |
854.6 |
1,804.4 |
807.96 |
3.000 |
4,373.7 |
2,283.5 |
763.21 |
3.000 |
5,228.3 |
|
486.0 |
595.75 |
3.000 |
868.7 |
1,819.9 |
811.12 |
3.000 |
4,428.5 |
2,306.0 |
765.73 |
3.000 |
5,297.2 |
|
478.7 |
597.68 |
3.000 |
858.3 |
1,774.5 |
810.87 |
3.000 |
4,316.7 |
2,253.2 |
765.58 |
3.000 |
5,175.0 |
|
476.7 |
599.76 |
3.000 |
857.8 |
1,772.2 |
813.39 |
3.000 |
4,324.5 |
2,249.0 |
768.10 |
3.000 |
5,182.3 |
Sources:
· Number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period computed from corresponding figures shown earlier for number and average benefit in current-payment status at end of period.
· Historical rate computed by dividing amount during period by product of number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period. Future rates projected based on historical trend.
· Historical amount from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future amounts computed by applying rate to number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period.
· Total amount computed by addition of dependent and survivor amounts.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001