Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
D. DISABILITY INSURANCE BENEFIT PAYMENTS
Table III.D12—DI Current-Payment Benefits to Disabled Workers
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands, amounts in millions]
Calendar period |
Male disabled workers |
Female disabled workers |
Total disabled workers |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment status at midpoint of period |
Total current-payment benefits during period |
Number |
Average benefit |
Rate |
Amount |
Number |
Average benefit |
Rate |
Amount |
Number |
Average benefit |
Rate |
Amount |
|
1,627.5 |
$241.82 |
11.511 |
$4,530.3 |
735.8 |
$184.93 |
11.462 |
$1,559.7 |
2,363.4 |
$224.11 |
11.498 |
$6,090.0 |
|
1,783.3 |
263.33 |
11.542 |
5,420.3 |
819.2 |
198.53 |
11.542 |
1,877.1 |
2,602.5 |
242.93 |
11.542 |
7,297.4 |
|
1,877.3 |
285.67 |
11.636 |
6,240.0 |
877.4 |
213.32 |
11.631 |
2,177.0 |
2,754.7 |
262.63 |
11.635 |
8,417.0 |
|
1,939.9 |
311.37 |
11.632 |
7,025.7 |
918.0 |
230.42 |
11.618 |
2,457.4 |
2,857.8 |
285.37 |
11.628 |
9,483.0 |
|
1,947.4 |
350.33 |
11.439 |
7,804.2 |
930.1 |
257.33 |
11.437 |
2,737.4 |
2,877.5 |
320.27 |
11.439 |
10,541.6 |
|
1,931.4 |
405.43 |
11.243 |
8,804.1 |
931.4 |
296.07 |
11.236 |
3,098.4 |
2,862.8 |
369.85 |
11.241 |
11,902.5 |
|
1,911.5 |
454.21 |
11.361 |
9,863.7 |
924.0 |
329.48 |
11.368 |
3,460.6 |
2,835.5 |
413.57 |
11.363 |
13,324.4 |
|
1,823.8 |
487.46 |
11.510 |
10,232.6 |
889.4 |
351.39 |
11.515 |
3,598.8 |
2,713.2 |
442.86 |
11.511 |
13,831.4 |
|
1,740.9 |
485.48 |
11.954 |
10,103.3 |
850.5 |
348.59 |
11.965 |
3,547.2 |
2,591.4 |
440.55 |
11.957 |
13,650.5 |
|
1,730.1 |
501.63 |
12.038 |
10,447.2 |
836.8 |
359.14 |
12.057 |
3,623.4 |
2,566.9 |
455.18 |
12.043 |
14,070.6 |
|
1,768.0 |
518.31 |
11.986 |
10,983.3 |
860.6 |
370.40 |
11.985 |
3,820.5 |
2,628.6 |
469.88 |
11.986 |
14,803.7 |
|
1,807.4 |
532.76 |
11.982 |
11,537.6 |
888.0 |
379.88 |
11.972 |
4,038.5 |
2,695.4 |
482.39 |
11.979 |
15,576.0 |
|
1,841.2 |
539.18 |
11.992 |
11,904.8 |
914.1 |
383.73 |
11.987 |
4,204.7 |
2,755.3 |
487.61 |
11.991 |
16,109.5 |
|
1,866.8 |
563.21 |
11.992 |
12,609.0 |
940.5 |
400.06 |
11.988 |
4,510.3 |
2,807.3 |
508.55 |
11.991 |
17,119.3 |
|
1,888.8 |
587.72 |
11.997 |
13,317.7 |
968.4 |
417.30 |
11.990 |
4,845.6 |
2,857.2 |
529.96 |
11.995 |
18,163.3 |
|
1,932.8 |
617.60 |
11.989 |
14,312.0 |
1,014.0 |
438.92 |
11.978 |
5,331.1 |
2,946.8 |
556.12 |
11.986 |
19,643.1 |
|
2,012.4 |
652.51 |
11.980 |
15,730.2 |
1,081.5 |
465.30 |
11.972 |
6,024.6 |
3,093.9 |
587.07 |
11.977 |
21,754.8 |
|
2,146.0 |
676.43 |
11.957 |
17,357.1 |
1,188.3 |
484.43 |
11.944 |
6,875.3 |
3,334.3 |
608.01 |
11.953 |
24,232.4 |
|
2,288.1 |
696.07 |
11.975 |
19,072.6 |
1,306.5 |
500.70 |
11.966 |
7,827.8 |
3,594.6 |
625.06 |
11.973 |
26,900.3 |
|
2,415.4 |
715.06 |
11.980 |
20,690.8 |
1,427.7 |
517.04 |
11.968 |
8,834.7 |
3,843.1 |
641.50 |
11.976 |
29,525.5 |
|
2,515.8 |
739.36 |
11.998 |
22,316.8 |
1,551.0 |
537.04 |
11.976 |
9,975.3 |
4,066.8 |
662.20 |
11.991 |
32,292.0 |
|
2,611.1 |
762.55 |
11.974 |
23,840.8 |
1,681.9 |
556.94 |
11.951 |
11,194.5 |
4,293.0 |
682.00 |
11.966 |
35,035.3 |
|
2,635.5 |
790.65 |
12.006 |
25,018.6 |
1,787.6 |
579.05 |
11.971 |
12,391.7 |
4,423.2 |
705.13 |
11.995 |
37,410.3 |
|
2,699.1 |
809.97 |
11.996 |
26,224.8 |
1,897.7 |
596.62 |
11.980 |
13,563.7 |
4,596.8 |
721.89 |
11.990 |
39,788.4 |
|
2,766.3 |
823.61 |
12.000 |
27,340.2 |
2,016.6 |
610.48 |
11.983 |
14,752.5 |
4,782.9 |
733.75 |
11.994 |
42,092.7 |
|
2,828.1 |
848.30 |
11.992 |
28,769.6 |
2,131.4 |
632.82 |
11.977 |
16,154.5 |
4,959.5 |
755.70 |
11.986 |
44,924.0 |
|
2,857.7 |
882.72 |
3.000 |
7,567.6 |
2,193.1 |
661.25 |
3.000 |
4,350.5 |
5,050.8 |
786.56 |
3.000 |
11,918.1 |
|
2,875.4 |
883.64 |
3.000 |
7,622.5 |
2,221.4 |
663.34 |
3.000 |
4,420.7 |
5,096.8 |
787.63 |
3.000 |
12,043.2 |
|
2,894.0 |
886.13 |
3.000 |
7,693.3 |
2,250.3 |
665.77 |
3.000 |
4,494.6 |
5,144.3 |
789.74 |
3.000 |
12,188.0 |
|
2,911.2 |
889.31 |
3.000 |
7,766.9 |
2,278.0 |
668.61 |
3.000 |
4,569.4 |
5,189.2 |
792.42 |
3.000 |
12,336.2 |
|
2,927.8 |
917.62 |
3.000 |
8,059.8 |
2,304.6 |
690.65 |
3.000 |
4,775.0 |
5,232.4 |
817.65 |
3.000 |
12,834.9 |
|
2,949.0 |
919.32 |
3.000 |
8,133.3 |
2,334.2 |
693.23 |
3.000 |
4,854.4 |
5,283.2 |
819.43 |
3.000 |
12,987.7 |
|
2,971.2 |
922.25 |
3.000 |
8,220.6 |
2,364.4 |
695.91 |
3.000 |
4,936.1 |
5,335.5 |
821.95 |
3.000 |
13,156.7 |
|
2,991.9 |
925.84 |
3.000 |
8,310.1 |
2,393.3 |
698.98 |
3.000 |
5,018.5 |
5,385.2 |
825.02 |
3.000 |
13,328.6 |
|
3,013.0 |
956.53 |
3.000 |
8,646.0 |
2,421.9 |
722.79 |
3.000 |
5,251.5 |
5,434.8 |
852.38 |
3.000 |
13,897.5 |
|
3,040.8 |
958.69 |
3.000 |
8,745.4 |
2,455.3 |
725.52 |
3.000 |
5,344.1 |
5,496.0 |
854.52 |
3.000 |
14,089.5 |
|
3,069.4 |
962.04 |
3.000 |
8,858.8 |
2,489.3 |
728.35 |
3.000 |
5,439.2 |
5,558.7 |
857.39 |
3.000 |
14,297.9 |
|
3,096.6 |
966.03 |
3.000 |
8,974.2 |
2,522.0 |
731.56 |
3.000 |
5,534.9 |
5,618.5 |
860.78 |
3.000 |
14,509.0 |
|
3,122.0 |
999.20 |
3.000 |
9,358.6 |
2,553.1 |
757.18 |
3.000 |
5,799.4 |
5,675.1 |
890.32 |
3.000 |
15,158.0 |
|
3,150.6 |
1,001.72 |
3.000 |
9,468.0 |
2,586.8 |
760.08 |
3.000 |
5,898.5 |
5,737.4 |
892.77 |
3.000 |
15,366.5 |
|
3,180.0 |
1,005.48 |
3.000 |
9,592.4 |
2,621.1 |
763.05 |
3.000 |
6,000.1 |
5,801.1 |
895.95 |
3.000 |
15,592.5 |
|
3,207.9 |
1,009.89 |
3.000 |
9,718.9 |
2,654.1 |
766.39 |
3.000 |
6,102.1 |
5,862.0 |
899.64 |
3.000 |
15,821.0 |
|
3,234.1 |
1,045.81 |
3.000 |
10,146.8 |
2,685.4 |
793.94 |
3.000 |
6,396.3 |
5,919.5 |
931.55 |
3.000 |
16,543.0 |
|
3,263.6 |
1,048.67 |
3.000 |
10,267.3 |
2,719.5 |
796.93 |
3.000 |
6,501.8 |
5,983.1 |
934.25 |
3.000 |
16,769.1 |
|
3,294.0 |
1,052.80 |
3.000 |
10,403.9 |
2,754.2 |
799.97 |
3.000 |
6,609.9 |
6,048.3 |
937.67 |
3.000 |
17,013.8 |
|
3,322.9 |
1,057.57 |
3.000 |
10,542.5 |
2,787.5 |
803.40 |
3.000 |
6,718.4 |
6,110.4 |
941.62 |
3.000 |
17,260.9 |
|
3,349.6 |
1,096.36 |
3.000 |
11,017.2 |
2,819.2 |
833.01 |
3.000 |
7,045.3 |
6,168.8 |
976.01 |
3.000 |
18,062.5 |
|
3,379.2 |
1,099.40 |
3.000 |
11,145.3 |
2,853.8 |
836.07 |
3.000 |
7,157.9 |
6,233.0 |
978.83 |
3.000 |
18,303.2 |
|
3,409.8 |
1,103.74 |
3.000 |
11,290.5 |
2,889.1 |
839.18 |
3.000 |
7,273.3 |
6,298.8 |
982.39 |
3.000 |
18,563.8 |
|
3,438.7 |
1,108.71 |
3.000 |
11,437.5 |
2,922.9 |
842.69 |
3.000 |
7,389.2 |
6,361.5 |
986.49 |
3.000 |
18,826.7 |
|
3,465.3 |
1,150.43 |
3.000 |
11,959.7 |
2,954.7 |
874.51 |
3.000 |
7,751.7 |
6,420.0 |
1,023.44 |
3.000 |
19,711.5 |
|
3,494.5 |
1,153.51 |
3.000 |
12,092.8 |
2,988.9 |
877.60 |
3.000 |
7,869.0 |
6,483.4 |
1,026.31 |
3.000 |
19,961.8 |
|
3,524.7 |
1,157.94 |
3.000 |
12,244.3 |
3,023.7 |
880.74 |
3.000 |
7,989.4 |
6,548.5 |
1,029.95 |
3.000 |
20,233.8 |
|
3,553.3 |
1,163.05 |
3.000 |
12,397.9 |
3,057.1 |
884.31 |
3.000 |
8,110.4 |
6,610.4 |
1,034.14 |
3.000 |
20,508.2 |
|
3,579.1 |
1,206.68 |
3.000 |
12,956.6 |
3,088.4 |
917.60 |
3.000 |
8,501.7 |
6,667.5 |
1,072.78 |
3.000 |
21,458.4 |
|
3,607.1 |
1,209.73 |
3.000 |
13,090.9 |
3,121.8 |
920.73 |
3.000 |
8,622.9 |
6,728.9 |
1,075.65 |
3.000 |
21,713.9 |
|
3,636.2 |
1,214.24 |
3.000 |
13,245.6 |
3,155.9 |
923.93 |
3.000 |
8,747.6 |
6,792.1 |
1,079.35 |
3.000 |
21,993.2 |
|
3,663.5 |
1,219.48 |
3.000 |
13,402.7 |
3,188.5 |
927.60 |
3.000 |
8,873.0 |
6,852.0 |
1,083.65 |
3.000 |
22,275.7 |
|
3,685.9 |
1,265.04 |
3.000 |
13,988.4 |
3,217.0 |
962.46 |
3.000 |
9,288.8 |
6,902.9 |
1,124.03 |
3.000 |
23,277.2 |
|
3,706.1 |
1,267.91 |
3.000 |
14,096.9 |
3,243.8 |
965.71 |
3.000 |
9,397.6 |
6,949.9 |
1,126.86 |
3.000 |
23,494.5 |
|
3,727.5 |
1,272.49 |
3.000 |
14,229.5 |
3,271.4 |
969.04 |
3.000 |
9,510.4 |
6,998.9 |
1,130.65 |
3.000 |
23,740.0 |
|
3,747.1 |
1,277.94 |
3.000 |
14,365.9 |
3,297.5 |
972.93 |
3.000 |
9,624.9 |
7,044.7 |
1,135.17 |
3.000 |
23,990.7 |
|
3,765.7 |
1,325.82 |
3.000 |
14,977.7 |
3,322.3 |
1,009.59 |
3.000 |
10,062.6 |
7,088.0 |
1,177.59 |
3.000 |
25,040.3 |
|
3,789.5 |
1,328.82 |
3.000 |
15,106.8 |
3,351.1 |
1,012.83 |
3.000 |
10,182.4 |
7,140.7 |
1,180.52 |
3.000 |
25,289.2 |
|
3,814.6 |
1,333.58 |
3.000 |
15,261.3 |
3,380.8 |
1,016.15 |
3.000 |
10,306.4 |
7,195.5 |
1,184.43 |
3.000 |
25,567.6 |
|
3,837.9 |
1,339.23 |
3.000 |
15,419.5 |
3,408.9 |
1,020.05 |
3.000 |
10,431.9 |
7,246.8 |
1,189.09 |
3.000 |
25,851.4 |
Sources:
· Number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period computed from corresponding figures shown earlier for number and average benefit in current-payment status at end of period.
· Historical rate computed by dividing amount during period by product of number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period. Future rates projected based on historical trend.
· Historical amount from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future amounts computed by applying rate to number and average benefit in current-payment status at midpoint of period.
· Total amount computed by addition of male and female amounts.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001