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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 71s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 1971
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    25997    42972    56594    66768             31229    51592    68051    80734
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    26461    42455    56419    68068             31214    49478    65739    78866
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    26881    43387    57911    70321             31666    50481    67343    81291
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    24671    40729    54012    64223             29535    48609    64450    76801
 MB+           (4.6)    27760    45867    60437    70701             33476    55281    72949    85731
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    25987    42942    56574    66127             31216    51553    68025    79901
 MTR           (2.3)    23623    38401    50287    58608             28414    46119    60466    70796
 LTR           (2.3)    23497    35867    45880    52188             28029    42399    54413    61804
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 1971
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    32810    72912   114560   155374             33852    75228   118260   160802
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    34338    76304   119988   163534             35496    78882   124108   169590
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    33636    74746   117494   159792             34740    77198   121414   165552
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    33680    74842   117648   160026             34786    77302   121580   165802
 MB+           (4.6)    33636    74746   117494   159792             34740    77198   121414   165552
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    32810    72912   114560   155374             33852    75228   118260   160802
 MTR           (2.3)    32810    72912   114560   155374             33852    75228   118260   160802
 LTR           (2.3)    30922    68714   107842   145258             31822    70714   111040   149928
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 1971
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    -6813   -29940   -57966   -88606             -2623   -23636   -50209   -80068
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    -7877   -33849   -63569   -95466             -4282   -29404   -58369   -90724
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    -6755   -31359   -59583   -89471             -3074   -26717   -54071   -84261
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    -9009   -34113   -63636   -95803             -5251   -28693   -57130   -89001
 MB+           (4.6)    -5876   -28879   -57057   -89091             -1264   -21917   -48465   -79821
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    -6823   -29970   -57986   -89247             -2636   -23675   -50235   -80901
 MTR           (2.3)    -9187   -34511   -64273   -96766             -5438   -29109   -57794   -90006
 LTR           (2.3)    -7425   -32847   -61962   -93070             -3793   -28315   -56627   -88124
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 1971
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)       79       59       49       43                92       69       58       50
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)       77       56       47       42                88       63       53       47
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)       80       58       49       44                91       65       55       49
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)       73       54       46       40                85       63       53       46
 MB+           (4.6)       83       61       51       44                96       72       60       52
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)       79       59       49       43                92       69       58       50
 MTR           (2.3)       72       53       44       38                84       61       51       44
 LTR           (2.3)       76       52       43       36                88       60       49       41
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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