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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 26m  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    86547   143726   189736   228162             79249   131173   173246   208347
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86547   143726   189736   228162             79249   131173   173246   208347
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    88370   128462   169756   221999             80738   117855   157318   207071
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)   102121   159020   218648   295231             94351   148107   205721   279570
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    80330   130535   175804   222320             72770   118647   160458   203980
 MB+           (4.6)   110417   183449   242516   291604            101066   167642   221576   266441
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    86504   143633   189667   228057             79206   131081   173178   208242
 MTR           (2.3)    66739   100333   127480   149938             59499    89156   113272   133303
 LTR           (2.3)    61845    69518    75445    80735             54577    59720    64302    67747
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40268    89486   143178   214460             41748    92756   148438   222342
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    52338   116308   186094   278744             54308   120686   193098   289236
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    42742    94982   151970   227632             44244    98322   157314   235636
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    45204   100456   160728   240748             46866   104146   166634   249596
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    45464   101032   161652   242132             47136   104746   167592   251030
 MB+           (4.6)    45204   100456   160728   240748             46866   104146   166634   249596
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    45130    10028   160466   240356             46898   104218   166748   249768
 MTR           (2.3)    40268    89486   143178   214460             41748    92756   148438   222342
 LTR           (2.3)    28968    64372   102996   154272             30032    66738   106780   159942
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    46279    54240    46558    13702             37501    38417    24808   -13995
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    34209    27418     3642   -50582             24941    10487   -19852   -80889
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    45628    33480    17786    -5633             36494    19533        4   -28565
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    56917    58564    57920    54483             47485    43961    39087    29974
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    34866    29503    14152   -19812             25634    13901    -7134   -47050
 MB+           (4.6)    65213    82993    81788    50856             54200    63496    54942    16845
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    41374   133605    29201   -12299             32308    26863     6430   -41526
 MTR           (2.3)    26471    10847   -15698   -64522             17751    -3600   -35166   -89039
 LTR           (2.3)    32877     5146   -27551   -73537             24545    -7018   -42478   -92195
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      215      161      133      106               190      141      117       94
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      165      124      102       82               146      109       90       72
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      207      135      112       98               182      120      100       88
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      226      158      136      123               201      142      123      112
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)      177      129      109       92               154      113       96       81
 MB+           (4.6)      244      183      151      121               216      161      133      107
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      192     1432      118       95               169      126      104       83
 MTR           (2.3)      166      112       89       70               143       96       76       60
 LTR           (2.3)      213      108       73       52               182       89       60       42
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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