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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 26   Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
               (TF      -----------------------------------------    -----------------------------------------
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    86954   149001   190020   210155   144151   102650   148331   170012   208822   224731
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86954   149001   190020   210155   144151   102650   148331   170012   208822   224731
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)   112603   180629   228753   243329   175681   139752   179798   215782   256978   296412
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    98896   150465   183864   190730   145520   122721   152278   177936   207690   235858
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    95975   161835   195285   208008   153143   119271   158963   194805   219965   241690
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    89520   147615   174110   183348   138932   111253   145973   176987   196723   213181
 MB            (4.2)    86886   148913   189949   210055   144072   102559   148246   169913   208739   224658
 MTR           (2.3)    79431   125418   141060   145061   116763    98730   125728   149158   160470   168654
 LTR           (2.3)    70186    87312    89870    81145    82404    87066    94693    98703   104533   109086
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    66794   145517   217025   255012   145895    82016   131234   182242   235934   291616
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86851   189212   282177   331516   189696   106646   170616   236994   306780   379192
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    74982   163365   243637   286279   163786    92070   147322   204602   264874   327362
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    74982   163365   243637   286279   163786    92070   147322   204602   264874   327362
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    75414   164304   245038   287926   164728    92600   148168   205778   266398   329244
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    75414   164304   245038   287926   164728    92600   148168   205778   266398   329244
 MB            (4.2)    68764   149807   223410   262479   150190    84436   135086   187634   242888   300216
 MTR           (2.3)    66794   145517   217025   255012   145895    82016   131234   182242   235934   291616
 LTR           (2.3)    48050   104685   156125   183449   104956    59000    94404   131110   169734   209776
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    20160     3484   -27005   -44857    -1744    20634    17097   -12230   -27112   -66885
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      103   -40212   -92157  -121362   -45545    -3996   -22285   -66982   -97958  -154461
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    37622    17263   -14885   -42950    11895    47682    32476    11180    -7896   -30950
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    23914   -12900   -59773   -95549   -18267    30651     4956   -26666   -57184   -91504
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    20562    -2469   -49753   -79917   -11586    26671    10795   -10973   -46433   -87554
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    14106   -16689   -70929  -104578   -25796    18653    -2195   -28791   -69675  -116063
 MB            (4.2)    18122     -894   -33461   -52424    -6118    18123    13160   -17721   -34149   -75558
 MTR           (2.3)    12637   -20099   -75965  -109951   -29132    16714    -5506   -33084   -75464  -122962
 LTR           (2.3)    22136   -17373   -66255  -102304   -22551    28066      289   -32407   -65201  -100690
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      130      102       88       82       99      125      113       93       89       77
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      100       79       67       63       76       96       87       72       68       59
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      150      111       94       85      107      152      122      105       97       91
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      132       92       75       67       89      133      103       87       78       72
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      127       98       80       72       93      129      107       95       83       73
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      119       90       71       64       84      120       99       86       74       65
 MB            (4.2)      126       99       85       80       96      121      110       91       86       75
 MTR           (2.3)      119       86       65       57       80      120       96       82       68       58
 LTR           (2.3)      146       83       58       44       79      148      100       75       62       52
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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