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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 07   Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
               (TF      -----------------------------------------    -----------------------------------------
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    83576   143658   183509   203630   138989    98684   143096   163463   201297   216086
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    83576   143658   183509   203630   138989    98684   143096   163463   201297   216086
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)   112120   180189   227489   242266   174943   139001   178979   214820   253875   295172
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    98545   150243   183907   190862   145301   122110   151688   177283   206993   235114
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    94760   160631   194079   207669   151951   117565   157470   192774   217727   238924
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    88491   146787   173456   183717   138133   109764   144839   175439   195122   211188
 MB            (4.2)    83536   143574   183440   203533   138920    98637   143014   163370   201217   216016
 MTR           (2.3)    78592   124953   140928   146133   116350    97456   124949   148086   159499   167425
 LTR           (2.3)    70076    87459    90397    82052    82613    86700    94500    98595   104547   109212
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2007
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    66386   144891   216282   253928   145176    81542   130452   181206   234564   289930
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    75084   163833   244523   286942   164140    92230   147466   204952   265210   327924
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    74524   162652   242791   285053   162971    91538   146444   203418   263314   325468
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    74524   162652   242791   285053   162971    91538   146444   203418   263314   325468
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    74952   163586   244187   286693   163907    92064   147284   204586   264828   327338
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    74952   163586   244187   286693   163907    92064   147284   204586   264828   327338
 MB            (4.2)    66693   145560   217274   255081   145843    81920   131050   182048   235642   291274
 MTR           (2.3)    66386   144891   216282   253928   145176    81542   130452   181206   234564   289930
 LTR           (2.3)    47755   104228   155583   182663   104432    58658    93842   130350   168734   208562
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    17190    -1233   -32773   -50298    -6187    17142    12644   -17743   -33267   -73844
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)     8491   -20175   -61014   -83312   -25151     6454    -4370   -41489   -63913  -111838
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    37596    17537   -15303   -42788    11972    47463    32535    11402    -9439   -30296
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    24022   -12409   -58884   -94191   -17670    30572     5244   -26135   -56321   -90354
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    19808    -2955   -50108   -79024   -11956    25501    10186   -11812   -47101   -88414
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    13539   -16799   -70731  -102976   -25774    17700    -2445   -29147   -69706  -116150
 MB            (4.2)    16842    -1986   -33834   -51548    -6923    16717    11964   -18678   -34425   -75258
 MTR           (2.3)    12206   -19938   -75353  -107796   -28826    15914    -5503   -33120   -75065  -122505
 LTR           (2.3)    22321   -16769   -65186  -100611   -21819    28042      658   -31755   -64187   -99350
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      126       99       85       80       96      121      110       90       86       75
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      111       88       75       71       85      107       97       80       76       66
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      150      111       94       85      107      152      122      106       96       91
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      132       92       76       67       89      133      104       87       79       72
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      126       98       79       72       93      128      107       94       82       73
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      118       90       71       64       84      119       98       86       74       65
 MB            (4.2)      125       99       84       80       95      120      109       90       85       74
 MTR           (2.3)      118       86       65       58       80      120       96       82       68       58
 LTR           (2.3)      147       84       58       45       79      148      101       76       62       52
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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