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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 26   Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
               (TF      -----------------------------------------    -----------------------------------------
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    86954   149001   190020   210155   144151   102650   148331   170012   208822   224731
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86954   149001   190020   210155   144151   102650   148331   170012   208822   224731
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)   112603   180629   228753   243329   175681   139752   179798   215782   256978   296412
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)   134634   229077   300841   327850   224131   167117   223969   276592   336123   393708
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)   101065   173045   211976   221690   163928   125592   169202   208852   238286   264164
 MB+           (4.6)   110791   190123   242836   268570   183999   130670   188896   217172   266832   287192
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    86886   148913   189949   210055   144072   102559   148246   169913   208739   224658
 MTR           (2.3)    79431   125418   141060   145061   116763    98730   125728   149158   160470   168654
 LTR           (2.3)    70186    87312    89870    81145    82404    87066    94693    98703   104533   109086
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    66794   145517   217025   255012   145895    82016   131234   182242   235934   291616
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86851   189212   282177   331516   189696   106646   170616   236994   306780   379192
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    70843   154366   230233   270603   154772    86986   139226   193304   250292   309284
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    74982   163365   243637   286279   163786    92070   147322   204602   264874   327362
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    75414   164304   245038   287926   164728    92600   148168   205778   266398   329244
 MB+           (4.6)    74982   163365   243637   286279   163786    92070   147322   204602   264874   327362
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    74945    76984   243448   285942   127621    92028    56926   114246   264684   327214
 MTR           (2.3)    66794   145517   217025   255012   145895    82016   131234   182242   235934   291616
 LTR           (2.3)    48050   104685   156125   183449   104956    59000    94404   131110   169734   209776
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    20160     3484   -27005   -44857    -1744    20634    17097   -12230   -27112   -66885
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      103   -40212   -92157  -121362   -45545    -3996   -22285   -66982   -97958  -154461
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    41760    26262    -1480   -27274    20909    52766    40572    22478     6686   -12872
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    59652    65712    57204    41570    60344    75047    76647    71990    71249    66346
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    25651     8741   -33063   -66235     -801    32992    21034     3074   -28112   -65080
 MB+           (4.6)    35809    26758     -801   -17709    20212    38600    41574    12570     1958   -40170
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    11941    71929   -53499   -75887    16451    10531    91320    55667   -55945  -102556
 MTR           (2.3)    12637   -20099   -75965  -109951   -29132    16714    -5506   -33084   -75464  -122962
 LTR           (2.3)    22136   -17373   -66255  -102304   -22551    28066      289   -32407   -65201  -100690
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      130      102       88       82       99      125      113       93       89       77
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      100       79       67       63       76       96       87       72       68       59
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      159      117       99       90      114      161      129      112      103       96
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      180      140      123      115      137      182      152      135      127      120
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)      134      105       87       77      100      136      114      101       89       80
 MB+           (4.6)      148      116      100       94      112      142      128      106      101       88
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      116      193       78       73      113      111      260      149       79       69
 MTR           (2.3)      119       86       65       57       80      120       96       82       68       58
 LTR           (2.3)      146       83       58       44       79      148      100       75       62       52
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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