Research Notes & Special Studies by the Historian's Office
Research Note #19: |
Presently, the Social Security program is the largest single item in the annual federal government budget. As a percentage of total federal expenditures, in 2002 Social Security benefits were approximately 22.6% of federal expenditures. As a percentage of federal outlays, Social Security benefits have ranged from a low of 0.22% (during World War II) to a high of 23.2% in 2001. There are several other points of interest in the data. The 1950 Amendments, for example, which significantly increased the value of Social Security benefits, produced the largest year-to-year jump in the percentage (almost doubling from 1950 to 1951). The expansions of coverage in the 1954 and 1956 Amendments (and the addition of disability benefits in 1956) can be seen in its impact on expenditures. The Amendments of 1972, which were the last major expansionary amendments, also produced a detectable rise in the percentage of the federal budget going to Social Security. (The 1977 Amendments scaled-back the level of Social Security benefits--an effect which is not readily discernable in the Table since this was primarily a reduction in future levels from what they would otherwise have been.) As an interesting point of comparison, even the peak year of 2001 in which expenditures for Social Security topped 23% of the federal budget, this was far from the most the federal government has ever committed to social welfare spending. Following the Civil War, the federal government funded pensions for Union veterans and their survivors and dependents. In the peak year of 1894, the government spent 37% of its annual budget on these Civil War pensions. |
Social Security Benefits as a Percentage of Total Federal Budget Outlays 1940-2002 [1]
|
|||
Year |
Social Security
|
Total Federal
Budget |
Social
Security as a |
1940 [2] |
28 |
9,468 |
.29 |
1941 |
91 |
13,653 |
.66 |
1942 |
137 |
35,137 |
.38 |
1943 |
177 |
78,555 |
.22 |
1944 |
217 |
91,304 |
.23 |
1945 |
267 |
92,712 |
.28 |
1946 |
358 |
55,232 |
.64 |
1947 |
466 |
34,496 |
1.35 |
1948 |
558 |
29,764 |
1.87 |
1949 |
657 |
38,835 |
1.69 |
1950 |
781 |
42,562 |
1.83 |
1951 |
1,565 |
45,514 |
3.43 |
1952 |
2,063 |
67,686 |
3.04 |
1953 |
2,717 |
76,101 |
3.57 |
1954 |
3,352 |
70,855 |
4.73 |
1955 |
4,427 |
68,444 |
6.46 |
1956 |
5,478 |
70,640 |
7.75 |
1957 |
6,661 |
76,578 |
8.69 |
1958 |
8,219 |
82,405 |
9.97 |
1959 |
9,737 |
92,098 |
10.57 |
1960 |
11,602 |
92,191 |
12.58 |
1961 |
12,474 |
97,723 |
12.76 |
1962 |
14,365 |
106,821 |
13.44 |
1963 |
15,788 |
111,316 |
14.18 |
1964 |
16,620 |
118,528 |
14.02 |
1965 |
17,460 |
118,228 |
14.76 |
1966 |
20,694 |
134,532 |
15.38 |
1967 |
21,725 |
157,464 |
13.79 |
1968 |
23,854 |
178,134 |
13.39 |
1969 |
27,298 |
183,640 |
14.86 |
1970 |
30,270 |
195,649 |
15.47 |
1971 |
35,872 |
210,172 |
17.06 |
1972 |
40,157 |
230,681 |
17.40 |
1973 |
49,090 |
245,707 |
19.97 |
1974 |
55,867 |
269,359 |
20.74 |
1975 |
64,658 |
332,332 |
19.45 |
1976 |
73,899 |
371,792 |
19.87 |
TQ [3] |
19,763 |
95,975 |
20.59 |
1977 |
85,061 |
409,218 |
20.78 |
1978 |
93,861 |
458,746 |
20.46 |
1979 |
104,073 |
504,028 |
20.64 |
1980 |
118,547 |
590,941 |
20.06 |
1981 |
139,584 |
678,241 |
20.58 |
1982 |
155,964 |
745,743 |
20.91 |
1983 |
170,724 |
808,364 |
21.11 |
1984 |
178,223 |
851,853 |
20.92 |
1985 |
188,623 |
946,396 |
19.93 |
1986 |
198,757 |
990,430 |
20.06 |
1987 |
207,353 |
1,004,082 |
20.65 |
1988 |
219,341 |
1,064,455 |
20.60 |
1989 |
232,542 |
1,143,646 |
20.33 |
1990 |
248,623 |
1,253,165 |
19.83 |
1991 |
269,015 |
1,324,369 |
20.31 |
1992 |
287,585 |
1,381,655 |
20.81 |
1993 |
304,585 |
1,409,489 |
21.60 |
1994 |
319,565 |
1,461,877 |
21.85 |
1995 |
335,846 |
1,515,802 |
22.15 |
1996 |
349,671 |
1,560,535 |
22.40 |
1997 |
365,251 |
1,601,250 |
22.81 |
1998 |
379,215 |
1,652,585 |
22.94 |
1999 |
390,037 |
1,701,891 |
22.91 |
2000 |
409,423 |
1,788,773 |
22.88 |
2001 |
432,958 |
1,863,895 |
23.22 |
2002 |
456,413 |
2,010,975 |
22.69 |
Footnotes: [1] Source: Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2004, Historical Tables. U.S. Government Printing Office, 2003. All figures are from Table 3.1- Outlays By Superfunction and Function: 1940-2008, pgs. 44-51. Figures do not include expenditures for Medicare. [2] Social Security tax collections and benefit payments actually started in 1937. From 1937 through 1939 there were no monthly Social Security benefits paid, but there were relatively small one-time lump-sum payouts. The dollar amounts of Social Security payments were so small during these years that in all three years the percentage would be lower than the lowest value shown in this table. [3] In 1976 the federal government changed the period of its fiscal year. To accommodate the shift in time frames the Bureau of the Budget created a fictional Transition Quarter in which expenditures were assigned to neither 1976 or 1977 but to this imaginary quarter. This is therefore how this period is depicted in federal budget documents and to maintain consistency with the standard presentation we have followed this practice. Since we are looking at percentages, the diminuative size of this one measuring period does not matter for purposes of our analysis. |
Larry DeWitt SSA Historian's Office June 2003 |