Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.12: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2030 and later. Phase in elimination by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable maximum at: 1.24 percent in 2021, 2.48 percent in 2022, and so on, up to 12.40 percent in 2030. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum. Create a new bend point at the current-law taxable maximum with a 3 percent formula factor applying above the new bend point.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2018 | 13.81 | 12.64 | -1.17 | 288 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.95 | 12.87 | -1.08 | 272 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.12 | 12.89 | -1.23 | 256 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.16 | -1.11 | 239 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 | ||
2022 | 14.44 | 13.44 | -1.00 | 224 | -0.00 | 0.49 | 0.49 | ||
2023 | 14.62 | 13.70 | -0.92 | 210 | -0.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | ||
2024 | 14.80 | 13.97 | -0.84 | 198 | -0.00 | 0.97 | 0.97 | ||
2025 | 14.98 | 14.21 | -0.77 | 187 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 1.20 | ||
2026 | 15.16 | 14.56 | -0.60 | 177 | 0.00 | 1.43 | 1.42 | ||
2027 | 15.37 | 14.80 | -0.57 | 168 | 0.01 | 1.64 | 1.64 | ||
2028 | 15.59 | 15.04 | -0.55 | 161 | 0.01 | 1.87 | 1.86 | ||
2029 | 15.81 | 15.27 | -0.53 | 155 | 0.01 | 2.08 | 2.07 | ||
2030 | 16.00 | 15.50 | -0.50 | 150 | 0.02 | 2.30 | 2.28 | ||
2031 | 16.19 | 15.53 | -0.66 | 146 | 0.03 | 2.31 | 2.29 | ||
2032 | 16.35 | 15.54 | -0.81 | 142 | 0.03 | 2.31 | 2.28 | ||
2033 | 16.49 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 137 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.27 | ||
2034 | 16.62 | 15.56 | -1.05 | 132 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.27 | ||
2035 | 16.71 | 15.57 | -1.14 | 127 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2036 | 16.79 | 15.58 | -1.21 | 121 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2037 | 16.86 | 15.59 | -1.27 | 115 | 0.08 | 2.32 | 2.24 | ||
2038 | 16.91 | 15.60 | -1.31 | 109 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.24 | ||
2039 | 16.93 | 15.60 | -1.33 | 102 | 0.10 | 2.33 | 2.23 | ||
2040 | 16.93 | 15.60 | -1.33 | 96 | 0.11 | 2.33 | 2.22 | ||
2041 | 16.92 | 15.60 | -1.32 | 89 | 0.11 | 2.33 | 2.22 | ||
2042 | 16.90 | 15.60 | -1.29 | 83 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2043 | 16.87 | 15.61 | -1.26 | 76 | 0.13 | 2.33 | 2.20 | ||
2044 | 16.83 | 15.61 | -1.23 | 70 | 0.14 | 2.34 | 2.20 | ||
2045 | 16.81 | 15.61 | -1.20 | 64 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 2.19 | ||
2046 | 16.78 | 15.61 | -1.17 | 58 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 2.19 | ||
2047 | 16.76 | 15.61 | -1.15 | 51 | 0.16 | 2.34 | 2.18 | ||
2048 | 16.74 | 15.61 | -1.13 | 45 | 0.17 | 2.34 | 2.18 | ||
2049 | 16.73 | 15.61 | -1.12 | 39 | 0.17 | 2.34 | 2.17 | ||
2050 | 16.72 | 15.61 | -1.11 | 33 | 0.18 | 2.35 | 2.17 | ||
2051 | 16.72 | 15.62 | -1.10 | 27 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2052 | 16.73 | 15.62 | -1.11 | 21 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2053 | 16.74 | 15.62 | -1.12 | 15 | 0.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2054 | 16.76 | 15.62 | -1.14 | 9 | 0.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2055 | 16.80 | 15.63 | -1.17 | 2 | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2056 | 16.84 | 15.63 | -1.20 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.14 | ||
2057 | 16.88 | 15.64 | -1.24 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.36 | 2.14 | ||
2058 | 16.93 | 15.64 | -1.29 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.36 | 2.14 | ||
2059 | 16.98 | 15.65 | -1.34 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2060 | 17.04 | 15.65 | -1.38 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2061 | 17.09 | 15.66 | -1.43 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2062 | 17.14 | 15.67 | -1.48 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2063 | 17.20 | 15.67 | -1.53 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2064 | 17.25 | 15.68 | -1.58 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2065 | 17.31 | 15.68 | -1.63 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2066 | 17.37 | 15.69 | -1.68 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2067 | 17.42 | 15.69 | -1.73 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2068 | 17.48 | 15.70 | -1.79 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2069 | 17.55 | 15.70 | -1.84 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2070 | 17.61 | 15.71 | -1.90 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2071 | 17.66 | 15.71 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2072 | 17.71 | 15.72 | -1.99 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.37 | 2.13 | ||
2073 | 17.75 | 15.72 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.13 | ||
2074 | 17.79 | 15.73 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.14 | ||
2075 | 17.83 | 15.73 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.14 | ||
2076 | 17.85 | 15.73 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.14 | ||
2077 | 17.86 | 15.74 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.14 | ||
2078 | 17.86 | 15.74 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.14 | ||
2079 | 17.86 | 15.74 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2080 | 17.84 | 15.74 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.24 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2081 | 17.82 | 15.74 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.38 | 2.15 | ||
2082 | 17.80 | 15.74 | -2.06 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.15 | ||
2083 | 17.79 | 15.74 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2084 | 17.77 | 15.74 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2085 | 17.76 | 15.74 | -2.02 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2086 | 17.76 | 15.74 | -2.02 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2087 | 17.76 | 15.74 | -2.02 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.16 | ||
2088 | 17.77 | 15.74 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.17 | ||
2089 | 17.80 | 15.75 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.39 | 2.17 | ||
2090 | 17.83 | 15.75 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.40 | 2.17 | ||
2091 | 17.86 | 15.75 | -2.11 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.40 | 2.17 | ||
2092 | 17.91 | 15.76 | -2.15 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.40 | 2.17 | ||
2093 | 17.95 | 15.76 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.23 | 2.40 | 2.17 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2018-2092 | 16.83% | 15.92% | -0.91% | 2055 | 0.14% | 2.08% | 1.93% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2018 Trustees Report.