Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.1: Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2019-2028). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2018 | 13.81 | 12.64 | -1.17 | 288 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.95 | 13.01 | -0.95 | 272 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.13 | ||
2020 | 14.12 | 13.17 | -0.96 | 257 | -0.00 | 0.27 | 0.27 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.32 | -0.95 | 242 | -0.00 | 0.40 | 0.40 | ||
2022 | 14.44 | 13.46 | -0.98 | 228 | -0.00 | 0.51 | 0.51 | ||
2023 | 14.62 | 13.58 | -1.04 | 214 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.61 | ||
2024 | 14.81 | 13.70 | -1.10 | 201 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.71 | ||
2025 | 14.99 | 13.81 | -1.18 | 188 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.79 | ||
2026 | 15.16 | 14.01 | -1.15 | 175 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.87 | ||
2027 | 15.37 | 14.10 | -1.27 | 163 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.94 | ||
2028 | 15.59 | 14.19 | -1.40 | 152 | 0.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | ||
2029 | 15.81 | 14.22 | -1.59 | 141 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2030 | 16.00 | 14.23 | -1.77 | 129 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2031 | 16.18 | 14.25 | -1.94 | 118 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2032 | 16.35 | 14.26 | -2.09 | 106 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2033 | 16.49 | 14.27 | -2.22 | 94 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2034 | 16.61 | 14.28 | -2.33 | 81 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2035 | 16.70 | 14.29 | -2.41 | 68 | 0.05 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2036 | 16.78 | 14.30 | -2.48 | 54 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.98 | ||
2037 | 16.85 | 14.30 | -2.54 | 40 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2038 | 16.89 | 14.31 | -2.58 | 26 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2039 | 16.91 | 14.31 | -2.60 | 11 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2040 | 16.92 | 14.32 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2041 | 16.91 | 14.32 | -2.59 | ---- | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2042 | 16.88 | 14.32 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.10 | 1.05 | 0.94 | ||
2043 | 16.85 | 14.32 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.05 | 0.93 | ||
2044 | 16.82 | 14.32 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.05 | 0.93 | ||
2045 | 16.79 | 14.32 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2046 | 16.77 | 14.32 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2047 | 16.75 | 14.32 | -2.43 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2048 | 16.73 | 14.32 | -2.41 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2049 | 16.72 | 14.32 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2050 | 16.72 | 14.32 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
2051 | 16.72 | 14.33 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2052 | 16.73 | 14.33 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
2053 | 16.75 | 14.33 | -2.42 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2054 | 16.78 | 14.34 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2055 | 16.82 | 14.34 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2056 | 16.86 | 14.35 | -2.52 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2057 | 16.91 | 14.35 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.82 | ||
2058 | 16.97 | 14.36 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
2059 | 17.03 | 14.36 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.07 | 0.80 | ||
2060 | 17.09 | 14.37 | -2.72 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.07 | 0.79 | ||
2061 | 17.15 | 14.37 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.08 | 0.78 | ||
2062 | 17.21 | 14.38 | -2.83 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.08 | 0.78 | ||
2063 | 17.27 | 14.39 | -2.89 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.08 | 0.77 | ||
2064 | 17.34 | 14.39 | -2.94 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.08 | 0.76 | ||
2065 | 17.40 | 14.40 | -3.00 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.08 | 0.75 | ||
2066 | 17.46 | 14.40 | -3.06 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.09 | 0.75 | ||
2067 | 17.53 | 14.41 | -3.12 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.09 | 0.74 | ||
2068 | 17.60 | 14.42 | -3.18 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.09 | 0.73 | ||
2069 | 17.67 | 14.42 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.09 | 0.73 | ||
2070 | 17.74 | 14.43 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.09 | 0.72 | ||
2071 | 17.80 | 14.43 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2072 | 17.85 | 14.44 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2073 | 17.90 | 14.44 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2074 | 17.95 | 14.45 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2075 | 17.99 | 14.45 | -3.54 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2076 | 18.02 | 14.45 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2077 | 18.03 | 14.46 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2078 | 18.04 | 14.46 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2079 | 18.04 | 14.46 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2080 | 18.02 | 14.46 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2081 | 18.01 | 14.46 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.69 | ||
2082 | 17.99 | 14.46 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2083 | 17.98 | 14.46 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2084 | 17.96 | 14.46 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2085 | 17.96 | 14.46 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2086 | 17.95 | 14.46 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2087 | 17.96 | 14.46 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2088 | 17.97 | 14.46 | -3.51 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2089 | 18.00 | 14.46 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2090 | 18.03 | 14.47 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2091 | 18.07 | 14.47 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2092 | 18.11 | 14.47 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2093 | 18.16 | 14.48 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.12 | 0.68 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2018-2092 | 16.88% | 14.83% | -2.06% | 2039 | 0.20% | 0.98% | 0.79% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2018 Trustees Report.