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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.92 | 12.96 | -0.96 | 263 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2020 | 14.00 | 12.97 | -1.03 | 249 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2021 | 14.07 | 12.99 | -1.08 | 236 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2022 | 14.22 | 13.02 | -1.20 | 222 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2023 | 14.42 | 13.04 | -1.38 | 208 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2024 | 14.62 | 13.07 | -1.54 | 194 | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2025 | 14.81 | 13.09 | -1.72 | 179 | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.45 | ||
2026 | 14.93 | 13.10 | -1.83 | 166 | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2027 | 15.04 | 13.11 | -1.93 | 152 | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2028 | 15.15 | 13.12 | -2.02 | 138 | -0.67 | -0.03 | 0.63 | ||
2029 | 15.24 | 13.13 | -2.11 | 125 | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2030 | 15.32 | 13.14 | -2.18 | 112 | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2031 | 15.38 | 13.15 | -2.24 | 99 | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2032 | 15.43 | 13.15 | -2.28 | 85 | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2033 | 15.47 | 13.16 | -2.31 | 72 | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2034 | 15.47 | 13.16 | -2.31 | 58 | -0.99 | -0.05 | 0.94 | ||
2035 | 15.46 | 13.16 | -2.30 | 44 | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.98 | ||
2036 | 15.48 | 13.16 | -2.31 | 30 | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2037 | 15.48 | 13.17 | -2.31 | 16 | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2038 | 15.46 | 13.17 | -2.29 | 1 | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2039 | 15.42 | 13.17 | -2.25 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.06 | 1.13 | ||
2040 | 15.37 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2041 | 15.31 | 13.16 | -2.14 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
2042 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.07 | 1.21 | ||
2043 | 15.19 | 13.16 | -2.03 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.07 | 1.23 | ||
2044 | 15.14 | 13.16 | -1.98 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.07 | 1.26 | ||
2045 | 15.10 | 13.16 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.07 | 1.28 | ||
2046 | 15.06 | 13.16 | -1.90 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.07 | 1.29 | ||
2047 | 15.02 | 13.16 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.07 | 1.31 | ||
2048 | 14.98 | 13.16 | -1.83 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.08 | 1.32 | ||
2049 | 14.95 | 13.15 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.08 | 1.34 | ||
2050 | 14.93 | 13.15 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.43 | -0.08 | 1.35 | ||
2051 | 14.91 | 13.15 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.08 | 1.37 | ||
2052 | 14.91 | 13.16 | -1.75 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2053 | 14.92 | 13.16 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.08 | 1.40 | ||
2054 | 14.93 | 13.16 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.50 | -0.08 | 1.41 | ||
2055 | 14.95 | 13.16 | -1.79 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.08 | 1.43 | ||
2056 | 14.98 | 13.16 | -1.81 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2057 | 15.00 | 13.17 | -1.84 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.08 | 1.47 | ||
2058 | 15.03 | 13.17 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.09 | 1.49 | ||
2059 | 15.06 | 13.17 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.60 | -0.09 | 1.51 | ||
2060 | 15.09 | 13.17 | -1.91 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2061 | 15.11 | 13.18 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.64 | -0.09 | 1.55 | ||
2062 | 15.14 | 13.18 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.67 | -0.09 | 1.58 | ||
2063 | 15.16 | 13.18 | -1.98 | ---- | -1.70 | -0.09 | 1.60 | ||
2064 | 15.18 | 13.18 | -2.00 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.09 | 1.63 | ||
2065 | 15.20 | 13.18 | -2.02 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.10 | 1.66 | ||
2066 | 15.23 | 13.19 | -2.04 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.10 | 1.68 | ||
2067 | 15.25 | 13.19 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.81 | -0.10 | 1.71 | ||
2068 | 15.28 | 13.19 | -2.09 | ---- | -1.84 | -0.10 | 1.74 | ||
2069 | 15.30 | 13.19 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.10 | 1.76 | ||
2070 | 15.32 | 13.19 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.90 | -0.10 | 1.79 | ||
2071 | 15.34 | 13.19 | -2.15 | ---- | -1.92 | -0.11 | 1.82 | ||
2072 | 15.35 | 13.20 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.95 | -0.11 | 1.85 | ||
2073 | 15.36 | 13.20 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2074 | 15.36 | 13.20 | -2.16 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2075 | 15.35 | 13.20 | -2.16 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.11 | 1.93 | ||
2076 | 15.34 | 13.20 | -2.14 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.11 | 1.95 | ||
2077 | 15.31 | 13.20 | -2.12 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2078 | 15.29 | 13.19 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.12 | 2.00 | ||
2079 | 15.26 | 13.19 | -2.06 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2080 | 15.23 | 13.19 | -2.04 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2081 | 15.20 | 13.19 | -2.01 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2082 | 15.18 | 13.19 | -1.99 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2083 | 15.17 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.13 | ||
2084 | 15.16 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2085 | 15.17 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2086 | 15.17 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2087 | 15.18 | 13.19 | -1.99 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.13 | 2.23 | ||
2088 | 15.20 | 13.19 | -2.01 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.13 | 2.26 | ||
2089 | 15.21 | 13.19 | -2.02 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2090 | 15.23 | 13.19 | -2.03 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
2091 | 15.24 | 13.19 | -2.05 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.14 | 2.34 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.18% | 13.77% | -1.41% | 2038 | -1.32% | -0.07% | 1.25% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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