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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.27 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.03 | -1.46 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.75 | 13.06 | -1.69 | 200 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2024 | 15.00 | 13.09 | -1.91 | 183 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2025 | 15.25 | 13.11 | -2.14 | 166 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2026 | 15.43 | 13.13 | -2.30 | 149 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2027 | 15.59 | 13.14 | -2.45 | 133 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2028 | 15.74 | 13.16 | -2.59 | 116 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2029 | 15.85 | 13.17 | -2.68 | 100 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2030 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.76 | 84 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.17 | ||
2031 | 15.99 | 13.18 | -2.81 | 68 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2032 | 16.03 | 13.19 | -2.84 | 51 | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.28 | ||
2033 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.86 | 34 | -0.36 | -0.01 | 0.35 | ||
2034 | 16.04 | 13.20 | -2.84 | 17 | -0.42 | -0.01 | 0.41 | ||
2035 | 16.01 | 13.20 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2036 | 16.00 | 13.20 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.02 | 0.53 | ||
2037 | 15.98 | 13.21 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.02 | 0.60 | ||
2038 | 15.93 | 13.21 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.02 | 0.66 | ||
2039 | 15.87 | 13.20 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.03 | 0.71 | ||
2040 | 15.79 | 13.20 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.03 | 0.77 | ||
2041 | 15.71 | 13.20 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.03 | 0.82 | ||
2042 | 15.63 | 13.20 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.03 | 0.87 | ||
2043 | 15.55 | 13.19 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.04 | 0.92 | ||
2044 | 15.46 | 13.19 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.04 | 0.97 | ||
2045 | 15.39 | 13.19 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.04 | 1.01 | ||
2046 | 15.32 | 13.19 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.04 | 1.06 | ||
2047 | 15.25 | 13.18 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.05 | 1.11 | ||
2048 | 15.18 | 13.18 | -2.00 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.05 | 1.15 | ||
2049 | 15.12 | 13.18 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.05 | 1.20 | ||
2050 | 15.06 | 13.18 | -1.88 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.05 | 1.24 | ||
2051 | 15.02 | 13.18 | -1.84 | ---- | -1.34 | -0.06 | 1.28 | ||
2052 | 14.99 | 13.18 | -1.81 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.06 | 1.33 | ||
2053 | 14.97 | 13.18 | -1.79 | ---- | -1.43 | -0.06 | 1.37 | ||
2054 | 14.95 | 13.18 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.06 | 1.41 | ||
2055 | 14.95 | 13.18 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.06 | 1.45 | ||
2056 | 14.94 | 13.18 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.56 | -0.07 | 1.50 | ||
2057 | 14.95 | 13.18 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.07 | 1.54 | ||
2058 | 14.96 | 13.18 | -1.78 | ---- | -1.64 | -0.07 | 1.57 | ||
2059 | 14.98 | 13.19 | -1.79 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.07 | 1.60 | ||
2060 | 15.00 | 13.19 | -1.81 | ---- | -1.71 | -0.07 | 1.63 | ||
2061 | 15.03 | 13.19 | -1.84 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.08 | 1.65 | ||
2062 | 15.05 | 13.19 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.08 | 1.68 | ||
2063 | 15.08 | 13.20 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.08 | 1.70 | ||
2064 | 15.11 | 13.20 | -1.91 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.08 | 1.72 | ||
2065 | 15.14 | 13.20 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.08 | 1.74 | ||
2066 | 15.18 | 13.20 | -1.97 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.08 | 1.75 | ||
2067 | 15.21 | 13.21 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.08 | 1.77 | ||
2068 | 15.25 | 13.21 | -2.04 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.08 | 1.78 | ||
2069 | 15.28 | 13.21 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.89 | -0.08 | 1.80 | ||
2070 | 15.31 | 13.21 | -2.10 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.08 | 1.83 | ||
2071 | 15.32 | 13.22 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.94 | -0.08 | 1.86 | ||
2072 | 15.34 | 13.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -1.97 | -0.08 | 1.88 | ||
2073 | 15.35 | 13.22 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.99 | -0.09 | 1.90 | ||
2074 | 15.37 | 13.22 | -2.15 | ---- | -2.00 | -0.09 | 1.91 | ||
2075 | 15.38 | 13.22 | -2.15 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.09 | 1.93 | ||
2076 | 15.38 | 13.22 | -2.16 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.09 | 1.94 | ||
2077 | 15.38 | 13.22 | -2.16 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.09 | 1.94 | ||
2078 | 15.37 | 13.22 | -2.15 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.09 | 1.95 | ||
2079 | 15.36 | 13.22 | -2.14 | ---- | -2.05 | -0.09 | 1.96 | ||
2080 | 15.34 | 13.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.09 | 1.97 | ||
2081 | 15.32 | 13.22 | -2.10 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.09 | 1.99 | ||
2082 | 15.31 | 13.22 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.09 | 2.01 | ||
2083 | 15.30 | 13.22 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.09 | 2.03 | ||
2084 | 15.29 | 13.22 | -2.07 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.09 | 2.05 | ||
2085 | 15.30 | 13.22 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.09 | 2.08 | ||
2086 | 15.30 | 13.22 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.21 | -0.10 | 2.11 | ||
2087 | 15.31 | 13.22 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.10 | 2.14 | ||
2088 | 15.33 | 13.22 | -2.11 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.10 | 2.16 | ||
2089 | 15.36 | 13.23 | -2.14 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.10 | 2.17 | ||
2090 | 15.40 | 13.23 | -2.17 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.10 | 2.18 | ||
2091 | 15.43 | 13.23 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.10 | 2.19 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.40% | 13.80% | -1.60% | 2034 | -1.10% | -0.05% | 1.06% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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