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Detailed Single Year Tables
Cost-of-Living Adjustment

Description of Proposed Provision:
A4: Starting December 2019, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. The new COLA will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to OASI benefits, except for those of formerly disabled-workers who converted to retired-worker status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
 
  Proposal
   Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

 Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1		 Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year		 Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Annual
balance
Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Annual
balance
201614.0512.94-1.10
303
0.000.000.00
201713.7212.92-0.80
293
0.000.000.00
201813.8612.96-0.90
277
0.000.000.00
201913.9912.97-1.02
262
0.000.000.00
202014.1012.98-1.12
247
-0.030.000.03
202114.2113.00-1.21
233
-0.060.000.06
202214.4013.03-1.37
218
-0.090.000.09
202314.6313.05-1.58
202
-0.13-0.010.12
202414.8613.08-1.78
187
-0.16-0.010.15
202515.0913.10-1.99
170
-0.19-0.010.18
202615.2513.12-2.13
155
-0.22-0.010.21
202715.4013.13-2.27
139
-0.25-0.010.24
202815.5313.14-2.39
124
-0.28-0.020.27
202915.6613.15-2.51
108
-0.31-0.020.29
203015.7713.16-2.61
93
-0.33-0.020.31
203115.8713.17-2.69
77
-0.36-0.020.34
203215.9513.18-2.77
61
-0.38-0.020.36
203316.0113.18-2.83
44
-0.40-0.020.38
203416.0513.19-2.86
28
-0.42-0.020.39
203516.0613.19-2.87
10
-0.43-0.020.41
203616.1113.20-2.91
----
-0.45-0.020.43
203716.1313.20-2.93
----
-0.47-0.030.44
203816.1313.20-2.93
----
-0.48-0.030.45
203916.1213.20-2.92
----
-0.49-0.030.46
204016.0913.20-2.89
----
-0.50-0.030.47
204116.0513.20-2.85
----
-0.51-0.030.48
204216.0213.20-2.82
----
-0.51-0.030.49
204315.9813.20-2.78
----
-0.52-0.030.49
204415.9413.20-2.74
----
-0.52-0.030.49
204515.9213.20-2.72
----
-0.53-0.030.50
204615.9013.20-2.70
----
-0.53-0.030.50
204715.8713.20-2.67
----
-0.53-0.030.50
204815.8513.20-2.65
----
-0.53-0.030.50
204915.8413.20-2.64
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205015.8313.20-2.63
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205115.8313.20-2.63
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205215.8413.20-2.64
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205315.8713.21-2.66
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205415.9013.21-2.69
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205515.9413.21-2.72
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205615.9813.22-2.76
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205716.0313.22-2.81
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205816.0813.22-2.85
----
-0.53-0.030.50
205916.1313.23-2.90
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206016.1813.23-2.94
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206116.2213.24-2.99
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206216.2713.24-3.03
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206316.3213.24-3.08
----
-0.54-0.030.51
206416.3713.25-3.12
----
-0.54-0.030.51
206516.4113.25-3.17
----
-0.54-0.030.51
206616.4613.25-3.21
----
-0.54-0.030.51
206716.5113.26-3.26
----
-0.55-0.030.52
206816.5613.26-3.30
----
-0.55-0.030.52
206916.6113.26-3.35
----
-0.55-0.030.52
207016.6613.27-3.40
----
-0.56-0.030.52
207116.7113.27-3.44
----
-0.56-0.030.53
207216.7413.27-3.47
----
-0.56-0.030.53
207316.7813.27-3.50
----
-0.56-0.030.53
207416.8013.28-3.53
----
-0.57-0.030.53
207516.8213.28-3.55
----
-0.57-0.030.54
207616.8313.28-3.56
----
-0.57-0.030.54
207716.8413.28-3.56
----
-0.57-0.030.54
207816.8413.28-3.56
----
-0.57-0.030.54
207916.8313.28-3.55
----
-0.58-0.030.54
208016.8313.28-3.55
----
-0.58-0.030.54
208116.8213.28-3.55
----
-0.58-0.030.54
208216.8313.28-3.55
----
-0.58-0.030.54
208316.8413.28-3.56
----
-0.58-0.030.54
208416.8613.28-3.58
----
-0.58-0.030.55
208516.8913.28-3.61
----
-0.58-0.030.55
208616.9213.28-3.64
----
-0.58-0.030.55
208716.9613.29-3.68
----
-0.58-0.030.55
208817.0013.29-3.71
----
-0.58-0.030.55
208917.0513.29-3.76
----
-0.58-0.030.55
209017.0913.29-3.80
----
-0.58-0.030.55
209117.1413.30-3.84
----
-0.59-0.030.55



 

Summarized Estimates
 
  Proposal
   Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Actuarial
balance
Year of reserve
depletion1
Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report.
2016-2090 16.07% 13.82% -2.25%
2035
-0.44% -0.02% 0.41%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified August 30, 2016