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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.26 | 232 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2022 | 14.48 | 13.03 | -1.45 | 216 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2023 | 14.74 | 13.06 | -1.68 | 200 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2024 | 14.99 | 13.09 | -1.90 | 183 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2025 | 15.24 | 13.11 | -2.13 | 166 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2026 | 15.41 | 13.12 | -2.28 | 150 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.14 | -2.42 | 134 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2028 | 15.70 | 13.15 | -2.55 | 117 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2029 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.66 | 101 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2030 | 15.92 | 13.17 | -2.75 | 85 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2031 | 16.00 | 13.18 | -2.82 | 69 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2032 | 16.06 | 13.18 | -2.88 | 52 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2033 | 16.10 | 13.19 | -2.91 | 35 | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2034 | 16.10 | 13.19 | -2.91 | 17 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2035 | 16.09 | 13.19 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2036 | 16.09 | 13.20 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2037 | 16.08 | 13.20 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2038 | 16.04 | 13.20 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2039 | 15.98 | 13.20 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2040 | 15.90 | 13.19 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2041 | 15.81 | 13.19 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2042 | 15.72 | 13.19 | -2.54 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.05 | 0.76 | ||
2043 | 15.63 | 13.18 | -2.44 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2044 | 15.53 | 13.18 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2045 | 15.44 | 13.17 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.06 | 0.95 | ||
2046 | 15.35 | 13.17 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2047 | 15.26 | 13.17 | -2.09 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2048 | 15.17 | 13.16 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.07 | 1.15 | ||
2049 | 15.08 | 13.16 | -1.92 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.21 | ||
2050 | 15.00 | 13.15 | -1.84 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.08 | 1.28 | ||
2051 | 14.93 | 13.15 | -1.77 | ---- | -1.43 | -0.08 | 1.35 | ||
2052 | 14.86 | 13.15 | -1.71 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.09 | 1.42 | ||
2053 | 14.81 | 13.15 | -1.66 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.09 | 1.50 | ||
2054 | 14.76 | 13.15 | -1.62 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.09 | 1.57 | ||
2055 | 14.72 | 13.14 | -1.58 | ---- | -1.74 | -0.10 | 1.64 | ||
2056 | 14.69 | 13.14 | -1.54 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.10 | 1.72 | ||
2057 | 14.66 | 13.14 | -1.51 | ---- | -1.90 | -0.11 | 1.79 | ||
2058 | 14.63 | 13.14 | -1.49 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2059 | 14.60 | 13.14 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.12 | 1.94 | ||
2060 | 14.58 | 13.14 | -1.44 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2061 | 14.55 | 13.14 | -1.41 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.13 | 2.08 | ||
2062 | 14.53 | 13.14 | -1.39 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2063 | 14.52 | 13.14 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2064 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.14 | 2.27 | ||
2065 | 14.49 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.14 | 2.32 | ||
2066 | 14.49 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.52 | -0.14 | 2.38 | ||
2067 | 14.48 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.15 | 2.43 | ||
2068 | 14.49 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.15 | 2.48 | ||
2069 | 14.49 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.15 | 2.52 | ||
2070 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.72 | -0.16 | 2.57 | ||
2071 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.76 | -0.16 | 2.61 | ||
2072 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2073 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.16 | 2.68 | ||
2074 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.17 | 2.71 | ||
2075 | 14.49 | 13.14 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.17 | 2.73 | ||
2076 | 14.48 | 13.14 | -1.34 | ---- | -2.92 | -0.17 | 2.75 | ||
2077 | 14.47 | 13.14 | -1.32 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.17 | 2.77 | ||
2078 | 14.45 | 13.14 | -1.31 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.17 | 2.79 | ||
2079 | 14.43 | 13.14 | -1.29 | ---- | -2.97 | -0.17 | 2.80 | ||
2080 | 14.41 | 13.14 | -1.27 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.17 | 2.82 | ||
2081 | 14.40 | 13.14 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.17 | 2.83 | ||
2082 | 14.39 | 13.14 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.84 | ||
2083 | 14.39 | 13.14 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.18 | 2.86 | ||
2084 | 14.39 | 13.14 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.18 | 2.88 | ||
2085 | 14.39 | 13.14 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.18 | 2.90 | ||
2086 | 14.40 | 13.14 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.18 | 2.93 | ||
2087 | 14.41 | 13.14 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.18 | 2.96 | ||
2088 | 14.42 | 13.14 | -1.28 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.99 | ||
2089 | 14.43 | 13.14 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.19 | 3.02 | ||
2090 | 14.43 | 13.14 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2091 | 14.44 | 13.14 | -1.30 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.19 | 3.09 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.11% | 13.77% | -1.34% | 2034 | -1.39% | -0.08% | 1.31% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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