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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.27 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.03 | -1.46 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.06 | -1.70 | 200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.09 | -1.93 | 183 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 13.11 | -2.17 | 165 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.13 | -2.34 | 149 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2027 | 15.64 | 13.14 | -2.50 | 132 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2028 | 15.80 | 13.16 | -2.65 | 115 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2029 | 15.95 | 13.17 | -2.78 | 98 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2030 | 16.07 | 13.18 | -2.90 | 81 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2031 | 16.18 | 13.19 | -2.99 | 64 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2032 | 16.26 | 13.20 | -3.07 | 46 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2033 | 16.32 | 13.20 | -3.12 | 28 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2034 | 16.35 | 13.21 | -3.14 | 10 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2035 | 16.35 | 13.21 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2036 | 16.37 | 13.21 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2037 | 16.38 | 13.21 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2038 | 16.35 | 13.21 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2039 | 16.30 | 13.21 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2040 | 16.23 | 13.21 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2041 | 16.15 | 13.21 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2042 | 16.07 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2043 | 15.98 | 13.20 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2044 | 15.89 | 13.20 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2045 | 15.81 | 13.19 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2046 | 15.72 | 13.19 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2047 | 15.63 | 13.19 | -2.44 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2048 | 15.54 | 13.18 | -2.36 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2049 | 15.46 | 13.18 | -2.28 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2050 | 15.37 | 13.18 | -2.20 | ---- | -0.98 | -0.06 | 0.93 | ||
2051 | 15.30 | 13.17 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2052 | 15.24 | 13.17 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2053 | 15.18 | 13.17 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2054 | 15.13 | 13.17 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.22 | ||
2055 | 15.09 | 13.16 | -1.92 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.08 | 1.30 | ||
2056 | 15.05 | 13.16 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2057 | 15.01 | 13.16 | -1.85 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.09 | 1.45 | ||
2058 | 14.98 | 13.16 | -1.82 | ---- | -1.63 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2059 | 14.95 | 13.16 | -1.79 | ---- | -1.71 | -0.10 | 1.61 | ||
2060 | 14.91 | 13.16 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.79 | -0.10 | 1.69 | ||
2061 | 14.88 | 13.16 | -1.73 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.11 | 1.77 | ||
2062 | 14.85 | 13.16 | -1.70 | ---- | -1.95 | -0.11 | 1.84 | ||
2063 | 14.82 | 13.16 | -1.67 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.12 | 1.92 | ||
2064 | 14.79 | 13.15 | -1.64 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.12 | 1.99 | ||
2065 | 14.76 | 13.15 | -1.61 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.13 | 2.07 | ||
2066 | 14.74 | 13.15 | -1.59 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2067 | 14.71 | 13.15 | -1.56 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2068 | 14.69 | 13.15 | -1.54 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.29 | ||
2069 | 14.66 | 13.15 | -1.51 | ---- | -2.50 | -0.14 | 2.36 | ||
2070 | 14.64 | 13.15 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.15 | 2.43 | ||
2071 | 14.61 | 13.15 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.65 | -0.15 | 2.50 | ||
2072 | 14.58 | 13.15 | -1.43 | ---- | -2.73 | -0.16 | 2.57 | ||
2073 | 14.54 | 13.14 | -1.40 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2074 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.17 | 2.70 | ||
2075 | 14.45 | 13.14 | -1.31 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.17 | 2.77 | ||
2076 | 14.40 | 13.14 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.17 | 2.83 | ||
2077 | 14.35 | 13.14 | -1.21 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.18 | 2.89 | ||
2078 | 14.29 | 13.13 | -1.15 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2079 | 14.22 | 13.13 | -1.10 | ---- | -3.18 | -0.18 | 3.00 | ||
2080 | 14.16 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2081 | 14.11 | 13.12 | -0.99 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.19 | 3.10 | ||
2082 | 14.05 | 13.12 | -0.94 | ---- | -3.35 | -0.19 | 3.16 | ||
2083 | 14.01 | 13.12 | -0.89 | ---- | -3.41 | -0.20 | 3.21 | ||
2084 | 13.97 | 13.11 | -0.86 | ---- | -3.47 | -0.20 | 3.27 | ||
2085 | 13.94 | 13.11 | -0.82 | ---- | -3.53 | -0.20 | 3.33 | ||
2086 | 13.91 | 13.11 | -0.80 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.21 | 3.39 | ||
2087 | 13.88 | 13.11 | -0.77 | ---- | -3.66 | -0.21 | 3.45 | ||
2088 | 13.86 | 13.11 | -0.75 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.22 | 3.51 | ||
2089 | 13.84 | 13.11 | -0.73 | ---- | -3.79 | -0.22 | 3.57 | ||
2090 | 13.82 | 13.11 | -0.71 | ---- | -3.86 | -0.22 | 3.63 | ||
2091 | 13.80 | 13.10 | -0.70 | ---- | -3.92 | -0.23 | 3.69 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 15.24% | 13.77% | -1.46% | 2034 | -1.27% | -0.07% | 1.19% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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