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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.07 | -1.06 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.19 | -1.08 | 232 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.32 | -1.17 | 218 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.44 | -1.32 | 203 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.56 | -1.46 | 189 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 13.68 | -1.61 | 174 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.57 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.79 | -1.68 | 161 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 0.66 | ||
2027 | 15.65 | 13.90 | -1.75 | 148 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 0.76 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 14.01 | -1.80 | 136 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.85 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 14.12 | -1.85 | 124 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.95 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 14.22 | -1.88 | 113 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 14.33 | -1.89 | 102 | 0.00 | 1.14 | 1.14 | ||
2032 | 16.32 | 14.43 | -1.89 | 91 | 0.00 | 1.23 | 1.24 | ||
2033 | 16.40 | 14.53 | -1.87 | 80 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | ||
2034 | 16.46 | 14.63 | -1.83 | 70 | -0.01 | 1.42 | 1.43 | ||
2035 | 16.49 | 14.73 | -1.76 | 60 | -0.01 | 1.52 | 1.52 | ||
2036 | 16.55 | 14.83 | -1.72 | 50 | -0.01 | 1.61 | 1.62 | ||
2037 | 16.59 | 14.93 | -1.66 | 40 | -0.01 | 1.70 | 1.71 | ||
2038 | 16.60 | 15.03 | -1.58 | 31 | -0.01 | 1.80 | 1.81 | ||
2039 | 16.60 | 15.12 | -1.48 | 22 | -0.01 | 1.89 | 1.90 | ||
2040 | 16.58 | 15.22 | -1.36 | 13 | -0.01 | 1.99 | 2.00 | ||
2041 | 16.55 | 15.31 | -1.24 | 5 | -0.01 | 2.08 | 2.09 | ||
2042 | 16.52 | 15.41 | -1.11 | ---- | -0.01 | 2.17 | 2.19 | ||
2043 | 16.49 | 15.50 | -0.99 | ---- | -0.01 | 2.27 | 2.28 | ||
2044 | 16.45 | 15.50 | -0.95 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.29 | ||
2045 | 16.43 | 15.50 | -0.93 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.29 | ||
2046 | 16.41 | 15.50 | -0.90 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.29 | ||
2047 | 16.38 | 15.50 | -0.88 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.29 | ||
2048 | 16.36 | 15.51 | -0.86 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.29 | ||
2049 | 16.35 | 15.51 | -0.84 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.30 | ||
2050 | 16.33 | 15.51 | -0.83 | ---- | -0.02 | 2.27 | 2.30 | ||
2051 | 16.33 | 15.51 | -0.83 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.27 | 2.30 | ||
2052 | 16.34 | 15.51 | -0.83 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.28 | 2.30 | ||
2053 | 16.36 | 15.51 | -0.85 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.28 | 2.30 | ||
2054 | 16.39 | 15.52 | -0.88 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.28 | 2.31 | ||
2055 | 16.43 | 15.52 | -0.91 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.28 | 2.31 | ||
2056 | 16.47 | 15.52 | -0.95 | ---- | -0.03 | 2.28 | 2.31 | ||
2057 | 16.52 | 15.53 | -0.99 | ---- | -0.04 | 2.28 | 2.31 | ||
2058 | 16.57 | 15.53 | -1.04 | ---- | -0.04 | 2.28 | 2.32 | ||
2059 | 16.62 | 15.54 | -1.08 | ---- | -0.04 | 2.28 | 2.32 | ||
2060 | 16.66 | 15.54 | -1.12 | ---- | -0.04 | 2.28 | 2.32 | ||
2061 | 16.71 | 15.54 | -1.17 | ---- | -0.04 | 2.28 | 2.32 | ||
2062 | 16.76 | 15.55 | -1.21 | ---- | -0.05 | 2.28 | 2.33 | ||
2063 | 16.81 | 15.55 | -1.26 | ---- | -0.05 | 2.28 | 2.33 | ||
2064 | 16.85 | 15.56 | -1.30 | ---- | -0.05 | 2.28 | 2.33 | ||
2065 | 16.90 | 15.56 | -1.34 | ---- | -0.05 | 2.28 | 2.33 | ||
2066 | 16.95 | 15.56 | -1.39 | ---- | -0.05 | 2.28 | 2.34 | ||
2067 | 17.00 | 15.57 | -1.44 | ---- | -0.06 | 2.28 | 2.34 | ||
2068 | 17.05 | 15.57 | -1.48 | ---- | -0.06 | 2.28 | 2.34 | ||
2069 | 17.10 | 15.58 | -1.53 | ---- | -0.06 | 2.28 | 2.34 | ||
2070 | 17.15 | 15.58 | -1.58 | ---- | -0.06 | 2.28 | 2.34 | ||
2071 | 17.20 | 15.58 | -1.62 | ---- | -0.06 | 2.28 | 2.35 | ||
2072 | 17.24 | 15.59 | -1.65 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.28 | 2.35 | ||
2073 | 17.27 | 15.59 | -1.68 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.28 | 2.35 | ||
2074 | 17.30 | 15.59 | -1.71 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.28 | 2.35 | ||
2075 | 17.32 | 15.59 | -1.73 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.28 | 2.35 | ||
2076 | 17.33 | 15.60 | -1.74 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.28 | 2.36 | ||
2077 | 17.34 | 15.60 | -1.74 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.29 | 2.36 | ||
2078 | 17.34 | 15.60 | -1.74 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.29 | 2.36 | ||
2079 | 17.33 | 15.60 | -1.73 | ---- | -0.07 | 2.29 | 2.36 | ||
2080 | 17.33 | 15.60 | -1.73 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.29 | 2.36 | ||
2081 | 17.32 | 15.60 | -1.73 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.29 | 2.36 | ||
2082 | 17.33 | 15.69 | -1.64 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.38 | 2.46 | ||
2083 | 17.34 | 15.79 | -1.56 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.47 | 2.55 | ||
2084 | 17.36 | 15.88 | -1.48 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.57 | 2.65 | ||
2085 | 17.39 | 15.98 | -1.41 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.66 | 2.74 | ||
2086 | 17.42 | 16.08 | -1.35 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.76 | 2.84 | ||
2087 | 17.46 | 16.08 | -1.38 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.76 | 2.84 | ||
2088 | 17.50 | 16.09 | -1.42 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.76 | 2.85 | ||
2089 | 17.55 | 16.09 | -1.46 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.76 | 2.85 | ||
2090 | 17.59 | 16.09 | -1.50 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.77 | 2.85 | ||
2091 | 17.64 | 16.10 | -1.54 | ---- | -0.08 | 2.77 | 2.85 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.47% | 15.59% | -0.89% | 2041 | -0.03% | 1.74% | 1.77% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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