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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Eliminate the taxable maximum for years 2021 and later (phased in 2015-2020), and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2014 that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; (2) a new bend point equal to 134 percent of the monthly current-law taxable maximum; and (3) formula factors of 3 percent and 0.25 percent below and above the new bend point, respectively.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9713.27-0.70
306
0.000.350.35
201613.9713.60-0.37
294
0.000.710.71
201713.9713.970.00
284
0.001.061.06
201814.0114.330.32
277
0.001.401.40
201914.1414.670.52
271
0.001.721.72
202014.3314.990.66
268
0.002.032.03
202114.5015.310.81
266
0.002.332.33
202214.7315.340.61
265
0.002.332.33
202315.0015.340.34
263
0.002.312.32
202415.2715.360.09
261
0.002.312.32
202515.5415.38-0.16
257
0.002.312.32
202615.7915.40-0.39
253
0.002.312.32
202716.0315.42-0.61
249
0.002.322.32
202816.2515.44-0.81
244
0.002.322.32
202916.4415.45-0.99
240
0.002.322.32
203016.6115.46-1.14
235
0.002.322.31
203116.7515.48-1.28
229
0.002.322.31
203216.8715.49-1.38
223
0.012.322.31
203316.9615.49-1.47
217
0.012.322.31
203417.0415.50-1.54
211
0.012.322.31
203517.1015.51-1.59
204
0.012.322.31
203617.1415.51-1.62
197
0.012.322.31
203717.1515.52-1.64
190
0.012.322.31
203817.1515.52-1.63
183
0.012.322.31
203917.1315.52-1.61
176
0.012.322.31
204017.1015.52-1.58
169
0.012.332.31
204117.0615.52-1.54
162
0.012.332.31
204217.0315.53-1.50
156
0.022.332.31
204317.0015.53-1.47
149
0.022.332.31
204416.9715.53-1.45
143
0.022.332.31
204516.9615.53-1.43
137
0.022.332.31
204616.9515.53-1.42
130
0.022.332.31
204716.9415.53-1.40
124
0.022.332.31
204816.9215.53-1.39
117
0.022.332.31
204916.9115.54-1.38
111
0.022.342.31
205016.9115.54-1.37
105
0.022.342.32
205116.9215.54-1.38
98
0.022.342.32
205216.9315.54-1.39
91
0.022.342.32
205316.9615.55-1.41
84
0.022.342.32
205416.9915.55-1.44
77
0.022.342.32
205517.0415.56-1.48
70
0.022.342.32
205617.0915.56-1.53
62
0.022.342.32
205717.1415.57-1.57
54
0.022.342.32
205817.1915.57-1.62
46
0.032.352.32
205917.2315.57-1.66
37
0.032.352.32
206017.2815.58-1.71
28
0.032.352.32
206117.3315.58-1.75
19
0.032.352.32
206217.3815.59-1.79
9
0.032.352.32
206317.4315.59-1.84
----
0.032.352.33
206417.4715.60-1.88
----
0.032.352.33
206517.5215.60-1.92
----
0.032.362.33
206617.5715.61-1.97
----
0.032.362.33
206717.6215.61-2.01
----
0.032.362.33
206817.6715.61-2.06
----
0.032.362.33
206917.7215.62-2.10
----
0.032.362.33
207017.7715.62-2.15
----
0.032.362.33
207117.8115.63-2.18
----
0.032.362.33
207217.8515.63-2.22
----
0.032.362.34
207317.8715.63-2.24
----
0.032.372.34
207417.9015.64-2.26
----
0.032.372.34
207517.9115.64-2.27
----
0.032.372.34
207617.9215.64-2.28
----
0.032.372.34
207717.9215.64-2.28
----
0.032.372.34
207817.9215.65-2.28
----
0.032.372.34
207917.9315.65-2.28
----
0.032.372.34
208017.9315.65-2.29
----
0.032.382.34
208117.9515.65-2.30
----
0.032.382.34
208217.9715.65-2.32
----
0.032.382.35
208318.0015.66-2.34
----
0.032.382.35
208418.0315.66-2.37
----
0.032.382.35
208518.0815.66-2.41
----
0.032.382.35
208618.1215.67-2.46
----
0.032.382.35
208718.1715.67-2.50
----
0.032.382.35
208818.2315.68-2.55
----
0.032.392.35
208918.2815.68-2.60
----
0.042.392.35



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 16.79% 16.08% -0.70%
2062
0.01% 2.19% 2.18%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified October 8, 2014