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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (40th percentile) of PIA factors for individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2022 through 2059: Create a new bend point at the 40th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 40th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 40th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0212.93-1.08
262
0.000.000.00
201914.1512.95-1.20
248
0.000.000.00
202014.3312.96-1.37
233
0.000.000.00
202114.5012.98-1.52
219
0.000.000.00
202214.7413.01-1.73
203
0.000.000.00
202315.0013.03-1.97
188
0.000.000.00
202415.2713.05-2.22
171
-0.010.000.01
202515.5313.07-2.46
154
-0.010.000.01
202615.7713.09-2.69
137
-0.020.000.02
202716.0013.10-2.89
120
-0.030.000.03
202816.2013.12-3.08
102
-0.040.000.04
202916.3713.13-3.24
84
-0.060.000.06
203016.5213.14-3.38
65
-0.080.000.08
203116.6413.15-3.49
45
-0.11-0.010.10
203216.7313.16-3.57
25
-0.14-0.010.13
203316.7913.17-3.62
5
-0.17-0.010.16
203416.8313.17-3.66
----
-0.20-0.010.19
203516.8513.17-3.68
----
-0.24-0.010.22
203616.8513.18-3.67
----
-0.28-0.010.26
203716.8313.18-3.65
----
-0.32-0.020.30
203816.7813.18-3.60
----
-0.36-0.020.34
203916.7113.18-3.54
----
-0.40-0.020.38
204016.6413.17-3.46
----
-0.45-0.020.43
204116.5513.17-3.38
----
-0.50-0.030.47
204216.4713.17-3.30
----
-0.55-0.030.52
204316.3813.17-3.22
----
-0.60-0.030.57
204416.3013.16-3.14
----
-0.65-0.030.62
204516.2313.16-3.07
----
-0.71-0.040.67
204616.1613.16-3.00
----
-0.77-0.040.73
204716.0913.16-2.93
----
-0.83-0.040.79
204816.0113.15-2.86
----
-0.89-0.050.85
204915.9413.15-2.79
----
-0.96-0.050.90
205015.8713.15-2.72
----
-1.02-0.050.97
205115.8113.15-2.67
----
-1.08-0.061.03
205215.7613.14-2.62
----
-1.15-0.061.09
205315.7213.14-2.58
----
-1.22-0.061.15
205415.6913.14-2.55
----
-1.28-0.071.22
205515.6613.14-2.52
----
-1.35-0.071.28
205615.6413.14-2.50
----
-1.42-0.081.34
205715.6213.14-2.48
----
-1.49-0.081.41
205815.6013.14-2.46
----
-1.56-0.081.47
205915.5913.14-2.44
----
-1.62-0.091.54
206015.5713.14-2.43
----
-1.69-0.091.60
206115.5513.14-2.41
----
-1.75-0.091.66
206215.5413.14-2.40
----
-1.82-0.101.72
206315.5213.14-2.38
----
-1.88-0.101.78
206415.5113.14-2.37
----
-1.94-0.101.83
206515.5013.14-2.36
----
-2.00-0.111.89
206615.5013.14-2.36
----
-2.05-0.111.94
206715.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.10-0.111.99
206815.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.15-0.122.04
206915.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.20-0.122.08
207015.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.25-0.122.13
207115.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.29-0.122.17
207215.4913.14-2.35
----
-2.33-0.122.20
207315.4813.14-2.34
----
-2.36-0.132.24
207415.4713.14-2.33
----
-2.39-0.132.27
207515.4613.14-2.32
----
-2.42-0.132.29
207615.4413.14-2.30
----
-2.45-0.132.32
207715.4213.14-2.28
----
-2.47-0.132.34
207815.4013.14-2.27
----
-2.49-0.132.36
207915.3913.14-2.25
----
-2.51-0.132.37
208015.3813.14-2.24
----
-2.52-0.142.39
208115.3813.14-2.24
----
-2.54-0.142.40
208215.3813.14-2.25
----
-2.55-0.142.42
208315.4013.14-2.26
----
-2.57-0.142.43
208415.4213.14-2.28
----
-2.58-0.142.44
208515.4413.14-2.30
----
-2.60-0.142.46
208615.4813.14-2.33
----
-2.61-0.142.47
208715.5113.14-2.37
----
-2.63-0.142.49
208815.5513.15-2.40
----
-2.64-0.142.50
208915.5913.15-2.44
----
-2.65-0.142.51



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.79% 13.84% -1.96%
2033
-0.98% -0.05% 0.93%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014