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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2014 | 13.95 | 12.67 | -1.29 | 320 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.92 | -1.05 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.96 | 12.89 | -1.07 | 292 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.96 | 12.91 | -1.05 | 277 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2018 | 14.00 | 12.93 | -1.06 | 263 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2019 | 14.11 | 12.94 | -1.17 | 249 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2020 | 14.27 | 12.96 | -1.32 | 234 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2021 | 14.42 | 12.98 | -1.44 | 221 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2022 | 14.63 | 13.01 | -1.62 | 206 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2023 | 14.86 | 13.02 | -1.83 | 191 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2024 | 15.09 | 13.04 | -2.05 | 176 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2025 | 15.31 | 13.06 | -2.25 | 161 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2026 | 15.51 | 13.08 | -2.43 | 145 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2027 | 15.69 | 13.09 | -2.60 | 129 | -0.34 | -0.01 | 0.32 | ||
2028 | 15.85 | 13.10 | -2.75 | 113 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2029 | 15.98 | 13.11 | -2.87 | 97 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2030 | 16.09 | 13.12 | -2.97 | 80 | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.49 | ||
2031 | 16.17 | 13.13 | -3.04 | 62 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2032 | 16.22 | 13.14 | -3.08 | 45 | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2033 | 16.24 | 13.14 | -3.10 | 27 | -0.72 | -0.03 | 0.68 | ||
2034 | 16.25 | 13.14 | -3.10 | 8 | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
2035 | 16.23 | 13.15 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2036 | 16.19 | 13.15 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.04 | 0.89 | ||
2037 | 16.13 | 13.15 | -2.99 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.05 | 0.96 | ||
2038 | 16.05 | 13.15 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.05 | 1.03 | ||
2039 | 15.96 | 13.14 | -2.81 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2040 | 15.85 | 13.14 | -2.71 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.06 | 1.18 | ||
2041 | 15.73 | 13.13 | -2.60 | ---- | -1.32 | -0.06 | 1.25 | ||
2042 | 15.62 | 13.13 | -2.49 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2043 | 15.50 | 13.13 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.07 | 1.41 | ||
2044 | 15.40 | 13.12 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.56 | -0.08 | 1.49 | ||
2045 | 15.29 | 13.12 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.65 | -0.08 | 1.57 | ||
2046 | 15.20 | 13.11 | -2.08 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.08 | 1.65 | ||
2047 | 15.10 | 13.11 | -1.99 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.09 | 1.73 | ||
2048 | 15.00 | 13.11 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.90 | -0.09 | 1.81 | ||
2049 | 14.91 | 13.10 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.10 | 1.89 | ||
2050 | 14.82 | 13.10 | -1.73 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.10 | 1.96 | ||
2051 | 14.75 | 13.10 | -1.66 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.11 | 2.04 | ||
2052 | 14.69 | 13.09 | -1.60 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.11 | 2.11 | ||
2053 | 14.65 | 13.09 | -1.55 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.11 | 2.18 | ||
2054 | 14.61 | 13.09 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.12 | 2.24 | ||
2055 | 14.58 | 13.09 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.12 | 2.31 | ||
2056 | 14.57 | 13.09 | -1.48 | ---- | -2.49 | -0.12 | 2.37 | ||
2057 | 14.56 | 13.09 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.55 | -0.13 | 2.43 | ||
2058 | 14.55 | 13.09 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.13 | 2.48 | ||
2059 | 14.54 | 13.09 | -1.45 | ---- | -2.66 | -0.13 | 2.53 | ||
2060 | 14.54 | 13.09 | -1.45 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.14 | 2.58 | ||
2061 | 14.55 | 13.09 | -1.45 | ---- | -2.76 | -0.14 | 2.62 | ||
2062 | 14.55 | 13.10 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.14 | 2.66 | ||
2063 | 14.56 | 13.10 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.14 | 2.70 | ||
2064 | 14.57 | 13.10 | -1.47 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.15 | 2.73 | ||
2065 | 14.58 | 13.10 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.91 | -0.15 | 2.77 | ||
2066 | 14.60 | 13.10 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.15 | 2.80 | ||
2067 | 14.62 | 13.10 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.97 | -0.15 | 2.82 | ||
2068 | 14.64 | 13.10 | -1.54 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.15 | 2.85 | ||
2069 | 14.67 | 13.10 | -1.56 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.15 | 2.87 | ||
2070 | 14.69 | 13.11 | -1.59 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.16 | 2.89 | ||
2071 | 14.71 | 13.11 | -1.61 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.16 | 2.91 | ||
2072 | 14.73 | 13.11 | -1.62 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.16 | 2.93 | ||
2073 | 14.75 | 13.11 | -1.64 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.16 | 2.94 | ||
2074 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.64 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.16 | 2.95 | ||
2075 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.65 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.16 | 2.96 | ||
2076 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.65 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.16 | 2.97 | ||
2077 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.65 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.16 | 2.97 | ||
2078 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.65 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.16 | 2.98 | ||
2079 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.64 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.16 | 2.98 | ||
2080 | 14.76 | 13.11 | -1.65 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.16 | 2.98 | ||
2081 | 14.77 | 13.11 | -1.66 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.16 | 2.99 | ||
2082 | 14.78 | 13.11 | -1.67 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.16 | 2.99 | ||
2083 | 14.81 | 13.11 | -1.69 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.16 | 3.00 | ||
2084 | 14.83 | 13.12 | -1.72 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.16 | 3.00 | ||
2085 | 14.87 | 13.12 | -1.75 | ---- | -3.18 | -0.16 | 3.01 | ||
2086 | 14.90 | 13.12 | -1.78 | ---- | -3.18 | -0.16 | 3.02 | ||
2087 | 14.94 | 13.12 | -1.82 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.16 | 3.03 | ||
2088 | 14.99 | 13.13 | -1.86 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.16 | 3.04 | ||
2089 | 15.03 | 13.13 | -1.90 | ---- | -3.22 | -0.16 | 3.05 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2014-2088 | 15.17% | 13.81% | -1.36% | 2034 | -1.60% | -0.08% | 1.53% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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