Proposed Provision: Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2017, continuing through 2026, and resuming in 2065: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.13 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.
OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)
Year |
Present Law |
Provision |
2014 | 320 | 320 |
2015 | 306 | 306 |
2016 | 292 | 292 |
2017 | 277 | 277 |
2018 | 262 | 263 |
2019 | 248 | 248 |
2020 | 233 | 233 |
2021 | 219 | 219 |
2022 | 203 | 204 |
2023 | 187 | 189 |
2024 | 171 | 173 |
2025 | 154 | 156 |
2026 | 137 | 140 |
2027 | 119 | 123 |
2028 | 101 | 106 |
2029 | 83 | 89 |
2030 | 64 | 71 |
2031 | 44 | 52 |
2032 | 23 | 33 |
2033 | 2 | 13 |
2034 | -20 | -7 |
2035 | -42 | -27 |
2036 | -65 | -48 |
2037 | -88 | -69 |
2038 | -112 | -91 |
2039 | -136 | -112 |
2040 | -160 | -134 |
2041 | -185 | -156 |
2042 | -210 | -178 |
2043 | -235 | -200 |
2044 | -260 | -222 |
2045 | -285 | -243 |
2046 | -310 | -266 |
2047 | -336 | -288 |
2048 | -362 | -310 |
2049 | -388 | -333 |
2050 | -415 | -355 |
2051 | -442 | -378 |
2052 | -468 | -401 |
2053 | -495 | -424 |
2054 | -523 | -446 |
2055 | -550 | -470 |
2056 | -578 | -493 |
2057 | -606 | -517 |
2058 | -635 | -541 |
2059 | -664 | -566 |
2060 | -694 | -591 |
2061 | -725 | -617 |
2062 | -756 | -643 |
2063 | -787 | -669 |
2064 | -819 | -696 |
2065 | -852 | -724 |
2066 | -885 | -752 |
2067 | -918 | -780 |
2068 | -952 | -809 |
2069 | -987 | -839 |
2070 | -1022 | -869 |
2071 | -1057 | -900 |
2072 | -1094 | -933 |
2073 | -1132 | -966 |
2074 | -1171 | -1000 |
2075 | -1210 | -1035 |
2076 | -1251 | -1071 |
2077 | -1293 | -1108 |
2078 | -1335 | -1146 |
2079 | -1378 | -1185 |
2080 | -1421 | -1224 |
2081 | -1464 | -1263 |
2082 | -1507 | -1302 |
2083 | -1550 | -1342 |
2084 | -1593 | -1381 |
2085 | -1636 | -1422 |
2086 | -1680 | -1462 |
2087 | -1724 | -1503 |
2088 | -1769 | -1545 |
2089 | -1814 | -1588 |
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