Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
F3: Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for employer-sponsored group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2028, phase out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in 2028, with amounts above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each year by 10 percent of the 2028 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 2038.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2024 Trustees Report
Summary Measures
Current law
[percent of payroll]		 Change from current law
[percent of payroll]		 Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year		 Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year		 Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year
-3.50 -4.64 1.10 0.75 31% 16%

graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.