Table V.B2--Additional Economic Factors, 2002-2080
Low Cost Assumptions



Average annual percentage increase in--

Calendar year Average annual
unemployment rate 1
(percent)		 Labor
force 3		 Total
Employment 4		 Real
GDP 5		 Average annual
interest rate 2
(percent)
2002 6.1 0.9 -0.5 1.6 5.2
2003 5.8 1.1 1.5 4.6 6.2
2004 5.2 1.2 1.8 4.3 6.1
2005 5.0 1.1 1.4 3.5 5.8
2006 4.9 1.0 1.2 3.3 5.7
2007 4.7 1.0 1.2 3.2 5.7
2008 4.6 1.0 1.1 3.1 5.7
2009 4.5 0.9 1.0 3.0 5.7
2010 4.4 0.8 0.9 2.8 5.7
2011 4.4 0.7 0.7 2.6 5.7
2012 4.5 0.7 0.7 2.6 5.7
2013 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2014 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2015 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2016 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2017 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2018 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.3 5.7
2019 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.3 5.7
2020 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2021 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2022 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2023 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2024 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2025 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2026 4.5 0.4 0.4 2.3 5.7
2027 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.3 5.7
2028 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2029 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2030 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 5.7
2031 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.4 5.7
2032 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2033 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2034 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2035 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2036 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2037 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2038 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2039 4.5 0.7 0.7 2.5 5.7
2040 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2041 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2042 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2043 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2044 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2045 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2046 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2047 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2048 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2049 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2050 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2051 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2052 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2053 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2054 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2055 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2056 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2057 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2058 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2059 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2060 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2061 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2062 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2063 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2064 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2065 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2066 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2067 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2068 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2069 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2070 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2071 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2072 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2073 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2074 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2075 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2076 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2077 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2078 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2079 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
2080 4.5 0.6 0.6 2.5 5.7
1Unadjusted civilian unemployment rates are shown through 2011. Thereafter, the rates are adjusted to the age-sex distribution of the civilian labor force in 2000.
2The average annual interest rate is the average of the nominal interest rates, which, in practice, are compounded semiannually, for special public-debt obligations issuable to the trust funds in each of the 12 months of the year.
3The U.S. civilian labor force concept is used here.
4Total of civilian and military employment in the U.S. economy.
5The real GDP (gross domestic product) is the value of total output of goods and services, expressed in 1996 dollars.

Return to list of tables.

 Link to FirstGov.gov: U.S. Government portal Privacy Policy | Website Policies & Other Important Information  | Site Map  | Actuarial Publications 3/26/2002