2016 OASDI Trustees Report

2016 Trustees Report

 

The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E4— Trust Fund Ratios, on a calendar year basis over the long-range projection period (2016-2090), under each of the three alternative sets of assumptions and under the stochastic projection methodology. The column headings for the stochastic methodology represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the cost rate shown in the table.

Plot Points

	Trust Fund Ratios
	Alternative			Stochastic
Calendar Year	I	II	III	2.50%	50%	97.50%
2016	304	303	302	302.5	302.9	303.2
2017	294	293	290	287.5	291.9	295.1
2018	280	277	271	265.1	276.1	285.3
2019	268	262	250	242.7	260.1	275.9
2020	257	246	229	221.1	244.5	267.7
2021	248	231	207	199.8	229.6	261.0
2022	239	216	185	178.5	214.1	253.0
2023	230	200	161	156.0	198.0	244.7
2024	221	183	137	133.1	181.3	235.4
2025	213	165	111	110.4	163.6	226.6
2026	206	149	86	88.0	146.9	219.3
2027	200	132	61	65.6	130.5	211.3
2028	194	115	35	43.6	113.5	203.2
2029	188	98	8	21.1	96.6	194.1
2030	183	81	-19	-2.4	79.8	185.7
2031	179	64	-47	-24.7	63.0	176.1
2032	175	46	-76	-49.5	45.1	165.9
2033	170	27	-106	-75.3	26.6	155.4
2034	166	8	-137	-101.5	7.6	143.4
2035	162	-11	-168	-129.2	-11.2	132.6
2036	158	-30	-200	-155.1	-29.7	120.3
2037	155	-50	-233	-182.0	-48.6	108.1
2038	152	-71	-267	-212.8	-68.5	96.1
2039	149	-91	-301	-242.7	-89.4	84.8
2040	146	-112	-337	-276.7	-109.5	70.8
2041	144	-133	-373	-311.8	-129.9	58.4
2042	143	-154	-410	-349.4	-150.3	45.4
2043	142	-176	-448	-385.6	-171.3	32.2
2044	142	-197	-486	-420.1	-192.3	20.8
2045	142	-218	-524	-458.9	-213.8	6.9
2046	142	-240	-564	-499.2	-234.6	-6.2
2047	143	-262	-604	-539.0	-256.1	-20.1
2048	145	-283	-645	-581.6	-277.1	-31.7
2049	146	-305	-686	-631.6	-298.5	-41.8
2050	148	-327	-728	-679.5	-319.9	-51.5
2051	150	-349	-770	-720.9	-341.2	-63.3
2052	153	-371	-813	-767.3	-362.9	-72.7
2053	155	-393	-856	-822.5	-384.0	-82.2
2054	157	-415	-900	-869.7	-406.7	-92.3
2055	160	-437	-944	-914.3	-427.0	-101.5
2056	162	-460	-988	-975.1	-448.9	-113.5
2057	164	-482	-1033	-1029.0	-471.2	-122.0
2058	166	-506	-1079	-1079.2	-494.6	-132.8
2059	168	-529	-1126	-1136.0	-520.3	-141.3
2060	170	-553	-1173	-1204.2	-546.2	-149.2
2061	172	-578	-1222	-1268.6	-573.0	-161.8
2062	174	-603	-1271	-1323.1	-599.4	-170.2
2063	175	-628	-1320	-1373.2	-624.5	-179.3
2064	177	-654	-1371	-1451.7	-648.7	-187.3
2065	179	-680	-1422	-1523.5	-674.8	-196.9
2066	181	-706	-1474	-1592.6	-698.7	-205.3
2067	182	-733	-1527	-1663.8	-726.3	-216.9
2068	184	-760	-1580	-1746.3	-755.3	-230.4
2069	186	-788	-1634	-1827.4	-785.4	-243.3
2070	187	-816	-1689	-1915.0	-814.6	-255.5
2071	189	-845	-1745	-1993.1	-843.7	-267.7
2072	191	-874	-1802	-2086.4	-871.6	-271.8
2073	193	-905	-1861	-2157.7	-902.2	-287.9
2074	195	-935	-1922	-2242.6	-937.0	-303.9
2075	197	-967	-1984	-2305.2	-970.6	-316.5
2076	200	-1000	-2048	-2394.9	-1001.5	-331.5
2077	203	-1033	-2114	-2478.2	-1037.9	-339.5
2078	207	-1068	-2181	-2589.0	-1072.3	-351.6
2079	211	-1102	-2251	-2678.2	-1109.8	-359.4
2080	215	-1138	-2321	-2782.2	-1148.5	-371.8
2081	220	-1173	-2393	-2892.9	-1191.0	-378.3
2082	224	-1208	-2466	-2989.3	-1232.0	-381.0
2083	229	-1243	-2540	-3106.0	-1268.4	-390.6
2084	234	-1279	-2615	-3219.5	-1305.9	-397.2
2085	238	-1314	-2691	-3310.2	-1344.0	-409.5
2086	242	-1349	-2768	-3432.2	-1387.0	-410.9
2087	246	-1384	-2846	-3600.7	-1427.0	-408.6
2088	250	-1419	-2925	-3722.3	-1470.6	-422.9
2089	254	-1455	-3006	-3874.3	-1507.7	-433.6
2090	257	-1491	-3088	-4031.5	-1546.5	-447.4

RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT.